The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post employs a common idiom to convey that an action or response occurred after the opportune moment and was inadequate in its scope or impact.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • An unnamed action or response was delayed.
  • The unnamed action or response was insufficient or inadequate.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
N/A
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post asserts that the USA has achieved the status of the world's top credit, experiencing a 'Gigantic Comeback,' and demands that the Federal Reserve lower interest rates to reflect this economic strength.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • The phrase 'Too Late' demeans the great credit of the USA.
  • The USA is now the Number One Credit in the World.
  • The USA is experiencing a 'Gigantic Comeback.'
  • The Fed Rate should be reflective of the USA's top credit standing.
  • The Federal Reserve should lower the interest rate.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post asserts that US stock markets, including tech, industrial, and NASDAQ, have achieved record highs, with cryptocurrency values also surging. It highlights NVIDIA's 47% increase since the implementation of specific tariffs, which are reportedly generating hundreds of billions of dollars for the USA, indicating the country's economic resurgence. The post advocates for the Federal Reserve to rapidly lower interest rates to align with this economic strength, emphasizing the absence of inflation and the USA's premier global economic standing.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Tech Stocks, Industrial Stocks, and NASDAQ have reached all-time record highs.
  • Cryptocurrency values are 'through the roof'.
  • NVIDIA's stock is up 47% since the introduction of Trump tariffs.
  • The USA is collecting hundreds of billions of dollars from tariffs.
  • The country has fully recovered economically and is 'back'.
  • The current economic strength is a 'great credit'.
  • The Federal Reserve should rapidly lower interest rates to reflect the nation's economic strength.
  • The USA should be considered at the 'top of the list' economically.
  • There is no inflation.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post asserts that Donald Trump was framed by a conspiracy involving high-ranking officials such as John Brennan and James Comey, who are depicted as manipulating intelligence and legal processes to undermine his presidency, ultimately failing in their efforts.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Trump was framed.
  • The collusion narrative was a conspiracy itself.
  • Collaborators knew the narrative was a lie but manipulated the Dossier and the CIA.
  • Brennan and Comey manipulated the system and the Dossier.
  • Brennan and Comey abused their power.
  • Comey launched a case against Trump in violation of FBI Regulations.
  • Comey deceived the FISA Court with the Dossier to gain a Spy Warrant.
  • John Brennan used the Dossier knowing it was 'GARBAGE' and insisted it be included in the Intelligence Committee Assessment to elevate its credibility and drive Trump from office.
  • Brennan told Congress the Dossier was not in the Assessment, but it was.
  • Brennan can be charged.
  • Brennan and Comey single-handedly eroded confidence and trust in the American Government, particularly the FBI, CIA, and other agencies, setting back America considerably.
  • James Comey is obsessed with his hatred of Trump, which drove the 'Russia Hoax' and 'Witch Hunt'.
  • Comey, more than anybody else, drove the 'Witch Hunt'.
  • Comey failed and got fired, which he hates.
  • Comey purloined FBI Documents and leaked them to the Media to trigger a Special Counsel (Bob Mueller) and drive Trump from office.
  • Comey's scheme ultimately failed.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Donald Trump announces the interim appointment of Sean Duffy, current Secretary of Transportation, as the interim Administrator of NASA, praising his prior work in transportation.
Sentiment:Announcing Appointment
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump is directing Sean Duffy to be Interim Administrator of NASA.
  • Sean Duffy currently serves as the Secretary of Transportation.
  • Sean Duffy has effectively managed the country’s transportation affairs.
  • Sean Duffy created state-of-the-art Air Traffic Control systems.
  • Sean Duffy rebuilt roads and bridges, making them efficient and beautiful.
  • Sean Duffy is expected to be a fantastic leader of NASA.
  • Sean Duffy's appointment to NASA is for a short period of time.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:An announcement details a 50% tariff on copper, effective August 1, 2025, following a national security assessment, with the stated purpose of rebuilding a dominant domestic copper industry and reversing current administration policies.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • A 50% tariff on copper will be implemented, effective August 1, 2025.
  • The tariff is based on a robust national security assessment.
  • Copper is essential for various critical components including Semiconductors, Aircraft, Ships, Ammunition, Data Centers, Lithium-ion Batteries, Radar Systems, Missile Defense Systems, and Hypersonic Weapons.
