The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:A phone call between President Trump and President Xi resulted in a positive conclusion regarding a recently agreed trade deal, including resolution of questions on Rare Earth products, upcoming team meetings with specified US representatives, and a reciprocal invitation for a state visit to China.
Sentiment:Diplomatic
Key Claims:
  • A very good phone call occurred with President Xi of China.
  • The call discussed intricacies of a recently made and agreed-to Trade Deal.
  • The call lasted approximately one and a half hours.
  • The call resulted in a very positive conclusion for both Countries.
  • There should no longer be any questions respecting the complexity of Rare Earth products.
  • Respective teams will be meeting shortly at a location to be determined.
  • The US team will be represented by Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent, Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick, and United States Trade Representative, Ambassador Jamieson Greer.
  • President Xi graciously invited the First Lady and President Trump to visit China.
  • President Trump reciprocated the invitation.
  • The conversation was focused almost entirely on TRADE.
  • Nothing was discussed concerning Russia/Ukraine, or Iran.
  • The Media will be informed as to the scheduling and location of the soon to be meeting.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:A position is stated against open migration from any country lacking safe and reliable vetting and screening processes.
Sentiment:Policy-focused
Key Claims:
  • Open migration from countries without safe and reliable vetting processes is unacceptable.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities:
N/A
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Summary:The post asserts that Congress possesses the capability to provide the US President with specific leverage for future diplomatic engagement with the Russian leader.
Sentiment:Strategic
Key Claims:
  • Congress has the power to grant leverage.
  • This leverage can be provided to the US President.
  • The purpose of this leverage is to coerce the Russian leader.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:4/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:Elon Musk states his tenure as a Special Government Employee is concluding, expressing gratitude to President Donald Trump for the opportunity to reduce wasteful spending, and asserts that the DOGE mission will integrate into government operations over time.
Sentiment:Appreciative and Prophetic
Key Claims:
  • Elon Musk's scheduled time as a Special Government Employee is coming to an end.
  • Elon Musk thanks President Donald Trump for the opportunity to reduce wasteful spending.
  • The DOGE mission will strengthen over time.
  • The DOGE mission will become a way of life throughout the government.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
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Summary:The post highlights four individuals identified as foreign citizens who have been convicted of serious crimes, including murder, robbery, and drug offenses, and states that they were arrested by ICE. The accompanying text calls these individuals 'Tough guys' and asserts that courts must allow the poster to effectively manage such situations.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Four individuals, identified as citizens of Cuba, Laos, and Mexico, have been convicted of various serious crimes.
  • Crimes include homicide, armed robbery, false impersonation of official, kidnapping, attempted first-degree murder, battery, larceny, cocaine possession, cocaine trafficking, first-degree murder, and second-degree murder.
  • One individual, Thongxay NILAKOUT, murdered a German tourist in Los Angeles, California.
  • All four individuals were arrested by ICE in 2025.
  • The poster implies that courts are hindering efforts to address situations involving such individuals.
  • The poster calls for the courts to allow the poster to effectively address these issues.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The speaker held a 75-minute telephone conversation with President Vladimir Putin, during which they discussed the Russia-Ukraine conflict, including Ukraine's attack on Russian airfields and other mutual attacks, and the urgent issue of Iran's nuclear weapons program.
Sentiment:Diplomatic Report
Key Claims:
  • The speaker had a 75-minute telephone conversation with President Vladimir Putin of Russia.
  • The conversation covered Ukraine's attack on Russia’s docked airplanes and other attacks by both sides.
  • The conversation was described as good, but it will not lead to immediate peace.
  • President Putin strongly stated he will respond to the recent attack on the airfields.
  • The discussion also included Iran, specifically the urgency of Iran's decision regarding nuclear weapons.
  • The speaker conveyed to President Putin that Iran cannot possess a nuclear weapon, and they believed there was agreement on this point.
  • President Putin offered to participate in discussions with Iran and suggested he could help achieve a rapid conclusion on the nuclear issue.
  • The speaker believes Iran has been slow-walking its decision and a definitive answer is required very soon.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:Donald Trump expresses agreement with Senator Elizabeth Warren on the necessity of eliminating the debt limit to avert an economic catastrophe. He also indicates favor for a $4 trillion spending idea, suggesting it be implemented over a compressed timeframe, and calls for bipartisan cooperation to achieve these goals.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Senator Elizabeth Warren and Donald Trump agree the debt limit should be scrapped to prevent an economic catastrophe.
  • A bipartisan bill should be passed to eliminate the debt limit permanently.
  • Jacking up the debt limit by $4 trillion to fund more tax breaks for billionaires is an outrage (as stated by Senator Warren in the image).
  • The Debt Limit is too devastating to be controlled by political individuals who might use it despite its horrendous effects on the Country and, indirectly, the World.
  • Donald Trump likes Senator Warren's statement regarding the $4 Trillion Dollars.
  • The $4 Trillion Dollars initiative should be implemented over a period of time, as short as possible.
  • Republicans and Democrats should collaborate to achieve these proposed actions.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:The post announces the release of the ADP number, states that Jerome Powell must lower interest rates, and notes that Europe has reduced rates nine times.
Sentiment:Demanding
Key Claims:
  • The ADP number has been released.
  • Jerome Powell must lower interest rates.
  • Jerome Powell is acting 'Too Late' in lowering rates.
  • Jerome Powell's actions are 'unbelievable.'
  • Europe has lowered rates nine times.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post asserts that the autopen represents the most significant political scandal in American history, surpassed only by the rigged presidential election of 2020.
Sentiment:Denunciatory
Key Claims:
  • The 2020 Presidential Election was rigged.
  • The autopen constitutes a major political scandal.
  • The autopen scandal is the largest in American history, second only to the 2020 Presidential Election.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities:
N/A
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The United States experienced its best May in 30 years, accompanied by a call to Make America Great Again.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The United States experienced its best May in 30 years
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities: