The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:Trump is achieving positive results.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Trump is achieving positive outcomes.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:Donald Trump describes his visit to the Netherlands, highlighting a positive breakfast meeting with the King and Queen, and his anticipation of important NATO meetings where he states the USA will be well-represented.
Sentiment:Positive and Diplomatic
Key Claims:
  • Began the day in the Netherlands.
  • Met with the King and Queen of the Netherlands, whom he describes as 'beautiful and spectacular people'.
  • Had a 'great' breakfast meeting.
  • Is now proceeding to 'very important NATO Meetings'.
  • Asserts that 'The USA will be very well represented' at NATO.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Donald Trump claims CNN and The New York Times are falsely reporting on a successful military strike that completely destroyed nuclear sites in Iran, asserting both media outlets are being criticized by the public.
Sentiment:Combative
Key Claims:
  • CNN and The New York Times are 'Fake News' and 'Failing'.
  • CNN and The New York Times have teamed up to discredit a successful military strike.
  • A military strike completely destroyed nuclear sites in Iran.
  • The public is 'slamming' CNN and The New York Times for their reporting.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:9/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
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Summary:A newspaper front page dated June 23, 2025, reports that the United States executed "Operation Midnight Hammer," launching airstrikes on June 21 against three Iranian nuclear sites, resulting in their "obliteration." General Dan Caine, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, states the U.S. is fully prepared for any Iranian retaliation and prioritizes the safety of service members and civilians. Michigan lawmakers are reported to have split reactions, with Republicans praising President Donald Trump's actions and Democrats criticizing the decision due to lack of congressional approval and concerns about a protracted war.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • The United States conducted "Operation Midnight Hammer" against Iran.
  • Three Iranian nuclear sites were attacked and "obliterated" on June 21.
  • The United States is prepared for Iranian retaliation.
  • President Donald Trump's actions regarding the airstrikes were praised by Republicans.
  • Democrats criticized the airstrikes, citing a lack of congressional approval and concerns about a protracted war.
  • The safety of U.S. service members and civilians is a high priority.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):9/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:10/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:10/10
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Summary:A quote attributed to Steve Witkoff claims that 12 bunker buster bombs were successfully deployed on Fordow, resulting in its obliteration, and dismisses any counter-reports suggesting otherwise as preposterous.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • 12 bunker buster bombs were deployed on Fordow.
  • The attack breached the canopy of the Fordow facility.
  • Fordow was "OBLITERATED."
  • Reports suggesting the objective was not achieved are "completely preposterous."
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:4/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post quotes Steve Witkoff stating that the '12 Day War' ceasefire is effective and that the conflict is over, citing the cessation of hostilities as proof.
Sentiment:Positive/Relief
Key Claims:
  • Steve Witkoff commented on the '12 Day War' ceasefire.
  • The ceasefire is holding, with no ongoing hostilities.
  • The '12 Day War' is concluded.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:A quote attributed to Hegseth claims a past bombing campaign successfully obliterated Iran's ability to create nuclear weapons, describing the mission as devastatingly effective and asserting that those who deny its success are trying to undermine the President.
Sentiment:Triumphant/Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • A past bombing campaign obliterated Iran's ability to create nuclear weapons.
  • Massive bombs hit targets perfectly and were devastating, burying the impact under rubble in Iran.
  • Anyone denying the devastation or success is trying to undermine the President and the successful mission.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:A newspaper article highlights a projected significant increase in real wage growth for blue-collar workers under Donald Trump's potential second term, contrasting it with declines observed during Joe Biden's administration and other past presidencies.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Blue-collar real wage growth reached almost 2% in the first five months of Donald Trump's projected second term, which would be the largest increase in 60 years.
  • Joe Biden's administration saw a negative real wage growth of -1.7% in 2021 for blue-collar workers.
  • Donald Trump's first term (2017) also showed positive real wage growth (1.3%).
  • Falling inflation under Trump (projected second term) is contributing to improved blue-collar wages.
  • Biden's policies, including a purported removal of 'emphasis on manufacturing' and the influx of 'illegal migrants,' put pressure on wages.
  • A Trump-backed 'budget reconciliation bill' would provide relief for blue-collar workers and eliminate federal income taxes on overtime pay.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:The post shares a Fox News opinion piece by Gregg Jarrett asserting that Donald Trump's past deployment of the National Guard was justified, despite facing a "knee-jerk judicial roadblock." The accompanying image shows California National Guard personnel.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump's deployment of the National Guard was justified.
  • The deployment faced a 'knee-jerk judicial roadblock'.
  • The content is an opinion piece from Fox News.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:An aspirational post featuring a screenshot of a hypothetical Fox News article from June 2025, which praises Donald Trump for achieving a "decisive success" regarding Iran and changing the trajectory of the Middle East.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump will achieve a 'decisive success' regarding Iran.
  • Donald Trump will change the trajectory of the history of the Middle East.
  • Fox News will publish an opinion piece praising these future achievements in 2025.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10