The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

Buy Me A Coffee
Currently showing: All Posts | Activate Red-Alert Filter
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:A CNBC article headline reports that the Treasury experienced an unexpected surplus in June, with the surplus attributed to a surge in tariff receipts.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • The Treasury recorded an unexpected surplus in June.
  • The surplus was caused by a surge in tariff receipts.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:US customs duties have surpassed $100 billion for the first time in a fiscal year, a record high, as reported by Reuters.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • US customs duties reached over $100 billion in a single fiscal year.
  • This achievement marks the first time customs duties have exceeded this threshold.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Consideration is being given to revoking Rosie O'Donnell's citizenship, based on the belief that she is not in the best interests of the country and is a threat to humanity, with a suggestion that she should remain in Ireland.
Sentiment:Condemnatory
Key Claims:
  • Rosie O’Donnell is not in the best interests of the Great Country.
  • Serious consideration is being given to taking away Rosie O’Donnell’s citizenship.
  • Rosie O’Donnell is a Threat to Humanity.
  • Rosie O’Donnell should remain in Ireland.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The White House announces its intent to impose a 30% tariff on all European Union products imported into the United States starting August 1, 2025. This action is presented as a response to persistent trade deficits and non-reciprocal trade practices with the EU, which are deemed a threat to U.S. economy and national security. The letter indicates that if the EU retaliates with its own tariffs, those amounts will be added on top of the existing 30% U.S. tariff, while offering tariff exemptions for EU companies that manufacture within the United States.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • The United States has a long-term, large, and persistent trade deficit with the European Union.
  • The trade deficit is caused by European Union tariffs and non-tariff barriers, making the relationship non-reciprocal.
  • Effective August 1, 2025, the U.S. will charge a 30% tariff on all European Union products sent into the United States.
  • Goods transshipped to evade higher tariffs will be subject to those higher tariffs.
  • No tariffs will apply if European Union companies decide to build or manufacture products within the United States.
  • The U.S. will facilitate quick approvals for European Union companies manufacturing within the United States.
  • The European Union is expected to allow complete, open market access to the United States without U.S. tariffs.
  • If the European Union retaliates by raising its tariffs, that amount will be added onto the 30% U.S. tariff.
  • These tariffs are necessary to correct the many years of European Union Tariff and Non-Tariff Policies and Trade Barriers.
  • The large and unsustainable trade deficits against the United States are a major threat to the U.S. economy and national security.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):9/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:5/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:A letter from the White House to the President of Mexico states that the United States will impose a 30% tariff on all Mexican products starting August 1, 2025. This action is attributed to Mexico's failure to stop drug cartels and the flow of fentanyl into the US, and to address unsustainable trade deficits. The letter specifies that transshipped goods will also be subject to the tariff and that if Mexico raises its tariffs, the US will add that increase to its 30% charge. It also notes that companies can avoid tariffs by manufacturing products within the United States.
Sentiment:Threatening
Key Claims:
  • The United States will charge a 30% tariff on all Mexican products starting August 1, 2025.
  • The tariffs are being imposed due to Mexico's failure to stop drug cartels and the flow of fentanyl into the United States.
  • Cartels are attempting to turn North America into a 'Narco-Trafficking Playground'.
  • Goods transshipped through Mexico to evade higher tariffs will be subject to the higher tariff.
  • If Mexico decides to raise its tariffs, the US will add that increase to its 30% charge.
  • Companies can avoid tariffs by building or manufacturing products within the United States.
  • The flow of fentanyl is not the only challenge; unsustainable trade deficits are a major threat to the US economy and national security.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):9/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post announces an endorsement for Zach Nunn in the Iowa-03 congressional race, highlighting his qualities as a combat veteran, commitment to holding the majority, and alignment with MAGA principles, while advocating for farmers, lower taxes, and the Second Amendment.
Sentiment:Endorsing
Key Claims:
  • Zach Nunn is a Great Combat Veteran.
  • Zach Nunn is committed to holding the majority.
  • Zach Nunn is a team player with a tremendous future.
  • Zach Nunn is 100% MAGA.
  • Zach Nunn needs full support to win Iowa-03.
  • Zach Nunn is fighting for the Farmer.
  • Zach Nunn is fighting for everything Iowa stands for, including Lower Taxes and the Second Amendment.
  • Zach Nunn has complete and total endorsement.
  • Zach Nunn will not let 'you' down.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post promotes Salena Zito's new book, "BUTLER," which details the near assassination of Donald Trump and the struggle for America's Heartland, emphasizing the resilient spirit of a movement dedicated to making America great again.
Sentiment:Mobilizing
Key Claims:
  • Salena Zito has written a new book titled "BUTLER: The Untold Story of the Near Assassination of Donald Trump and the Fight for America’s Heartland."
  • Salena Zito was an eyewitness to the "terrible day" of the near assassination of Donald Trump.
  • The 'Movement' possesses an "unbreakable Spirit" to "FIGHT, FIGHT, FIGHT."
  • The future of the Nation resides in the "Hearts and Souls of the People of this Country."
  • The movement will not cease its efforts until "MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN" is accomplished.
  • The book is available for preorder.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post describes an incident where individuals violently attacked ICE Officers' vehicles with rocks and bricks in Texas, causing significant damage. It expresses the officers' difficulty with such disrespect for law and order. The author states a directive has been issued to Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem and Border Czar Tom Homan, instructing all law enforcement officers receiving such assaults to stop their vehicles and arrest the individuals using all necessary means. Total authorization is granted for ICE to protect itself and for immediate arrest and incarceration.
Sentiment:Authoritative Directive
Key Claims:
  • Thugs violently threw rocks and bricks at ICE Officers' vehicles in Texas.
  • Tremendous damage was done to new official vehicles.
  • Officers are having a hard time with the disrespect shown for law and order.
  • A directive is issued to Secretary Noem and Border Czar Homan.
  • The directive instructs all law enforcement officers to stop their cars and arrest individuals who assault them with rocks, bricks, or any other form of assault, using whatever means necessary.
  • Total authorization is granted for ICE to protect itself.
  • Authorization for arrest and incarceration is immediately granted.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:The author asserts an obligation to perform well, stating that personal deliverance was for the purpose of saving the country.
Sentiment:Mission-oriented
Key Claims:
  • The author has an obligation to do a good job
  • The author believes they were saved to save the country
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:The post declares the United States as the preeminent nation globally.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • The United States is currently the 'hottest Country anywhere in the world'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities: