The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post aggregates several social media statements celebrating Donald Trump's campaign activities in Pennsylvania and affirming his immigration policy stance. These statements express strong support for his anticipated second term, portraying it as a period of significant national progress, economic prosperity, restoration of justice, and an end to an invasion.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump holds the position that individuals who do not share American values, contribute to the economy, and assimilate into society are not welcome in the country.
  • Donald Trump is actively campaigning in Pennsylvania and effectively connects with the American populace.
  • Donald Trump's anticipated second term as president is expected to bring remarkable progress, including restoring the republic, stopping an invasion, resurrecting justice, and initiating a golden age of roaring prosperity for America.
  • An event on July 13 is credited with saving Donald Trump, enabling him to save America.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:The post aggregates multiple social media reports and testimonials that affirm Donald Trump's positive influence, highlighting the success of his tariff policies in generating trillions and benefiting Pennsylvania, the decrease in prices for rent, dairy, and Thanksgiving turkeys, and the inspiring impact of his rallies. It also emphasizes the financial savings for Pennsylvania families due to his tax cuts, specifically the no tax on tips and overtime.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • US President Donald Trump's tariff policy brought in trillions of dollars.
  • Trump's tariff policy benefited the people of Pennsylvania.
  • Rent prices are down.
  • Dairy prices are down strongly.
  • The cost of Thanksgiving turkeys was down by 33% compared to the Biden era.
  • President Trump's rally at Mount Pocono Church delivered an inspiring message that America is winning.
  • American success is thanks to 'the Trump Effect.'
  • President Trump is happy and in his element at Pennsylvania rallies.
  • Trump needs to hold frequent MAGA rallies until the midterms.
  • Trump's tax cuts (no tax on tips, no tax on overtime) saved a Pennsylvania family.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
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Summary:President Trump delivered an update on National Guardsman Andrew Wolfe's recovery, spoke at a Pennsylvania rally about tariffs benefiting farmers, and was praised for his active campaigning style and economic policies.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • President Trump received an incredible update on National Guardsman Andrew Wolfe's recovery, stating Wolfe stood up.
  • President Trump claims tariffs are making farmers rich.
  • President Trump states he helped farmers with $12 billion from tariff money, which cost nothing.
  • President Trump is on the road in Pennsylvania, kicking off an 'Economic Blitz' at a rally.
  • President Trump works diligently for the people, unlike other presidents who sit in the Oval Office reading teleprompters.
  • President Trump engages directly with citizens, addresses problems, and provides entertainment.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:Trump's rally performance is highly energetic, connecting with supporters, and is framed as critical for midterm election success, accompanied by claims of economic achievements in Pennsylvania during his presidency.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump is performing energetically and effectively at a rally.
  • His rallies generate enthusiasm among supporters and are crucial for winning midterm elections.
  • Pennsylvania is a stronghold for the MAGA movement.
  • Trump's administration created 60,000 new jobs in Pennsylvania, including 4,000 manufacturing jobs.
  • Over 40,000 Pennsylvanians were lifted off food stamps during Trump's presidency.
  • Commitments for nearly $100 billion in investment were secured for Pennsylvania under Trump.
  • Trump is effectively calling out 'Leftist politicians.'
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post details a Donald Trump rally in Pennsylvania, showcasing strong crowd support, Trump's confident and combative persona, his criticism of Democrats on economic and public safety issues, and his claims about energy production and low gas prices.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • A Donald Trump rally in Pennsylvania generated significant enthusiasm, with attendees chanting 'FOUR MORE YEARS'.
  • Trump conveyed a belief in having ample time for his political objectives, referring to it as 'eternity'.
  • Trump critically compared Democrats' discussions on affordability to Bonnie and Clyde speaking on public safety.
  • Trump stated that oil drilling in the U.S. is at an all-time high and that gas prices in four states reached $1.99 per gallon.
  • Trump used strong, derogatory language to describe 'Crooked Joe'.
  • Observers characterized Trump as being 'in his element' and 'killing it' at the rally.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:The post aggregates several social media statements celebrating Donald Trump's past achievements in Pennsylvania as President, including job creation and economic prosperity, outlining his future political messaging regarding economic issues and Democratic responsibility, and praising his rallies.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • President Trump is speaking exceptionally well in Pennsylvania.
  • America and Pennsylvania are prospering again.
  • Donald Trump, as POTUS, is committed to making Pennsylvania wealthier and stronger.
  • Democrats caused high prices, and Donald Trump is bringing them down.
  • Trump rallies are unique and exceptional.
  • Since Donald Trump's inauguration, nearly 60,000 new jobs, including 4,000 manufacturing jobs, were created in Pennsylvania.
  • Over 40,000 Pennsylvanians have been lifted off food stamps during Donald Trump's presidency.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:Reports detail President Trump's arrival and a large, enthusiastic rally in Pennsylvania, featuring 'USA' chants and an appreciative audience despite cold weather.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Thunderous 'USA' chants broke out in Pennsylvania for President Trump.
  • President Trump described the crowd as 'nice' and 'a lot of people' standing outside despite freezing temperatures.
  • President Trump expressed thrill at being back in Pennsylvania.
  • President Trump, referred to as 'the GOAT', arrived in Pennsylvania.
  • President Trump took the stage to a 'MASSIVE crowd of patriots' chanting 'USA! USA!'.
  • Pennsylvania loves President Trump.
  • Trump received an amazing welcome in Pennsylvania.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The President asserts his unparalleled work ethic, extensive accomplishments, perfect medical and cognitive health, and denounces The New York Times for reporting otherwise, labeling their actions as seditious and treasonous.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • No President has worked as hard as he has, with the longest hours and best results.
  • He stopped eight wars, saving millions of lives.
  • He created the greatest economy in the history of the country.
  • He brought business back into the United States at unprecedented levels.
  • He rebuilt the military.
  • He created the largest tax cuts and regulation cuts ever.
  • He closed the open and dangerous Southern Border, which previous administrations could not do.
  • He created an "aura" around the United States that led every country in the world to respect it more than ever before.
  • He undergoes long, thorough medical examinations at Walter Reed, supervised by top doctors, all of whom have given him perfect marks and noted strong results.
  • He has aced three cognitive examinations, a feat few people, including those at The New York Times, could accomplish, and which many other Presidents avoided.
  • The New York Times and others falsely pretend he is "slowing up," not as sharp, or in poor physical health, despite knowing it is untrue and that he works very hard.
  • He believes it is seditious, and possibly treasonous, for The New York Times and others to consistently publish fake reports to libel and demean "THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES."
  • He labels The New York Times as "Enemies of the People" and suggests action should be taken against them.
  • The New York Times inaccurately reported on his election results and was forced to apologize for much of what they wrote.
  • The best outcome for the country would be if The New York Times ceased publication due to being a horrible, biased, and untruthful source of information.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The implementation of tariffs has significantly improved national security and established the country as the strongest financially globally, with opposition to this outcome attributed to malevolent entities.
Sentiment:Advocating and Warning
Key Claims:
  • Tariffs were easily and quickly applied.
  • Tariffs greatly enhanced national security.
  • Tariffs made the country the financially strongest in the world.
  • Opposition to the current state of national security and financial strength stems from dark and sinister forces.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
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Summary:A negative U.S. Supreme Court decision regarding tariffs would pose the greatest threat in history to United States National Security, rendering the nation financially defenseless, especially as European nations implement tariffs against China and other countries, a measure the United States would then be prohibited from adopting.
Sentiment:Alarmist
Key Claims:
  • A negative decision on tariffs by the U.S. Supreme Court would be the biggest threat in history to United States National Security.
  • Such a decision would leave the United States financially defenseless.
  • Europe is implementing tariffs against China, and already does against others.
  • The United States would not be permitted to take actions that other nations, like Europe, already implement concerning tariffs.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:4/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10