The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post expresses appreciation and congratulations to an individual named "Lenny," identifying this person as a victor and champion, and concludes with a prominent campaign slogan, linking to a news article about a veteran.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Lenny is recognized as a "WINNER" and "CHAMPION."
  • The political slogan "MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!" is affirmed.
  • The post is attributed to "President DJT."
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:India and the US share a close friendship and natural partnership, with ongoing trade negotiations aimed at maximizing the potential of their bilateral relationship. Teams are working to swiftly conclude these discussions, and a future meeting between Narendra Modi and President Trump is expected to further secure a brighter and more prosperous future for both nations.
Sentiment:Cooperative
Key Claims:
  • India and the US are close friends and natural partners.
  • Trade negotiations will unlock the limitless potential of the India-US partnership.
  • Teams are working to conclude trade discussions at the earliest.
  • Narendra Modi is looking forward to speaking with President Trump.
  • India and the US will work together for a brighter, more prosperous future for both their people.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:The post congratulates Missouri Republican State Legislators for overwhelmingly passing a new congressional map, which is described as fairer and improved. This map is expected to facilitate the election of an additional MAGA Republican in the 2026 Midterm Elections. The Missouri Senate is urged to pass this map without changes to secure a significant Republican victory.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Missouri Republican State Legislators overwhelmingly passed a new congressional map.
  • The new congressional map is fairer and improved.
  • Donald Trump won Missouri six times, including primaries, in 2016, 2020, and 2024, achieving the highest number of votes for any office in the state's history.
  • The new map will allow for the election of an additional MAGA Republican in the 2026 Midterm Elections.
  • The Missouri Senate must pass the map 'as is' to deliver a gigantic victory for Republicans in Missouri and across the country.
  • Donald Trump will be closely watching the Missouri Senate's action.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:India and the United States are engaged in ongoing negotiations to address trade barriers, with an optimistic outlook for a successful resolution following upcoming discussions between the leaders.
Sentiment:Optimistic
Key Claims:
  • India and the United States are continuing negotiations to address trade barriers.
  • Upcoming discussions will take place with Prime Minister Modi.
  • A successful conclusion for both countries is anticipated without difficulty.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Elizabeth Tsurkov, a Princeton Student, has been released by Kata’ib Hezbollah (MILITANT Hezbollah) and is now safely in the American Embassy in Iraq after being tortured for many months. The author will always fight for justice and demands that Hamas release the hostages immediately.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Elizabeth Tsurkov has been released by Kata’ib Hezbollah.
  • Elizabeth Tsurkov is now safely in the American Embassy in Iraq.
  • Elizabeth Tsurkov was tortured for many months.
  • The author's sister is an American Citizen.
  • The author will always fight for justice and never give up.
  • Hamas must release the hostages immediately.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:5/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:The post describes an Israeli military attack on Hamas in Doha, Qatar, which the Trump Administration was informed of but did not authorize. It details the administration's immediate diplomatic actions to reassure Qatar, emphasize the importance of peace, and solidify U.S. alliances in the region, including directing the finalization of a Defense Cooperation Agreement with Qatar.
Sentiment:Diplomatic Resolution
Key Claims:
  • The Trump Administration was notified that Israel attacked Hamas in Doha, Qatar.
  • The attack was a decision made by Prime Minister Netanyahu, not by the Trump Administration.
  • Bombing unilaterally inside Qatar, a sovereign nation and close U.S. ally, does not advance Israel or America’s goals.
  • Eliminating Hamas is a worthy goal.
  • Special Envoy Steve Witkoff was directed to inform the Qataris of the impending attack, but it was too late to stop it.
  • Qatar is viewed as a strong Ally and friend of the U.S.
  • The location of the attack is regrettable.
  • All hostages and bodies of the dead must be released, and the war must end immediately.
  • Prime Minister Netanyahu stated he wants to make peace.
  • This incident could serve as an opportunity for peace.
  • The Emir and Prime Minister of Qatar were thanked for their support and friendship.
  • Assurance was given to Qatar that such an event will not happen again on their soil.
  • Secretary of State Marco Rubio was directed to finalize the Defense Cooperation Agreement with Qatar.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:The post asserts the Federal Reserve should have raised rates in early 2021, stating the organization is broken, incompetent, and uses outdated information. It expresses strong disagreement with Ken Griffin regarding defending theoretical independence, arguing that the Fed's two-target approach is rigid and its disregard for money supply is a significant problem. It further claims Chair Powell was late to raise rates, is dragging his feet on cuts, and predicts significant rate reductions of 50, 75, or even 100 basis points.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • The Fed should have raised rates in early 2021.
  • The entire Fed organization is broken and needs to be fixed.
  • The Fed needs to use modern sources of information.
  • There is strong disagreement with Ken Griffin's position on defending theoretical independence.
  • Incompetence at the Fed is a more significant issue than defending theoretical independence.
  • The Fed's adapted 'two target' approach is too low and rigid.
  • The Fed followed data that is years delayed.
  • The Fed's disbelief in the importance of money supply is a major problem.
  • Chair Powell was late to raise rates.
  • Interest rates need to come down.
  • Chair Powell is delaying rate cuts.
  • The Fed is expected to cut rates by 50, 75, or potentially 100 basis points.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:America holds a belief in the power of prayer and will be made greater, stronger, more united, and more faithful.
Sentiment:Unifying
Key Claims:
  • America's historical belief in the power of prayer
  • A commitment to making the country greater
  • A commitment to making the country stronger
  • A commitment to making the country more united
  • A commitment to making the country more faithful
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post congratulates Nick Bosa on an outstanding play during the San Francisco 49ers' victory over Seattle, identifying him as a natural talent.
Sentiment:Celebratory
Key Claims:
  • Nick Bosa made an unbelievable play.
  • The San Francisco 49ers won against Seattle.
  • Nick Bosa was born to be a star.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:A Ukrainian refugee, who came to America to escape war, was brutally ambushed and killed on the Charlotte Metro by a career criminal. The perpetrator was previously arrested and released on cashless bail 14 times. The post holds Democrats, including former Governor Roy Cooper, responsible for the death, attributing it to their refusal to imprison criminals. It calls for "LAW AND ORDER" which Republicans will deliver and criticizes the Mainstream Media for its lack of outrage, endorsing Michael Whatley for United States Senate.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • A beautiful, young Ukrainian refugee was brutally ambushed and killed on the Charlotte Metro.
  • The perpetrator was a well-known career criminal who had been arrested and released on cashless bail 14 times.
  • The blood of the innocent woman is on the hands of Democrats, including Roy Cooper, who refuse to put bad people in jail.
  • North Carolina, and every state, needs "LAW AND ORDER."
  • Only Republicans will deliver "LAW AND ORDER."
  • The Mainstream Media shows a lack of outrage over this tragedy.
  • Voters should elect Michael Whatley for United States Senate to prevent such incidents from recurring.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10