The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post demands Venezuela immediately accept all prisoners and individuals from mental institutions that Venezuelan "Leadership" has allegedly forced into the United States, asserting that these individuals have caused significant harm and deaths. It warns that failure to comply will result in an "incalculable" price.
Sentiment:Threatening
Key Claims:
  • Venezuelan "Leadership" has forced prisoners and people from mental institutions into the United States.
  • These individuals include those from "the Worst in the World Insane Asylums."
  • Thousands of people in the United States have been badly hurt and killed by these individuals.
  • Venezuela must immediately accept these individuals back into their country.
  • Failure to comply with this demand will result in an "incalculable" price for Venezuela.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
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Summary:Donald Trump highlights his role in settling the war between Azerbaijan and Armenia, fostering friendships with President Ilham Aliyev and Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, and securing an everlasting friendship for the United States.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump helped settle the war between Azerbaijan and Armenia.
  • Donald Trump became friends with President Ilham Aliyev and Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan.
  • President Ilham Aliyev and Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan are 'Great Leaders and Men'.
  • The friendship fostered will be an everlasting friendship for Donald Trump.
  • The friendship fostered will be an everlasting friendship for the United States of America.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Donald Trump outlines a strategy to end the war between Russia and Ukraine, proposing that he is ready to implement major sanctions on Russia if all NATO nations agree to do the same and cease buying Russian oil. He also suggests that NATO collectively imposes 50% to 100% tariffs on China, to be removed after the war concludes, believing China's influence over Russia can be broken. Trump states the war is Biden's and Zelenskyy's, not his, and asserts that following his plan will quickly end the conflict and save lives.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump is ready to impose major sanctions on Russia when all NATO nations agree and stop buying Russian oil.
  • NATO's commitment to winning the war has been significantly less than 100%.
  • NATO nations purchasing Russian oil weakens their negotiating and bargaining power over Russia.
  • Placing 50% to 100% tariffs on China, to be withdrawn after the war, will help end the deadly war with Russia and Ukraine.
  • China has strong control and a grip over Russia.
  • Powerful tariffs on China will break its grip over Russia.
  • The war is Biden's and Zelenskyy's war, and would not have started if Donald Trump was President.
  • Donald Trump is offering to help stop the war and save thousands of Russian and Ukrainian lives.
  • 7,118 lives were lost last week alone in the conflict.
  • If NATO follows Trump's proposed actions, the war will end quickly and all those lives will be saved.
  • If NATO does not comply, they are wasting Donald Trump's time, and the time, energy, and money of the United States.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):9/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:10/10
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Summary:India and the United States are engaged in ongoing negotiations to address trade barriers, with an optimistic outlook for a successful resolution following upcoming discussions between the leaders.
Sentiment:Optimistic
Key Claims:
  • India and the United States are continuing negotiations to address trade barriers.
  • Upcoming discussions will take place with Prime Minister Modi.
  • A successful conclusion for both countries is anticipated without difficulty.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Donald Trump states that Israel has accepted his terms for ending the war and returning hostages, and issues a final warning to Hamas to accept these terms.
Sentiment:Ultimatum
Key Claims:
  • Everyone desires the return of hostages.
  • Everyone desires the end of the war.
  • The Israelis have accepted Donald Trump's terms for ending the war.
  • Hamas must now accept these terms.
  • Donald Trump has previously warned Hamas about non-acceptance.
  • This is Donald Trump's final warning to Hamas.
  • There will be severe consequences if Hamas does not accept.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:The post displays the official seal of the United States Department of War.
Sentiment:Forceful
Key Claims:
  • The post displays the official seal of the United States Department of War.
  • The seal conveys a message emphasizing military power and national defense.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:The President of the United States announces that Rudy Giuliani will be awarded the Presidential Medal of Freedom, describing him as the greatest Mayor in New York City history and a great American Patriot.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • The President of the United States will award Rudy Giuliani the Presidential Medal of Freedom.
  • Rudy Giuliani is the greatest Mayor in the history of New York City.
  • Rudy Giuliani is a great American Patriot.
  • The Presidential Medal of Freedom is the highest civilian honor in the country.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post asserts that all tariffs remain in effect despite an Appeals Court decision, which is deemed incorrect and partisan. It claims that removing tariffs would lead to a financial disaster and make the United States financially weak, emphasizing tariffs as the best tool to aid American workers, manufacturers, and farmers. The post also states that the U.S. will no longer tolerate enormous trade deficits or unfair trade barriers, and pledges to use tariffs, with the Supreme Court's help, to strengthen the nation.
Sentiment:Defiant Advocacy
Key Claims:
  • All tariffs are currently in effect.
  • An Appeals Court ruling to remove tariffs is incorrect and highly partisan.
  • The United States will ultimately prevail in the tariff dispute.
  • Removing these tariffs would be a total disaster for the Country.
  • Removing these tariffs would make the U.S. financially weak.
  • The U.S.A. will no longer tolerate enormous Trade Deficits and unfair Tariffs and Non Tariff Trade Barriers imposed by other Countries.
  • The Appeals Court Decision, if allowed to stand, would literally destroy the United States of America.
  • Tariffs are the best tool to help American Workers and support Companies that produce great MADE IN AMERICA products.
  • Past politicians were uncaring and unwise for allowing tariffs to be used against the U.S.
  • Tariffs will be used, with the help of the United States Supreme Court, to benefit the Nation and Make America Rich, Strong, and Powerful Again!
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:Cracker Barrel is advised to revert its logo, acknowledge customer feedback, and improve company management to capitalize on recent publicity. The former President asserts that he previously made the United States the "HOTTEST" country globally after it was "DEAD."
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • Cracker Barrel should revert to its old logo.
  • Cracker Barrel should admit a mistake based on customer response.
  • Cracker Barrel should manage the company better.
  • Cracker Barrel received a "Billion Dollars worth of free publicity" and has a "great opportunity."
  • Cracker Barrel should hold a major News Conference today to become a "WINNER again."
  • The former President made the United States of America the “HOTTEST” Country anywhere in the World in a short period.
  • One year prior, the United States was “DEAD.”
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The United States of America now fully owns and controls 10% of INTEL, a transaction negotiated by the author with Lip-Bu Tan, INTEL's CEO. The U.S. acquired these shares at no cost, and they are currently valued at approximately $11 billion. This deal is highlighted as beneficial for both America and INTEL, underscoring the national importance of semiconductor production.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • The United States of America fully owns and controls 10% of INTEL.
  • The author negotiated this deal with Lip-Bu Tan, INTEL's CEO.
  • The United States paid nothing for these shares.
  • The acquired shares are valued at approximately $11 billion.
  • The deal is a great deal for America and INTEL.
  • Building leading-edge semiconductors and chips is fundamental to the future of the nation.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):9/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10