The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:Critiques Fox News for featuring Jessica Tarlov on 'The Five,' accusing her of misrepresenting his poll numbers and past election performance, while also criticizing current immigration policies under President Biden and claiming high public support for himself.
Sentiment:Angry
Key Claims:
  • Jessica Tarlov is a failed TV personality and a disgrace to television broadcasting.
  • Tarlov falsely claims his poll numbers are poor, when they are actually high (54-68%).
  • He won a 'landslide' election against Joe Biden and Kamala Harris, securing all 7 swing states and the popular vote by millions.
  • Tarlov's presence is negatively impacting Fox News ratings and causing MAGA supporters to dislike the channel.
  • He achieved zero illegal aliens entering the country last month, in contrast to Joe Biden allowing 62,000, many from prisons, mental institutions, and gangs.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Donald Trump announces a peace treaty he arranged between the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Rwanda, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and states representatives will sign documents in Washington. He lists this alongside other diplomatic achievements during his presidency, including the Abraham Accords and peace efforts between India/Pakistan, Serbia/Kosovo, and Egypt/Ethiopia. He expresses frustration at not receiving a Nobel Peace Prize for these efforts, including potential future outcomes regarding Russia/Ukraine and Israel/Iran.
Sentiment:Self-congratulatory
Key Claims:
  • Arranged a peace treaty between the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Rwanda, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio.
  • Representatives from Rwanda and the Congo will sign documents in Washington on Monday.
  • The war between DRC and Rwanda was known for violent bloodshed and death for decades.
  • Claims to have stopped the War between India and Pakistan.
  • Claims to have stopped the War between Serbia and Kosovo.
  • Claims to have kept Peace between Egypt and Ethiopia.
  • The Ethiopian built dam was 'stupidly financed by the United States of America' and substantially reduces water into The Nile River.
  • Claims credit for the Abraham Accords in the Middle East, with potential for additional countries to sign on and unify the Middle East.
  • Believes he will not receive a Nobel Peace Prize for any of his diplomatic achievements, including potential outcomes for Russia/Ukraine and Israel/Iran.
  • States 'the people know' about his achievements, and that is what matters to him.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post criticizes Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for high interest rates, arguing that rates should be 1-2% to save the U.S. up to $1 trillion annually. It claims there is no inflation, the economy is strong, and Powell is a 'dumb guy' and 'Trump Hater' who should be replaced or overridden, with the U.S. currently having a relatively high central bank rate compared to other countries.
Sentiment:Aggressive
Key Claims:
  • Jerome Powell should lower interest rates to 1-2%.
  • Lowering interest rates would save the U.S. up to $1 trillion per year.
  • The U.S. currently has virtually no inflation and a strong economy.
  • The U.S. economy will improve further with tariff income and new factories.
  • Jerome Powell is incompetent ('dumb guy', 'numbskull', 'total and complete moron') and biased ('Trump Hater').
  • Biden should not have reappointed Powell.
  • The Federal Reserve Board should override Powell's decisions.
  • The U.S. central bank rate is too high compared to other countries, as illustrated by its position on the attached list.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):9/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
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Summary:Donald Trump claims a legal victory against Gavin Newsom in the Court of Appeals regarding Los Angeles and asserts that Los Angeles was saved by military intervention.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Claim of a legal victory against Gavin Newsom in a Court of Appeals case concerning Los Angeles
  • Assertion that Los Angeles was saved by military intervention
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Negotiations are underway with Harvard University regarding alleged improprieties, with a potentially "historic" settlement expected soon.
Sentiment:Anticipatory
Key Claims:
  • Harvard University has engaged in "largescale improprieties."
  • Negotiations are ongoing to address these issues.
  • A "historic" deal or settlement is possible within the next week or so.
  • Harvard has acted "extremely appropriately" during these negotiations.
  • The potential settlement would be "very good for our Country."
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post claims a new survey indicates overwhelming support among hourly service, hospitality, and retail workers for President Donald J. Trump’s 'NO TAX ON TIPS' plan, asserting it would provide financial stability and relief.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Hourly workers in service, hospitality, and retail industries overwhelmingly support Trump's 'NO TAX ON TIPS' plan.
  • The 'NO TAX ON TIPS' plan is part of 'One Big Beautiful Bill'.
  • Tax-free tips would bring needed financial stability and relief to workers.
  • Support for the plan is based on a new survey.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post asserts that border crossings would be zero under Trump, contrasting with 60,000 under Joe Biden, whom it claims lost the 2020 Presidential Election by a 'LANDSLIDE' due to 'total FRAUD' and 'MASSIVE and OVERWHELMING' evidence. It calls for a Special Prosecutor to prevent future occurrences and criticizes Biden and his 'CORRUPT CRONIES' for their alleged detrimental impact on the country, concluding with 'MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!'.
Sentiment:Angry
Key Claims:
  • Zero border crossings for the month under Trump's implied leadership.
  • 60,000 border crossings under Joe Biden.
  • Joe Biden lost the 2020 Presidential Election.
  • The 2020 election was a 'total FRAUD'.
  • There is 'MASSIVE and OVERWHELMING' evidence of 2020 election fraud.
  • Joe Biden is 'grossly incompetent'.
  • A Special Prosecutor must be appointed.
  • What Joe Biden and his 'CORRUPT CRONIES' have done to the country is 'grossly indescribable'.
  • Call to 'MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post cites an opinion piece from The New York Post claiming FBI emails reveal the Biden Department of Justice is focused on bringing charges against Donald Trump.
Sentiment:Accusatory
Key Claims:
  • FBI emails expose the Biden DOJ's obsession with piling on charges against Trump.
  • The Biden DOJ is politically motivated in its legal actions against Donald Trump.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post claims internal FBI emails indicate the Biden Department of Justice is excessively focused on targeting Donald Trump.
Sentiment:Accusatory
Key Claims:
  • Internal FBI emails reveal the Biden DOJ's obsession with targeting Trump.
  • The Biden DOJ is targeting Trump.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post celebrates a Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals ruling affirming the President's authority to deploy the National Guard for domestic protection when state and local forces are unable to perform their duties.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A significant court victory was achieved in the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals regarding the President's power to deploy the National Guard.
  • The court's decision implicitly recognizes Gavin Newsom's incompetence.
  • This ruling is crucial for ensuring protection for cities and people across the United States if state and local police are unable to fulfill their duties.
  • The President's administration will continue to protect and defend law-abiding Americans.
  • The Ninth Circuit is commended for its decision.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10