Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)
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Summary:An ex-War Department official warns of the potential for terrorists to aerosolize fentanyl and praises a move by Trump.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
- An ex-War Department official has issued a warning regarding the future possibility of terrorists aerosolizing fentanyl.
- The official has expressed praise for a specific action taken by Trump.
- The narrative suggests Trump's action is relevant to addressing or mitigating threats like the weaponization of fentanyl.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
Summary:Trump directs a blockade targeting sanctioned oil tankers moving to or from Venezuela.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
- Trump orders a blockade.
- The blockade targets sanctioned oil tankers.
- The blockade applies to tankers leaving Venezuela.
- The blockade applies to tankers entering Venezuela.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
Summary:Trump is actively pursuing a resolution for the Ukraine conflict by sidelining European nations, whom the narrative describes as impotent and currently frustrated by these actions.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
- Europeans are impotent.
- Europeans are currently fuming.
- Trump has rightly sidelined Europeans from a Ukraine deal.
- Trump is pursuing a Ukraine deal.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:6/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
Summary:Angel Families express gratitude to Trump in a Thanksgiving video for his border security efforts.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
- Angel Families thank Trump for his border security efforts.
- The thanks were conveyed in a new Thanksgiving video.
- The families expressed their appreciation for Trump.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Summary:Trump was honored with FIFA's inaugural Peace Prize.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
- Trump received FIFA's first Peace Prize.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Summary:The post presents a bar chart demonstrating that projected Trump policies for 2025 result in a lower cumulative federal deficit compared to projected Biden policies for 2024, with the difference attributed to savings under Trump's approach.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
- Trump Policies Have Sharply Reduced the Deficit.
- Projected Trump policies for 2025 result in a lower federal deficit compared to projected Biden policies for 2024.
- The difference between Trump 2025 and Biden 2024 policies represents significant savings in deficit spending, totaling over $1.2 trillion by September.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
Summary:A bar chart compares annualized capital spending rates, showing 3.7% for the Biden administration's 2023-2024 period and a projected 8.4% for a Trump administration's first half of 2025, with the chart titled "Capital Spending is Skyrocketing."
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
- Capital spending is skyrocketing.
- Annualized capital spending under the Biden administration (2023-2024) is 3.7%.
- Annualized capital spending under a Trump administration (1H 2025) is projected at 8.4%.
- The projected capital spending rate under a Trump administration is significantly higher than under the Biden administration.
- The data source for Real Private Non-Residential Fixed Investment is the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
Summary:Real wages significantly declined under the Biden administration due to inflation, and a projected Trump second term would lead to substantial recovery, partially offsetting the prior losses.
Sentiment:Campaigning/Critical
Key Claims:
- Real wages experienced a 'massive hit' due to 'Biden's Inflation', resulting in a total change of -$2,909.
- A projected Trump second term would lead to an annualized real wage increase of $1,151 in private industries.
- The $1,151 projected increase under a Trump second term would make up 39.6% of the real wage loss attributed to Biden.
- A remaining real wage loss of $1,758 (60.4%) from the Biden administration would still exist even after a projected Trump second term recovery.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Summary:The post asserts that a president possesses the authority to impose tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), arguing that if the power to ban trade exists, the power to moderate it through tariffs also exists. It claims tariffs are a flexible, peaceful, and effective policy for regulating importation, supported by legal precedent, diplomatic equilibrium, and economic logic.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
- A president has the power to ban trade.
- A president has the power to moderate trade through tariffs.
- Tariffs can be imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA).
- Legal precedent, diplomatic equilibrium, and economic logic support the president's authority to impose tariffs.
- Tariffs are the most flexible, peaceful, and effective policy instrument to regulate importation.
- The Supreme Court is considering whether presidents have the authority to use tariffs under IEEPA.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
Summary:Benjamin Netanyahu lauded Donald Trump's reported consideration to designate the Muslim Brotherhood as a foreign terrorist organization.
Sentiment:Affirmative
Key Claims:
- Benjamin Netanyahu praised Donald Trump.
- Donald Trump is reportedly considering designating the Muslim Brotherhood as a foreign terrorist organization.
- The Muslim Brotherhood is referred to as a 'terror org'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:6/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10