The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:Major oil companies are meeting at the White House to discuss Venezuelan oil, aiming to reduce oil prices for Americans and stop drugs and criminals entering the U.S. from Venezuela.
Sentiment:Policy-focused
Key Claims:
  • The largest oil companies in the world are meeting at the White House.
  • There is high demand from oil companies to attend the meeting, exceeding the venue's capacity.
  • Some oil companies will meet with the Secretary of Energy and Secretary of the Interior later in the week.
  • The meeting will primarily focus on Venezuelan Oil and the long-term relationship with Venezuela, including its security and people.
  • A key objective of this involvement is the reduction of oil prices for the American People.
  • A crucial additional objective is the stoppage of drugs and criminals entering the United States of America from Venezuela.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:4/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:An anticipated White House meeting with Colombian President Gustavo Petro in the first week of February aims to ensure positive outcomes for both Colombia and the U.S.A., with a primary focus on stopping cocaine and other drugs from entering the United States.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • A meeting with Gustavo Petro, President of Colombia, is expected to take place in the White House.
  • The meeting is scheduled for the first week of February.
  • The meeting is anticipated to result in very positive outcomes for Colombia and the U.S.A.
  • Cocaine and other drugs must be prevented from entering the United States.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Venezuela is releasing political prisoners as a gesture of peace, leading to US-Venezuela cooperation on rebuilding oil and gas infrastructure. A previously expected second wave of attacks has been cancelled, though military ships remain in place. At least $100 billion will be invested by "BIG OIL," with meetings scheduled at the White House.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Venezuela is releasing a large number of political prisoners as a sign of 'Seeking Peace'.
  • This gesture is very important and smart.
  • The U.S.A. and Venezuela are working well together.
  • Cooperation focuses on rebuilding Venezuela's oil and gas infrastructure.
  • The previously expected second Wave of Attacks has been cancelled.
  • All ships will stay in place for safety and security purposes.
  • At least 100 Billion Dollars will be invested by BIG OIL.
  • Meetings with BIG OIL representatives are scheduled today at The White House.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:A rally involving over a million people in Iran's second-largest city led to protesters gaining control, with regime forces reportedly leaving.
Sentiment:Critical of Regime Stability
Key Claims:
  • Over a million people rallied.
  • Iran's second-largest city is under protesters' control.
  • Regime forces have left the city.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:Donald Trump announces his imminent interview with Sean Hannity on Fox News.
Sentiment:Announcing
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump will be interviewed by Sean Hannity on Fox News.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:California leaders, including Governor Gavin Newsom and a traveling Mayor, are failing to issue permits for residents to rebuild their homes after a major fire, despite all necessary federal permits having been issued long ago.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • California leaders are incompetent.
  • Governor Gavin Newsom is among the incompetent California leaders.
  • A traveling Mayor chose to visit Africa instead of addressing the 'worst fire in California history' at home.
  • California leaders are unable to provide permits for people to rebuild their homes.
  • All necessary federal permits for rebuilding have been issued and received.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post advocates for the release of Tina Peters.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • Tina Peters should be freed
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:A chart displays manufacturing productivity data showing negative or low growth rates for Q1-Q4 2024, followed by significantly higher positive growth rates projected for Q1-Q3 2025, with the overarching claim that manufacturing productivity is booming since Donald Trump took office.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Manufacturing productivity experienced negative or low growth in 2024.
  • Manufacturing productivity is projected to show robust positive growth rates (3.5%, 2.9%, 3.3%) for Q1, Q2, and Q3 of 2025.
  • The overall boom in manufacturing productivity is attributed to Donald Trump's influence or tenure in office.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:Since January, the private sector is reported to account for all new jobs created, with 654,000 private sector jobs added and a decrease of 181,000 federal government jobs, although the title also states federal government jobs are down 277,000.
Sentiment:Informational
Key Claims:
  • Since January, the private sector accounts for all new jobs created.
  • The private sector added 654,000 jobs.
  • Federal government jobs decreased by 181,000.
  • Federal government jobs are down 277,000.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
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Summary:The post presents a bar chart claiming that since the Trump administration took office, all net new job gains were attributed to native-born workers, showing 100% for native-born and 0% for foreign-born workers. This is contrasted with the last year of the Biden Administration, where native-born workers accounted for 46% of net job gains and foreign-born workers for 54%.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Since the Trump Administration took office, all net new jobs were gained by native-born workers.
  • During the Trump Administration, 0% of net new jobs were gained by foreign-born workers.
  • During the last year of the Biden Administration, 46% of net new jobs were gained by native-born workers.
  • During the last year of the Biden Administration, 54% of net new jobs were gained by foreign-born workers.
  • The Trump Administration's economic policies ensured that 100% of job growth benefited native-born citizens.
  • The Biden Administration's policies, during its last year, resulted in a majority (54%) of job growth benefiting foreign-born workers.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10