The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:Donald Trump announced the approval of $2.5 million in individual assistance for the Great State of Missouri following severe weather events earlier in the year, expressing honor in delivering for the state, which he states he won in the 2016, 2020, and 2024 elections.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump spoke with Governor Mike Kehoe of Missouri.
  • Donald Trump is approving $2.5 million in individual assistance for Missouri.
  • The assistance is for severe storms, high winds, large hail, flash flooding, and tornadoes that occurred earlier this year.
  • Donald Trump won Missouri in the 2016, 2020, and 2024 elections.
  • Donald Trump feels honored to deliver for the 'incredible Patriots' of Missouri.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Voting Republican leads to a drastic drop in energy prices and costs, while voting Democrat results in energy bills doubling or tripling, making energy unaffordable. Failure to vote is equated to a Democrat vote, urging participation to reduce energy costs.
Sentiment:Campaigning, Directive
Key Claims:
  • A Republican vote causes a drastic drop in energy prices and costs.
  • A Democrat vote leads to a doubling and even tripling of energy bills and prices.
  • Energy costs are traditionally the highest cost for American citizens.
  • Voting Republican will result in tremendously lower energy costs.
  • Voting Democrat will make energy virtually unaffordable.
  • Not going to the polls and voting is the same as voting for a Democrat.
  • Voting can cut energy costs in half.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:Mary Barra and Bill Ford reportedly contacted the author to express gratitude for tariffs on mid-size and large trucks, attributing the positive impact on their companies' stock performance to this policy. The post asserts that tariffs prevent a difficult period for US truck and car manufacturers and are essential for national security, leading to a strong economy and country.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Mary Barra and Bill Ford expressed thanks for tariffs on mid-size and large trucks.
  • Tariffs have caused General Motors and Ford Motor Company stocks to 'go through the roof'.
  • Without tariffs, US truck and car manufacturers would face a very hard, long 'slog'.
  • Tariffs are a national security matter.
  • Tariffs lead to a strong and powerful Economy and Country.
  • The absence of tariffs leads to the exact opposite of a strong and powerful economy and country.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:Tariffs implemented on other countries resulted in the salvation and protection of domestic cattle ranchers.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Tariffs were imposed on other countries.
  • These tariffs saved domestic cattle ranchers.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Tariffs imposed by the author on cattle imports, specifically a 50% tariff on Brazil, are presented as the exclusive reason for the current prosperity of cattle ranchers, who are also urged to reduce their prices for consumers.
Sentiment:Directive and Admonishing
Key Claims:
  • Cattle ranchers are currently experiencing prosperity for the first time in decades.
  • The author's imposition of tariffs on cattle imports, including a 50% tariff on Brazil, is the sole reason for the ranchers' current success.
  • Without the author's actions, cattle ranchers would still be performing poorly, as they reportedly have for the past 20 years.
  • Ranchers should understand the author's role in their success.
  • Ranchers must reduce their prices.
  • The consumer is a significant factor in the author's considerations.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:The post fully endorses Congressman Paul Gosar for re-election, describing him as an America First Patriot and MAGA Warrior doing excellent work for Arizona’s 9th Congressional District, highlighting his efforts on economic growth, tax and regulation cuts, domestic manufacturing, energy dominance, border security, military support, and Second Amendment protection.
Sentiment:Endorsing
Key Claims:
  • Congressman Paul Gosar is an America First Patriot.
  • Congressman Paul Gosar is doing a fantastic job representing Arizona’s 9th Congressional District.
  • Congressman Paul Gosar is a MAGA Warrior.
  • Congressman Paul Gosar has been with us from the very beginning.
  • Paul Gosar is working hard to Grow our Economy.
  • Paul Gosar is working hard to Cut Taxes and Regulations.
  • Paul Gosar is working hard to Promote MADE IN THE U.S.A.
  • Paul Gosar is working hard to Advance American Energy DOMINANCE.
  • Paul Gosar is working hard to Keep our now very Secure Border, SECURE.
