The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post commends Tom Homan and Kristi Noem for their work.
Sentiment:Supportive
Key Claims:
  • Tom Homan and Kristi Noem are performing a fantastic job
  • Their efforts are commendable and deserve thanks
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post commends Pete Hegseth, referred to as 'Secretary of War,' and Brett Velicovich for their insights on modern weapons and warfare discussed on FoxNews, expressing optimism about current progress, and concludes with a political slogan.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Pete Hegseth, identified as 'Secretary of War,' performed 'great' on FoxNews.
  • Pete Hegseth discussed modern weapons and warfare.
  • Brett Velicovich possesses significant knowledge ('really knows his "stuff"').
  • There is a strong sense of progress ('We are really on our way').
  • The 'MAGA' movement is endorsed.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post expresses gratitude to USA TODAY for an opinion piece asserting that Donald Trump merits the Nobel Peace Prize, citing that his achievements exceed those of previous recipients.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Gratitude is expressed towards USA Today.
  • A claim is presented that Trump deserves the Nobel Peace Prize.
  • A claim is presented that Trump's achievements are greater than those of past Nobel Peace Prize winners.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Expresses congratulations to Bryan Bedford on his confirmation to lead the FAA and describes him as very talented.
Sentiment:Congratulatory
Key Claims:
  • Bryan Bedford has been confirmed to head the FAA
  • Bryan Bedford is a very talented person
  • The author extends congratulations
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The United States is escalating trade measures against Canada, planning to impose a 35% tariff on all Canadian products starting August 1, 2025. This action is attributed to Canada's alleged financial retaliation, its failure to stop fentanyl from entering the U.S. contributing to the fentanyl crisis, and Canada's 'extraordinary Tariffs' on U.S. Dairy Farmers, which contribute to an unsustainable trade deficit that is a threat to U.S. economy and national security. The U.S. also states that if Canada increases its tariffs, an additional 35% will be added to the U.S. tariff.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Canada financially retaliated against the United States.
  • Canada's failure to stop drugs from entering the U.S. contributed to the U.S. fentanyl crisis.
  • The United States will impose a 35% tariff on all Canadian products starting August 1, 2025.
  • Goods transshipped to evade the U.S. tariff will also be subject to that tariff.
  • The United States will quickly approve Canadian companies building or manufacturing products within the U.S.
  • If Canada raises its tariffs, an additional 35% will be added to the U.S. tariff.
  • Canada charges extraordinary Tariffs (up to 400%) on U.S. Dairy Farmers.
  • The trade deficit with Canada is a major threat to the U.S. Economy and National Security.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Donald Trump instructs all Republicans to support his Recissions Bill, specifically to defund the Corporation for Public Broadcasting (PBS and NPR), asserting that these organizations are worse than CNN and MSDNC combined, and states that any Republican who votes against defunding them will not receive his support or endorsement.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • All Republicans must adhere to the Recissions Bill.
  • The Recissions Bill specifically mandates defunding the Corporation for Public Broadcasting (PBS and NPR).
  • The Corporation for Public Broadcasting (PBS and NPR) is worse than CNN and MSDNC put together.
  • Any Republican who votes to allow the Corporation for Public Broadcasting to continue broadcasting will not have the author's support.
  • Any Republican who votes to allow the Corporation for Public Broadcasting to continue broadcasting will not have the author's endorsement.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post announces the nomination of William W. Mercer to serve as Judge on the United States District Court for the District of Montana, highlighting his extensive experience at the Department of Justice and as United States Attorney for the District of Montana, and commending him as strong, smart, and committed to upholding the Rule of Law and defending the Constitution.
Sentiment:Commendatory
Key Claims:
  • William W. Mercer is nominated to serve as a Judge on the United States District Court for the District of Montana.
  • William W. Mercer possesses tremendous experience, having previously served at the Department of Justice.
  • William W. Mercer previously served as United States Attorney for the District of Montana.
  • William W. Mercer is strong and smart.
  • William W. Mercer will fearlessly uphold the Rule of Law on the Federal Bench.
  • William W. Mercer will defend the Constitution on the Federal Bench.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Announcement of Nick Adams' nomination as the next United States Ambassador to Malaysia, highlighting his qualities and past achievements as a patriot, entrepreneur, author, speaker, and commentator.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Nick Adams will be nominated as the next United States Ambassador to Malaysia.
  • Nick Adams is an incredible Patriot.
  • Nick Adams is a very successful entrepreneur.
  • Nick Adams' love of and devotion to the Great Country is an inspiration.
  • Nick Adams is a bestselling author.
  • Nick Adams is a speaker and commentator.
  • Nick Adams graduated from the University of Sydney.
  • Nick Adams has made it his life’s mission to extol the Virtues of American Greatness.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:A CIA report has exposed extensive corruption among top intelligence officials, who allegedly conspired to frame President Donald Trump and remove him from office during his first term. This operation was reportedly funded by Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign and Democrats, initiated by a foreign agent, and involved collaboration with the FBI, CIA, Department of Justice, and the media.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • A CIA report exposed rank corruption among top intelligence officials.
  • Top intelligence officials connived to frame President Donald Trump and drive him from office during his first term.
  • The operation was secretly financed by Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign and Democrats.
  • The scheme was conceived by a foreign agent with a checkered past in espionage.
  • The scheme was brokered to solicitous collaborators at the FBI, CIA, the Department of Justice, and the Trump-hating media.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:The post asserts that violent rhetoric is being used against agents of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE).
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Violent rhetoric is being directed towards ICE agents.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities: