The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post instructs the body responsible for confirming nominees to either confirm all nominees or remain on vacation, thereby allowing Donald Trump to make recess appointments.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • Nominees should be confirmed
  • If nominees are not confirmed, Trump should be allowed to make recess appointments
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:A border crackdown implemented by Trump led to a positive transformation in Arizona communities, evidenced by a significant reduction in illegal crossings and crime.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Trump's border crackdown initiated a positive shift in Arizona communities.
  • Arizona communities experienced years of upheaval prior to the crackdown.
  • Local residents observed a sharp drop in illegal crossings in Arizona.
  • Local residents observed decreased crime rates in Arizona.
  • These positive changes occurred since Trump took office.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:A once-secret report confirms that U.S. intelligence agencies utilized the Steele Dossier to promote a narrative claiming Russian President Putin assisted Donald Trump.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • A formerly secret report verifies specific information.
  • U.S. intelligence agencies employed the Steele Dossier.
  • The Steele Dossier was used to push a particular narrative.
  • The narrative asserted that Putin provided assistance to Trump.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post expresses gratitude to USA TODAY for an opinion piece asserting that Donald Trump merits the Nobel Peace Prize, citing that his achievements exceed those of previous recipients.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Gratitude is expressed towards USA Today.
  • A claim is presented that Trump deserves the Nobel Peace Prize.
  • A claim is presented that Trump's achievements are greater than those of past Nobel Peace Prize winners.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post asserts that Donald Trump was framed by a conspiracy involving high-ranking officials such as John Brennan and James Comey, who are depicted as manipulating intelligence and legal processes to undermine his presidency, ultimately failing in their efforts.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Trump was framed.
  • The collusion narrative was a conspiracy itself.
  • Collaborators knew the narrative was a lie but manipulated the Dossier and the CIA.
  • Brennan and Comey manipulated the system and the Dossier.
  • Brennan and Comey abused their power.
  • Comey launched a case against Trump in violation of FBI Regulations.
  • Comey deceived the FISA Court with the Dossier to gain a Spy Warrant.
  • John Brennan used the Dossier knowing it was 'GARBAGE' and insisted it be included in the Intelligence Committee Assessment to elevate its credibility and drive Trump from office.
  • Brennan told Congress the Dossier was not in the Assessment, but it was.
  • Brennan can be charged.
  • Brennan and Comey single-handedly eroded confidence and trust in the American Government, particularly the FBI, CIA, and other agencies, setting back America considerably.
  • James Comey is obsessed with his hatred of Trump, which drove the 'Russia Hoax' and 'Witch Hunt'.
  • Comey, more than anybody else, drove the 'Witch Hunt'.
  • Comey failed and got fired, which he hates.
  • Comey purloined FBI Documents and leaked them to the Media to trigger a Special Counsel (Bob Mueller) and drive Trump from office.
  • Comey's scheme ultimately failed.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:A news article attributes a decline in police fatalities to a cultural shift influenced by Donald Trump's actions against anti-police sentiment.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • There has been a sharp drop in the number of police killed on duty.
  • This decline is credited to a shift away from an anti-police culture.
  • Donald Trump is responsible for driving this cultural shift.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post asserts that significant economic growth has already begun and will be further amplified by the passage of a 'Big, Beautiful Bill,' which is expected to lead to unprecedented investments and record tariff revenues, contrasting this success with a previous 'mess' and urging Republicans to ensure the bill's passage.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Growth will be the primary reason for the success of the 'Big, Beautiful Bill'.
  • Growth has already begun at unprecedented levels.
  • Trillions of dollars are being invested into the USA.
  • Hundreds of billions of dollars in tariffs are filling Treasury coffers and setting new records.
  • America is growing out of a 'Sleepy Joe Biden MESS'.
  • America will make a fortune this year, surpassing competitors, if the 'Big, Beautiful Bill' is passed.
  • The author's past predictions have been accurate, making this prediction easy.
  • Republicans should not let 'Radical Left Democrats' push them around.
  • America has transformed from a 'DEAD' nation to the 'HOTTEST NATION IN THE WORLD'.
  • Republicans hold all the cards and intend to use them.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
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Summary:Trump's policy agenda is successfully incorporated into a significant and appealing legislative bill.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Trump's agenda is contained within a legislative bill
  • The legislative bill is significant
  • The legislative bill is appealing
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:Trump is achieving positive results.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Trump is achieving positive outcomes.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post analyzes polling data on the foreign policy views of MAGA Republicans versus non-MAGA Republicans, specifically regarding support for U.S. military intervention if a NATO ally is attacked and if China attacks or blockades Taiwan.
Sentiment:Analytical
Key Claims:
  • MAGA Republicans show higher support than non-MAGA Republicans for U.S. military response if a NATO ally is attacked (69-71% vs. 61-63%).
  • A majority of MAGA Republicans (53% last year) held a favorable view of NATO.
  • If Trump decided to withdraw from NATO, 57% of MAGA Republicans would back the move, while 51% of non-MAGA Republicans would oppose it.
  • 56% of MAGA Republicans support increasing U.S. military presence in Eastern Europe to counter Russian aggression.
  • MAGA Republicans are more hawkish about China and Taiwan than non-MAGA Republicans.
  • 81% of MAGA supporters are concerned about a potential war between China and Taiwan (compared to 73% of non-MAGA Republicans).
  • 73% of MAGA Republicans support U.S. military action to defend Taiwan if China attacks or blockades it (compared to 62% of non-MAGA Republicans).
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10