The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:Donald Trump celebrates Javier Milei's electoral victory in Argentina, highlighting Milei's previous endorsement by Trump and stating that Milei's success reflects positively on Trump and his supporters.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Javier Milei achieved a 'BIG WIN' in Argentina.
  • Javier Milei is a 'wonderful Trump Endorsed Candidate'.
  • Javier Milei's win is 'making us all look good'.
  • The post offers congratulations to Javier Milei.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post claims that the Washington Post editorial board has praised Donald Trump for his demolition of the East Wing, providing a link to an article from The Hill.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • The Washington Post editorial board praised Trump.
  • The praise was for Trump’s demolition of the East Wing.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post contrasts the financial outcomes associated with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac under two administrations: depicting "Sleepy Joe's" period as an "ice cream break" yielding $100 billion and placing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac logos in a trash can, versus "During Trump's" period, which generated $1 trillion and carries an assurance of survival under Trump's presidency.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • During Trump's presidency, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac generated $1 trillion.
  • During "Sleepy Joe's" period, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac generated $100 billion, implying a lesser financial outcome.
  • The era "Under Sleepy Joe" is characterized by idleness and an "ice cream break."
  • Trump's presidency ensures the survival of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
  • Trump's leadership is superior for the financial performance and stability of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac compared to "Sleepy Joe's" leadership.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post criticizes Christopher Wray and expresses gratitude to FBI agents who reported bias observed during his leadership, referencing an article about the former president thanking these whistleblowers.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Christopher Wray is unfavorably described as a "beauty."
  • FBI agents reported witnessing bias.
  • The bias occurred under Wray's leadership.
  • Trump expresses thanks to the FBI whistleblower agents.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The Democratic Party is dead, lacks leadership, message, and hope, and is depicted as a party of hate, evil, and Satan whose only message for America is to hate Trump.
Sentiment:Condemnatory
Key Claims:
  • The Democratic Party is associated with hate, evil, and Satan.
  • The Democratic Party is dead.
  • The Democratic Party has no leadership.
  • The Democratic Party has no message.
  • The Democratic Party has no hope.
  • The Democratic Party's only message for America is to hate Trump.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post displays a chart titled 'Mortgage Rates Under Trump,' indicating a decline in 30-year fixed-rate conforming mortgage rates from 6.94% in January to 6.26% in September, with a prominent green arrow emphasizing the downward trend.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Mortgage rates declined from 6.94% to 6.26% during the depicted period.
  • The presented decline in 30-year fixed-rate conforming mortgage rates occurred 'Under Trump'.
  • The period from January to September experienced a decrease in mortgage rates.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:New York City is experiencing an increase in safety, and this improvement is attributed to Donald Trump's influence.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • New York City is becoming safer.
  • Donald Trump is responsible for the increased safety in New York City.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The number of civilian nominees confirmed by voice vote or unanimous consent has significantly declined across successive presidential administrations and congresses, culminating in zero confirmations during the anticipated 119th Congress, a situation directly attributed to the Democrats.
Sentiment:Critical/Accusatory
Key Claims:
  • Civilian nominee confirmations via voice vote or unanimous consent have decreased significantly over time.
  • The 101st Congress (H.W. Bush administration) saw 817 civilian nominees confirmed via voice vote or unanimous consent.
  • The 103rd Congress (Clinton administration) saw 1100 civilian nominees confirmed via voice vote or unanimous consent.
  • The 107th Congress (W. Bush administration) saw 911 civilian nominees confirmed via voice vote or unanimous consent.
  • The 111th Congress (Obama administration) saw 856 civilian nominees confirmed via voice vote or unanimous consent.
  • The 115th Congress (Trump I administration) saw 533 civilian nominees confirmed via voice vote or unanimous consent.
  • The 117th Congress (Biden administration) saw 530 civilian nominees confirmed via voice vote or unanimous consent.
  • The 119th Congress (Trump II administration) is presented as having zero civilian nominees confirmed via voice vote or unanimous consent.
  • Democrats are responsible for this decline in confirmations, indicating their actions are 'CRAZY'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:Donald Trump commits to pursuing a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine, noting that the parties are currently not ready for a resolution, but indicating that a significant development is impending.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Trump commits to pursuing peace between Russia and Ukraine.
  • Russia and Ukraine are currently not ready for a peace deal.
  • Something significant is expected to happen regarding the peace process.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:Union Station in Washington, D.C., is reported to be free of problematic individuals like those screaming, vagrants, or drug users, a change attributed to a crime crackdown by Trump. The station is instead observed to be full of families visiting D.C., and this situation is described as wonderful.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Union Station in D.C. is now clear of individuals described as 'crazy person screaming, vagrant or person doing drugs'.
  • This positive change is a direct result of 'Trump's crime crackdown'.
  • Union Station is currently filled with families visiting D.C.
  • The improved atmosphere at Union Station is described as 'Wonderful'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10