The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:A tweet from U.S. Senator John Fetterman that emphasizes the importance of celebrating 250 years of sacrifice, dedication, and service by recognizing the contributions of everyday citizens, regardless of political affiliation.
Sentiment:Unifying
Key Claims:
  • A parade symbolizes the best of us: sons, daughters, mothers, and fathers.
  • It is appropriate to celebrate 250 years of sacrifice, dedication, and service.
  • The celebration of national service and sacrifice transcends political differences.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Donald Trump spoke with Russian President Vladimir Putin, primarily discussing Iran and, to a lesser extent, the Russia/Ukraine conflict. They agreed the Israel-Iran war should end, and Trump stated Putin's war should also end. Putin is reportedly conducting planned prisoner swaps.
Sentiment:Diplomatic
Key Claims:
  • President Putin called Donald Trump to wish him a Happy Birthday and discuss Iran.
  • Iran was the primary topic of discussion, with less time spent on Russia/Ukraine, which will be discussed next week.
  • Putin is conducting large-scale prisoner swaps with Ukraine.
  • The call lasted approximately one hour.
  • Both Trump and Putin believe the Israel-Iran war should end.
  • Trump told Putin his war (Russia/Ukraine) should also end.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:A shooting occurred in Minnesota targeting State Lawmakers, prompting an investigation by Attorney General Pam Bondi and the FBI, with a promise to prosecute those involved and a condemnation of such violence.
Sentiment:Condemnatory
Key Claims:
  • A terrible shooting occurred in Minnesota.
  • The shooting appears to be a targeted attack against State Lawmakers.
  • Attorney General Pam Bondi and the FBI are investigating the situation.
  • Anyone involved will be prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law.
  • Such horrific violence will not be tolerated in the United States of America.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Donald Trump confirms a military parade will proceed in Washington D.C. regardless of rain, suggesting that a rainy day parade brings good luck.
Sentiment:Positive
Key Claims:
  • A military parade will take place in Washington D.C.
  • The parade will proceed regardless of weather conditions
  • Rain during the parade is considered good luck
  • The speaker will be in D.C. for the event
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post extends a greeting for Flag Day.
Sentiment:Positive
Key Claims:
  • Celebration of Flag Day
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post declares the current day as significant for America.
Sentiment:Positive
Key Claims:
  • The current day is a significant day for America
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post is a celebratory message for the 250th birthday of the U.S. Army, featuring an image of soldiers and a helicopter.
Sentiment:Patriotic
Key Claims:
  • Celebrates the 250th anniversary of the U.S. Army.
  • Showcases military personnel and equipment.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post states that a 60-day ultimatum given to Iran to 'make a deal' has expired, and despite their failure to meet it, they are being offered 'a second chance'.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • A 60-day ultimatum was given to Iran to make a deal.
  • Iran failed to meet the terms of the ultimatum.
  • Iran is being offered a 'second chance' to make a deal.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:6/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post claims an Appeals Court ruling affirmed the author's authority to deploy the National Guard to maintain city safety, citing Los Angeles as an example where his prior military intervention prevented the city from being destroyed.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • An Appeals Court ruled recently that the author can use the National Guard to keep cities safe.
  • The ruling specifically applies to cities like Los Angeles.
  • Without the author's intervention, Los Angeles would have been destroyed.
  • The author claims credit for saving Los Angeles.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:A post from Donald Trump threatening Iran with severe military consequences if it does not agree to a deal, claiming past Iranian hardliners are dead and future, more brutal attacks are planned.
Sentiment:Threatening
Key Claims:
  • Iran was given multiple opportunities to make a deal but failed.
  • The United States possesses the world's most lethal military equipment, and Israel has a significant amount of it and knows how to use it.
  • Certain Iranian hardliners are now dead, and the situation for Iran will worsen.
  • There has already been great death and destruction, and more brutal, planned attacks are imminent.
  • Iran must make a deal immediately to avoid total destruction and preserve its identity.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:9/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10