  • Copper is the second most used material by the Department of Defense.
  • Past and current 'Leaders' are responsible for decimating the copper industry.
  • The 50% tariff will reverse the Biden Administration’s actions.
  • America will re-establish a dominant copper industry.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
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Summary:The post celebrates Senator Lindsey Graham's birthday, commends his loyalty, and solicits support from South Carolina voters for his re-election campaign next year, invoking the 'MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN' slogan.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • It is Senator Lindsey Graham's birthday.
  • Senator Lindsey Graham is a loyal supporter.
  • Senator Lindsey Graham is seeking re-election next year.
  • Voters in South Carolina are encouraged to ensure Senator Graham's significant re-election victory.
  • The message aligns with the 'MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN' movement.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Endorses Senator Tom Cotton for re-election, praising his service, patriotism, and efforts in areas such as military strength, veterans' care, border security, tax cuts, energy dominance, and Second Amendment protection.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Senator Tom Cotton works incredibly hard for the Great State of Arkansas.
  • The author won Arkansas big in 2016, 2020, and 2024.
  • Senator Tom Cotton loves the U.S.A. and is an American Patriot.
  • Senator Tom Cotton bravely served the Nation in combat as a former U.S. Army Ranger.
  • Senator Tom Cotton brings a 'Fighting Spirit' to the U.S. Senate.
  • Senator Tom Cotton is working tirelessly to strengthen the military.
  • Senator Tom Cotton is working to provide the best care for veterans.
  • Senator Tom Cotton is working to help secure the Southern Border, which is described as 'VERY Secure (Record Setting!).'
  • Senator Tom Cotton is working to cut taxes and regulations.
  • Senator Tom Cotton is working to ensure American Energy DOMINANCE.
  • Senator Tom Cotton is working to protect the Second Amendment, which is described as 'always under siege.'
  • The author gives complete and total endorsement for Tom Cotton's re-election.
  • Senator Tom Cotton will never let people down.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post declares strong endorsement for Senator Roger Marshall's re-election, highlighting his qualifications as a medical doctor and veteran, and his work on various policy priorities including national defense, economic growth, tax cuts, border security, energy, and the Second Amendment.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Senator Roger Marshall is an incredibly strong advocate for the people of Kansas.
  • Donald Trump won Kansas in 2016, 2020, and 2024.
  • Roger Marshall is a distinguished Medical Doctor and U.S. Army Veteran.
  • Roger Marshall knows how to defend the country, support the military/veterans, and ensure peace through strength.
  • In the U.S. Senate, Roger Marshall is working hard to champion farmers and American agriculture.
  • Roger Marshall works to grow the economy, cut taxes and regulations.
  • Roger Marshall helps secure the 'very secure' (record setting!) Southern Border.
  • Roger Marshall champions American Energy DOMINANCE.
  • Roger Marshall defends the Second Amendment.
  • Donald Trump gives Roger Marshall his complete and total endorsement for re-election.
  • Roger Marshall will never let Kansas down.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The United States informs Sri Lanka via a letter dated July 9, 2025, that it will impose a 30% tariff on all Sri Lankan products entering the US starting August 1, 2025. This action is stated as a response to a significant and persistent trade deficit caused by Sri Lanka's tariffs and trade barriers, which are deemed a major threat to the US economy and national security. The letter indicates that tariffs can be avoided if Sri Lankan companies manufacture products within the United States, and warns that any future Sri Lankan tariff increases will be added to the 30% US tariff.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • The United States has a significant and persistent trade deficit with Sri Lanka.
  • Sri Lanka's tariffs and non-tariff policies are responsible for these trade deficits.
  • These trade deficits pose a major threat to the US Economy and National Security.
  • Starting August 1, 2025, the United States will implement a 30% tariff on all Sri Lankan products.
  • Goods transshipped to avoid tariffs will also be subject to higher tariffs.
  • Sri Lanka or Sri Lankan companies can avoid these tariffs by manufacturing products within the United States.
  • Any tariffs raised by Sri Lanka will be added on top of the 30% US tariff.
  • The United States seeks a balanced and fair trade relationship.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10