The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The White House is actively engaged in multiple trade negotiations, including an upcoming meeting with South Korea regarding tariff reductions and a recently concluded deal with Pakistan to develop its oil reserves. These efforts are presented as integral to significantly reducing the United States' trade deficit.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • The White House is very busy working on trade deals.
  • Leaders of many countries desire to make the United States 'extremely happy.'
  • A meeting with the South Korean Trade Delegation is scheduled to discuss offers to buy down 25% tariffs.
  • A deal has been concluded with Pakistan for joint development of its massive oil reserves.
  • An oil company is in the process of being chosen to lead the US-Pakistan oil partnership.
  • There is a possibility of Pakistan selling oil to India in the future.
  • Other countries are also making offers for tariff reductions.
  • These trade actions are projected to significantly reduce the US trade deficit.
  • A full report on these matters will be released at an appropriate time.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
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Summary:Mandy Gunasekara delivered an outstanding segment on Varney & Co., effectively explaining the "Environment Scam." Her insights included a deep understanding of windmills, which are characterized as the ultimate "Hoax" and "money losing monstrosities." The Trump Administration will not grant approval for any of these windmills.
Sentiment:Policy-focused
Key Claims:
  • Mandy Gunasekara's appearance on Varney & Co. was excellent.
  • Mandy Gunasekara understands the nature of the "Environment Scam."
  • Windmills are described as the "biggest Hoax of them all" and "money losing monstrosities."
  • The Trump Administration will not approve any windmills.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
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Summary:Donald Trump expresses gratitude for remarks from Ralph Norman, who regards him as a phenomenon for making the federal government accountable.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump is a phenomenon for his work.
  • Donald Trump is making the federal government accountable.
  • Donald Trump expresses gratitude for supportive remarks.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post highlights a 2Q GDP growth of 3%, stating it is significantly better than expected, and advocates for an immediate reduction in interest rates, asserting there is no inflation and that lower rates would enable people to buy and refinance homes.
Sentiment:Policy Advocacy
Key Claims:
  • 2Q GDP is 3%
  • 2Q GDP growth is 'way better than expected'
  • The entity responsible for setting interest rates 'MUST NOW LOWER THE RATE'
  • There is 'No Inflation'
  • Lower interest rates will allow people to buy and refinance their homes
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:The United States experiences a massive trade deficit with India.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • The United States experiences a massive trade deficit with India.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:India's high tariffs and non-monetary trade barriers have limited business with the United States. India's significant military and energy purchases from Russia are problematic given the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Consequently, India will face a 25% tariff and an additional penalty starting August 1st.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • India's tariffs are excessively high and are among the highest globally.
  • India possesses the most strenuous and obnoxious non-monetary trade barriers.
  • Limited business has been conducted with India over the years due to these barriers.
  • India is a major buyer of Russian military equipment.
  • India is Russia's largest buyer of energy, along with China.
  • These actions by India are contrary to efforts to stop the conflict in Ukraine.
  • India will be subject to a 25% tariff plus a penalty starting August 1st.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:The post declares August First as a great day for America.
Sentiment:Optimistic
Key Claims:
  • August First is a great day for America.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
N/A
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Summary:The post asserts an August First deadline is firm, unchangeable, and will not be extended, declaring it a significant day for America.
Sentiment:Decisive
Key Claims:
  • An August First deadline exists.
  • The August First deadline stands strong.
  • The August First deadline will not be extended.
  • August First will be a big day for America.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:A tsunami warning is in effect for Hawaii, and a tsunami watch is in effect for Alaska and the Pacific Coast of the United States, following a massive earthquake in the Pacific Ocean, with Japan also being in the path of the event.
Sentiment:Informational
Key Claims:
  • A massive earthquake occurred in the Pacific Ocean.
  • A Tsunami Warning is in effect for Hawaii.
  • A Tsunami Watch is in effect for Alaska and the Pacific Coast of the United States.
  • Japan is also in the path of the potential tsunami.
  • Individuals are advised to visit tsunami.gov for the latest information.
  • A message of encouragement to stay strong and safe is extended.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:ICE agents are removing dangerous criminals from the country, including terrorists, pedophiles, and gang members, who were allowed in under Joe Biden's administration; the post calls for more people to join ICE to enhance national safety.
Sentiment:Campaigning and Directive
Key Claims:
  • ICE Law Enforcement Agents are removing dangerous criminals from the country quickly
  • The removed individuals include terrorists, pedophiles, MS-13 gang members, murderers, rapists, and drug/human traffickers
  • Joe Biden allowed these criminals into the country
  • More courageous men and women are needed to join ICE to make America safe
  • ICE will provide good care for its agents
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10