The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post presents an opinion piece from the New York Post, featuring a political cartoon that strongly criticizes the Democratic Party's alleged actions concerning immigration and crime, characterizing them as 'Jim Crow on steroids.' The accompanying articles discuss the potential for a transformative 'Epic' presidency under Donald Trump, aiming to forge a new political era, and propose reshaping higher education by modeling it after Southern universities.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • A new Trump presidency is depicted as 'epic' and capable of forging a new political era.
  • The Democratic Party is accused of attempting to deport its 'undocumented migrant base' and arresting the 'carjacker block,' with these actions labeled as 'Jim Crow on steroids'.
  • Southern universities are presented as a superior model for higher education compared to Northeastern universities, which are described as having issues with 'wokeness,' 'anti-American,' and 'antisemitic violence'.
  • The narrative claims that a Trump administration implemented policies beneficial to the US, such as border policies, tariffs, and reining in government spending.
  • The narrative suggests a Trump second term would be more consequential than Ronald Reagan's presidency.
  • The post implies that Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) policies are linked to problems in government and universities.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:A successful day of diplomatic engagements in Alaska led to a consensus among leaders to pursue a direct Peace Agreement to end the Russia-Ukraine war, with a meeting scheduled for President Zelenskyy in Washington D.C., potentially followed by a meeting with President Putin, aimed at saving millions of lives.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A great and very successful day occurred in Alaska.
  • The meeting with President Vladimir Putin of Russia went very well.
  • A late night phone call with President Zelenskyy of Ukraine and various European Leaders, including the Secretary General of NATO, also went very well.
  • All parties determined that a direct Peace Agreement, not a mere Ceasefire Agreement, is the best way to end the Russia-Ukraine war.
  • President Zelenskyy will visit the Oval Office in Washington D.C. on Monday afternoon.
  • If President Zelenskyy's visit works out, a meeting with President Putin will be scheduled.
  • These actions potentially will save millions of people's lives.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
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Summary:The author is traveling to Alaska.
Sentiment:Informational
Key Claims:
  • The author is currently en route to Alaska.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post declares Jasmine Crockett as the future of the Democrat Party.
Sentiment:Rhetorical
Key Claims:
  • Jasmine Crockett is identified as the future leader or key figure of the Democrat Party.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Democrats are described as funding protestors to counter an attack on crime, with these protestors identified as criminals who endorse criminal behavior and are deemed unelectable.
Sentiment:Accusatory
Key Claims:
  • Democrats are observed buying protestors.
  • The purpose of buying protestors is to fight an attack on crime.
  • The protestors are criminals.
  • The protestors support crime.
  • The protestors are unelectable.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:A positive conversation occurred between Donald Trump and President Aleksandr Lukashenko of Belarus, focusing on the release of prisoners and a future meeting.
Sentiment:Diplomatic
Key Claims:
  • A wonderful talk occurred with Aleksandr Lukashenko.
  • The purpose of the call was to thank Lukashenko for releasing 16 prisoners.
  • Discussions included the release of an additional 1,300 prisoners.
  • President Putin’s visit to Alaska was discussed.
  • Donald Trump looks forward to meeting President Lukashenko in the future.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post commemorates the tenth anniversary of an event that occurred at the Iowa State Fair.
Sentiment:Recollective
Key Claims:
  • The post marks the ten-year anniversary of an event that took place at the Iowa State Fair.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post asserts that an unspecified situation is of significant importance or consequence.
Sentiment:Emphatic
Key Claims:
  • The current situation carries high importance or significant consequences.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:A survey report indicates that Thomas Massie's standing among likely Republican primary voters in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District has significantly declined, making him vulnerable to a Republican challenger endorsed by President Trump, whose policies Massie is perceived to have opposed.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • A "MAGA Kentucky" advertising campaign has caused Thomas Massie's polling numbers to decline.
  • Thomas Massie is now extremely vulnerable in a Republican primary election for Congress.
  • Republican primary voters are rejecting Thomas Massie's record of standing with Democrats against President Trump's tax cuts and policies.
  • Massie's favorable image rating has shifted from a net +14 to a net -11, a 25-point net negative swing.
  • Massie's job approval rating has shifted from a net +11 to a net -16, a 27-point net negative shift.
  • The perception of Massie's ideology becoming more liberal has increased from 13% to 27%, while his conservative rating decreased from 62% to 45%.
  • Thomas Massie's re-elect score decreased from 41% in June to 30%.
  • An incumbent with a re-elect score under 40% is considered vulnerable in a primary.
  • A Republican candidate endorsed and backed by President Trump would be in a strong position to win.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post acknowledges the long-standing prestige of the Kennedy Center Honors, which began in 1978, and highlights that this year's selection of honorees by the board is genuinely exceptional.
Sentiment:Appreciative
Key Claims:
  • The Kennedy Center Honors have been a highly prestigious performing arts award since 1978.
  • The board has chosen an exceptional group of honorees for the current year.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities: