The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post asserts that President Trump fulfilled and exceeded his promises, supported by an image of him in a resolute stance with the Presidential Seal visible, and a link to a White House article validating this claim from a future date.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • President Trump has fulfilled his promises.
  • President Trump has exceeded his promises.
  • The White House has published an article affirming President Trump's accomplishments.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post claims that intelligence was manufactured by President Obama and his team with the objective of undermining President Trump.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Intelligence was manufactured.
  • The manufacturing of intelligence was worse than the politicization of intelligence.
  • The objective of the manufactured intelligence was to undermine President Trump.
  • President Obama and his team were responsible for the objective.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:President Trump's administration achieved the highest level of border security ever recorded within a seven-week period, transforming a previously unsecure border.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • President Trump secured the border.
  • The border was secured to its highest level ever.
  • This achievement occurred within seven weeks.
  • Before President Trump, the border was unsecure.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:President Trump enacts the HALT Fentanyl Act into law, addressing the fentanyl crisis as depicted by the image of him holding a photo during the signing event.
Sentiment:Policy-focused
Key Claims:
  • President Trump signed the HALT Fentanyl Act into law.
  • The act addresses the fentanyl crisis.
  • The signing event took place at The White House.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:President Trump's energy policies are credited with transforming the American energy landscape, with a future increase in clean coal production anticipated.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • President Trump transformed the American energy landscape
  • A significant increase in clean coal production is expected
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post depicts President Trump at the Pennsylvania Energy & Innovation Summit, asserting that he has solidified the United States' position as a leader in Artificial Intelligence, referencing a White House article dated in the future.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • President Trump is depicted attending the Pennsylvania Energy & Innovation Summit.
  • President Trump has solidified the U.S. position as a leader in AI.
  • A White House article supports the claim of U.S. leadership in AI.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:Maria Bartiromo states that the recent inflation report represents another victory for President Trump, attributing this success to his focus on controlling inflation.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • An inflation report was released today.
  • The inflation report is a victory for President Trump.
  • President Trump has focused on reining in inflation.
  • The report's findings reflect President Trump's successful efforts to control inflation.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
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Summary:Lori Chavez-DeRemer states that President Trump's focus on American workers led to an increase in American-born jobs, while under President Biden, half of the new jobs went to foreign-born workers.
Sentiment:Campaigning/Critical
Key Claims:
  • President Trump promised to pay attention to the American worker.
  • American-born jobs increased under President Trump.
  • Under President Biden, 50% of jobs went to foreign-born workers.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:The administration, led by President Trump, is fully committed to maintaining low gasoline and diesel prices.
Sentiment:Policy-focused
Key Claims:
  • The entire administration, led by President Trump, is 'all-in' on keeping gasoline prices down.
  • The entire administration, led by President Trump, is 'all-in' on keeping diesel prices down.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:A simulated newspaper front page from July 4, 2025, depicts President Trump celebrating multiple achievements, including the bombing of Iran's nuclear sites, Supreme Court victories, a declining unemployment rate, and the signing of a major tax-cut bill.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Iran nuclear sites were bombed.
  • Iran has been neutralized.
  • Victories occurred at the Supreme Court.
  • The unemployment rate dropped.
  • A 'Big Beautiful' tax-cut bill passed and will be signed by President Trump on July 4, 2025.
  • President Trump has concluded a two-week victory streak.
  • Supporters are potentially 'tired of winning' due to the sustained success.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:9/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10