The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:The Asia trip was highly successful, resulting in an unparalleled amount of business for the United States.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • The Asia trip was incredibly successful
  • More business was brought into the United States than by any prior President
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:Donald Trump disembarking Air Force One at an official arrival ceremony, walking a red carpet flanked by ceremonial guards and dignitaries.
Sentiment:Presidential Dignity
Key Claims:
  • The image presents Donald Trump participating in an official diplomatic or state visit.
  • It depicts a formal presidential arrival with accompanying ceremonial honors.
  • The visual narrative conveys a sense of international engagement and adherence to protocol.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The Kennedy Center is undergoing extensive renovations, including repainting its columns white and upgrading various facilities, with the stated aim of becoming the world's finest arts center, a transformation explicitly compared to a larger-scale improvement of the United States.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The Kennedy Center's columns are being painted white, replacing previously existing gold paint.
  • Many major improvements are being made to the Kennedy Center, including seating, carpeting, wall coverings, ceilings, chandeliers, stages, heating, and A/C.
  • The Kennedy Center will soon be the finest Arts and Entertainment Center in the World.
  • The Kennedy Center remains fully open during its construction, renovation, and beautification.
  • Donald Trump is performing a similar, albeit larger scale, improvement to the United States of America.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:China sent an extremely hostile letter announcing large-scale export controls on virtually all products, effective November 1st, 2025, which affects all countries. In response, the United States will impose a 100% tariff on China, in addition to existing tariffs, and implement export controls on critical software, also starting November 1st, 2025, or sooner.
Sentiment:Confrontational
Key Claims:
  • China has taken an extraordinarily aggressive position on Trade.
  • China sent an extremely hostile letter to the World.
  • China stated they would impose large-scale Export Controls on virtually every product they make, effective November 1st, 2025.
  • These Chinese export controls affect ALL Countries, without exception.
  • China's plan was devised years ago and is unheard of in International Trade.
  • China's action is a moral disgrace in dealing with other Nations.
  • The United States of America will impose a Tariff of 100% on China, over and above any current tariffs, starting November 1st, 2025 (or sooner).
  • The United States will impose Export Controls on any and all critical software, also starting November 1st, 2025.
  • It is impossible to believe that China would have taken such an action, but they have.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):10/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:10/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post announces that Israel and Hamas have signed the first phase of a peace plan, leading to the imminent release of all hostages and Israel's troop withdrawal to an agreed line, marking the first steps towards a lasting peace, facilitated by mediators from Qatar, Egypt, and Turkey.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Israel and Hamas have both signed off on the first Phase of a Peace Plan.
  • All Hostages will be released very soon.
  • Israel will withdraw their Troops to an agreed upon line.
  • These actions are the first steps toward a Strong, Durable, and Everlasting Peace.
  • All Parties will be treated fairly.
  • This is a GREAT Day for the Arab and Muslim World, Israel, all surrounding Nations, and the United States of America.
  • Mediators from Qatar, Egypt, and Turkey worked with the United States to make this Historic and Unprecedented Event happen.
  • Donald J. Trump is the President of the United States of America.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post asserts Hamas is a violent threat responsible for the October 7th massacre, states that over 25,000 Hamas "soldiers" have been killed, and that remaining fighters are trapped. It describes a peace deal agreed upon by Middle Eastern nations, the U.S., and Israel, which would spare Hamas lives and establish peace. The post warns that if Hamas does not agree to this deal by Sunday evening at 6 PM D.C. time, unprecedented conflict will erupt against them, while also urging innocent Palestinians to evacuate to safer parts of Gaza. It demands the immediate release of all hostages.
Sentiment:Threatening/Ultimatum
Key Claims:
  • Hamas has been a ruthless and violent threat for many years, culminating in the October 7th massacre.
  • Over 25,000 Hamas "soldiers" have been killed as retribution for the October 7th attack.
  • Most of the remaining Hamas fighters are militarily trapped.
  • Donald Trump can give the word to quickly extinguish the lives of trapped Hamas fighters.
  • Remaining Hamas members are known, will be hunted down, and killed.
  • Innocent Palestinians are asked to immediately leave areas of potentially great future death for safer parts of Gaza.
  • A peace deal has been agreed upon by Middle Eastern nations, the U.S., and Israel, bringing peace after 3000 years.
  • This peace deal spares the lives of all remaining Hamas fighters.
  • The details of the peace document are known to the world and are beneficial for all.
  • Hamas is given one last chance to accept the agreement.
  • An agreement must be reached with Hamas by Sunday Evening at 6 P.M., Washington, D.C. time.
  • Every Country has signed on to this agreement.
  • If the last chance agreement is not reached, "all HELL, like no one has ever seen before," will break out against Hamas.
  • Peace in the Middle East will be achieved "one way or the other."
  • All hostages, including the bodies of the dead, must be released immediately.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:9/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post asserts that the movie-making business has been taken from the United States by other countries, negatively impacting California due to the state's Governor. To address this, a 100% tariff on all movies made outside the United States is proposed.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • The movie-making business has been stolen from the United States by other countries.
  • California, with its 'weak and incompetent Governor,' has been particularly hard hit by this situation.
  • A 100% tariff on any and all movies made outside of the United States will solve this long-standing problem.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:A report on a shooting at a Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints in Grand Blanc, Michigan, with the FBI leading the investigation and the suspect dead. The incident is characterized as a targeted attack on Christians, and a call is made to end the epidemic of violence in the country, urging prayers for victims and their families.
Sentiment:Alarmed and Directive
Key Claims:
  • A horrendous shooting occurred at the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints in Grand Blanc, Michigan.
  • The FBI is leading the federal investigation and providing full support to State and Local Officials.
  • The suspect in the shooting is dead.
  • The incident appears to be a targeted attack on Christians in the United States of America.
  • The Trump Administration will keep the public posted on developments.
  • There is an epidemic of violence in the country that must end immediately.
  • Prayers are requested for the victims and their families.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Ukraine, with European Union and NATO support, is in a strong position to reclaim its original territory and potentially expand beyond, as Russia is experiencing significant economic difficulties and has demonstrated military ineptitude in a prolonged conflict. The United States will continue to supply weapons to NATO. Donald Trump, as President of the United States of America, wishes both countries well.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • Ukraine, with EU and NATO support, is positioned to fight and win back all its original territory.
  • Russia has been fighting aimlessly for three and a half years in a war that a 'Real Military Power' could have won in less than a week.
  • Russia is made to look like 'a paper tiger.'
  • Russia is experiencing significant economic trouble, including difficulties in obtaining gasoline, with most of its money spent on the war.
  • Ukraine possesses 'Great Spirit' and is improving.
  • Ukraine might be able to 'go further' than just taking back its original country.
  • Putin and Russia are in 'BIG Economic trouble,' presenting an opportune time for Ukraine to act.
  • The United States will continue to supply weapons to NATO for their discretion.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:A demand is made for Afghanistan to return Bagram Airbase to the United States, which the post asserts built the base, with a warning that "BAD THINGS ARE GOING TO HAPPEN!!!" if the demand is not met.
Sentiment:Threatening
Key Claims:
  • The United States of America built Bagram Airbase.
  • Afghanistan currently possesses Bagram Airbase.
  • Afghanistan must return Bagram Airbase to the United States.
  • Failure by Afghanistan to return Bagram Airbase will result in severe negative consequences.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10