The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post quotes a news headline stating that Belarusian opposition leader Siarhei Tsikhanouski was freed from jail after a visit by a top US envoy, prefacing it with "Thank you President Trump!", implying credit for the development.
Sentiment:Self-congratulatory
Key Claims:
  • Siarhei Tsikhanouski was freed from jail
  • A top US envoy visited Belarus
  • The US envoy's visit led to Tsikhanouski's release
  • Donald Trump is responsible for or deserves credit for this development
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:The post expresses an acknowledgment that the future outcome of an unspecified situation is currently unknown and will only be revealed with the passage of time.
Sentiment:Uncertain
Key Claims:
  • The future outcome of an unspecified situation remains to be seen.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
N/A
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post claims that wage growth is the best it has been in 60 years and attributes this positive economic indicator to the 'MAGA' movement.
Sentiment:Positive
Key Claims:
  • Wage growth is the best in 60 years.
  • The MAGA movement is associated with significant wage growth.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post expresses strong disapproval of 'Green Tax Credits' and renewable energy technologies like windmills, deeming them a 'scam,' inefficient, overly expensive, environmentally damaging, reliant on government subsidies, and predominantly manufactured in China. It advocates for reallocating funds currently used for these credits.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Green Tax Credits are a 'giant SCAM'.
  • Money for green tax credits should be reallocated, including for reductions.
  • Windmills and similar technologies are the most expensive and inefficient energy sources.
  • Renewable energy is destroying environmental beauty.
  • Renewable energy is 10 times more costly than other energy sources.
  • Renewable energy requires massive government subsidies and should not need them.
  • Renewable energy components are almost exclusively made in China.
  • It is time to break away from this 'craziness'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:Post asserts that Donald Trump, as Commander-in-Chief, is uniquely capable of preventing the nation from becoming involved in war.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump can prevent the nation from being embroiled in war
  • Trust should be placed in the Commander-in-Chief (Donald Trump)
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post promotes Salena Zito's new book, 'BUTLER,' which details a 'near assassination' attempt on Donald Trump and frames it as part of a larger 'fight for America’s Heartland,' rallying his movement to 'MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN.'
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Salena Zito has written a book titled 'BUTLER: The Untold Story of the Near Assassination of Donald Trump and the Fight for America’s Heartland.'
  • Salena Zito was an eyewitness to the 'terrible day' of the near assassination attempt.
  • The book's narrative aligns with the 'unbreakable Spirit' of Trump's 'Movement to FIGHT, FIGHT, FIGHT.'
  • The future of the nation rests with its people, who will not rest until they 'MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN.'
  • Users are encouraged to preorder the book.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post displays an image of Donald Trump alongside a claim of 56% approval, citing Rasmussen Reports, framed as 'Proof That America Loves Trump' over a background depicting an American flag and visual elements suggesting global conflict and geopolitical tensions from an apparent news broadcast ticker.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump has a 56% approval rating.
  • The 56% approval rating is proof that America loves Trump.
  • The approval rating source is Rasmussen Reports.
  • Russia has warned the US regarding direct military aid to Israel.
  • China plans to help its citizens.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post asserts that 54% of Americans approve of President Trump's job performance, citing a survey by InsiderAdvantage, and includes a simulated tweet stating "Great Poll Numbers For Trump!".
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • 54% of Americans approve of President Trump's job performance
  • President Trump has great poll numbers
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post asserts a stark difference in the number of 'illegal aliens' released into the U.S. under the Biden administration (62,000+ in May 2024) compared to a projected zero releases under a potential Trump administration (May 2025), aiming to highlight his proposed border policy effectiveness.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Over 62,000 'illegal aliens' were released into the United States in May 2024 under the current administration.
  • A potential future Trump administration would result in zero 'illegal aliens' being released into the United States in May 2025.
  • Trump's policies offer a complete cessation of 'illegal alien' releases, contrasting with current policies.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Critiques Fox News for featuring Jessica Tarlov on 'The Five,' accusing her of misrepresenting his poll numbers and past election performance, while also criticizing current immigration policies under President Biden and claiming high public support for himself.
Sentiment:Angry
Key Claims:
  • Jessica Tarlov is a failed TV personality and a disgrace to television broadcasting.
  • Tarlov falsely claims his poll numbers are poor, when they are actually high (54-68%).
  • He won a 'landslide' election against Joe Biden and Kamala Harris, securing all 7 swing states and the popular vote by millions.
  • Tarlov's presence is negatively impacting Fox News ratings and causing MAGA supporters to dislike the channel.
  • He achieved zero illegal aliens entering the country last month, in contrast to Joe Biden allowing 62,000, many from prisons, mental institutions, and gangs.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10