The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:A judge appointed by President Biden, who previously ruled against Trump's administration on deportation policies, is now assigned to preside over a case involving Trump's move against the Federal Reserve.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Judge Jia Cobb will weigh a legal action by Trump against the Federal Reserve.
  • Judge Jia Cobb has previously tangled with Trump's policies.
  • Judge Jia Cobb is a Biden appointee.
  • Judge Jia Cobb recently ruled against Trump on deportations.
  • Judge Jia Cobb blocked the Trump administration's attempt to rapidly deport hundreds of thousands of immigrants.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:The post asserts that Donald Trump is transforming Washington D.C. into an environment reminiscent of Disney World.
Sentiment:Transformative
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump is transforming Washington D.C.
  • The transformation of Washington D.C. is likened to Disney World.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post categorizes members of the Federal Reserve Board into those associated with the 'Biden' administration and those associated with a 'Trump' administration, while labeling one current Fed Governor as 'The Fraudster' and marking her image with a red cross.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Lisa Cook is identified as 'The Fraudster'.
  • Jerome Powell, Michael Barr, and Philip Jefferson are associated with the 'Biden' administration regarding the Fed Board.
  • Jerome Powell is labeled 'Too Late', implying his actions or current policy are insufficient or ill-timed.
  • Michelle Bowman, Miran, and Christopher Waller are associated with the 'Trump' administration regarding the Fed Board.
  • The post suggests a clear division and opposition regarding the composition of the Federal Reserve Board between current and potential future administrations.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:Donald Trump states that the Congressional Budget Office has acknowledged the effectiveness of his tariff strategy in reducing the deficit by $4 Trillion Dollars, while also highlighting a period of economic prosperity where deficits, taxes, energy, and prices were down, and take-home pay, the stock market, and the country's global standing were up.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) admitted his tariff strategy has been incredible.
  • The CBO stated that 'Trump’s Tariffs reduce the deficit by $4 Trillion Dollars'.
  • Deficits were down during his policy suggestions.
  • Taxes were down.
  • Energy costs were down.
  • Prices were generally down.
  • Take Home Pay was up.
  • The Stock Market was up.
  • The Country was the 'HOTTEST' anywhere in the World.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:The US economy has maintained its high S&P credit rating, with analysts determining that former President Trump's tariffs effectively offset his tax cuts.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • The US economy maintains its high S&P credit rating.
  • Analysts concluded that Trump's tariffs counterbalanced his tax cuts.
  • The combination of Trump's tariffs and tax cuts contributed to the stable credit rating.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post claims that Paul Krugman of the New York Times has consistently made incorrect market predictions since 2016, a period during which all markets have achieved new highs. It asserts that Krugman's influence caused people to miss out on what is described as the "BEST MARKET IN HISTOY," and suggests pursuing legal action against those responsible for such advice.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Paul Krugman has been consistently wrong in his market predictions since 2016.
  • During this period, all markets have reached new, unprecedented highs.
  • People were dissuaded from investing in the "BEST MARKET IN HISTOY" due to Paul Krugman's influence.
  • Legal action should be taken against individuals like Krugman who allegedly caused others to miss out on market gains.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post asserts that Democrats are obstructing the confirmation of presidential nominees, leading to historically low approval rates for current and future administrations, including a depicted 0% confirmation rate for a future Trump administration.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Democrats are harming the Nation by obstructing presidential nominee approvals.
  • Democrats are refusing to approve highly qualified nominees.
  • Democrats would delay and disapprove nominees even if they were historically revered figures like George Washington and Abraham Lincoln.
  • The current level of nominee obstruction by Democrats is unprecedented.
  • The graphic shows a trend of declining civilian nominee confirmation rates by voice vote or unanimous consent in the first term, specifically 65% for Trump I, 57% for Biden, and 0% for Trump II.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post quotes a headline highlighting a narrative that Donald Trump addresses significant challenges facing America, specifically citing issues related to Iran and the U.S. border.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump addresses major challenges facing America.
  • These challenges include issues related to Iran.
  • These challenges include issues related to the U.S. border.
  • The referenced article presents Trump as someone who "takes on America's toughest fights."
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:A quote is presented asserting that Trump merits the Nobel Peace Prize, simultaneously claiming that 'the left' will not acknowledge this recognition.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Trump deserves the Nobel Peace Prize
  • The left will never admit Trump deserves the Nobel Peace Prize
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:Republicans must ensure the Senate clears a backlog of 135 nominee confirmations before recessing, or allow for genuine recess appointments without pro forma sessions, as the Senate cannot both maintain a nominee backlog and prevent recess appointments. This action is stated as very important and badly needed.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • Republicans must strategically act to win.
  • There is a backlog of 135 nominee confirmations in the Senate.
  • The Senate should clear this 135-nominee backlog before recessing.
  • If the Senate recesses, it should be a genuine recess, not 'pro forma sessions'.
  • Pro forma sessions are implemented to prevent Trump from making recess appointments.
  • The Senate cannot simultaneously maintain a nominee backlog and prevent recess appointments.
  • Clearing the 135 nominees is critically important and necessary.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10