  • Paul Gosar is working hard to Support our Brave Military/Veterans.
  • Paul Gosar is working hard to Protect our always under siege Second Amendment.
  • Dr. Paul Gosar has complete and total endorsement for re-election.
  • Dr. Paul Gosar will never let you down.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Allies in the Middle East and surrounding areas have offered to deploy a significant force into Gaza to address Hamas if the group continues its negative actions and violates agreements. This offer has been acknowledged and placed on hold for now, with a strong warning issued to Hamas regarding severe consequences if it fails to act appropriately. The post also extends gratitude to the countries that offered assistance and specifically thanks Indonesia and its leader for their help to the Middle East and the U.S.A.
Sentiment:Warning
Key Claims:
  • Numerous allies in and around the Middle East have enthusiastically offered to send a heavy force into Gaza to 'straighten our Hamas' if Hamas continues to 'act badly' and violates agreements.
  • The 'love and spirit for the Middle East has not been seen like this in a thousand years.'
  • Trump has informed these countries and Israel that intervention is 'NOT YET!' needed, indicating a pause.
  • There is still hope that Hamas will 'do what is right.'
  • If Hamas does not comply, its end will be 'FAST, FURIOUS, & BRUTAL!'
  • Trump expresses gratitude to all countries that called to offer help.
  • Trump thanks Indonesia and its leader for their help to the Middle East and the U.S.A.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:The post details numerous law enforcement achievements by the FBI under the Trump Administration, including significant arrests of violent criminals, child predators, and human traffickers, the seizure of illegal weapons and fentanyl, and the rescue of children. It asserts that these are historic results that are bringing law and order back to America and making America safe again, specifically commending Kash, Dan, Andrew, and the FBI personnel.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • The FBI, under my Administration, is doing an incredible job.
  • More than 28,000 Violent Criminals have been arrested (RECORD BREAKING!).
  • Over 6,000 illegal weapons have been seized.
  • More than 1,700 child predators and 300 human traffickers have been taken off the streets.
  • 5,000 innocent children have been rescued.
  • 2,000 Criminal Enterprises have been disrupted.
  • 1,900 kilos of Fentanyl (Enough to kill 125 Million people!) have been taken out.
  • These are Historic Results.
  • We are bringing LAW AND ORDER back to America.
  • Kash, Dan, Andrew, and the men and women of the FBI, are doing a tremendous job.
  • They are MAKING AMERICA SAFE AGAIN!
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Jack Ciattarelli is endorsed for New Jersey, with the assertion that he will lower energy costs, contrasting him sharply with Mikie Sherrill, who is portrayed as ineffective and responsible for increasing energy costs.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Jack Ciattarelli is a winner for New Jersey.
  • Mikie Sherrill is a stone cold loser.
  • Mikie Sherrill will drive energy costs through the roof.
  • Democrats are driving energy costs up across the Country.
  • Mikie Sherrill has no understanding of what she is doing regarding energy costs.
  • Jack Ciattarelli will bring energy costs down to a new low.
  • Energy costs under Mikie Sherrill will go up by levels never seen before.
  • Mikie Sherrill has no clue what she is doing.
  • Jack Ciattarelli will never let New Jersey down.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Endorses Jack Ciattarelli for New Jersey Governor, asserting he will significantly reduce energy and other costs through common-sense policies, while criticizing Mikie Sherrill's policies as corrupt and disastrous, predicting they would drastically increase prices.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Jack Ciattarelli is a wonderful New Jersey Gubernatorial Candidate who is doing very well in the polls.
  • Mikie Sherrill is very Fake and Corrupt.
  • Jack Ciattarelli will bring energy prices down in New Jersey by record amounts.
  • Jack Ciattarelli constantly calls for assurances that the Power of Common Sense will be used to help New Jersey with energy bills.
  • Trump has brought energy way down, with gasoline soon to hit $2.
  • Mikie Sherrill's energy policies and concepts will double and triple prices in New Jersey.
  • Mikie Sherrill was essentially thrown out of her school for cheating and wasn't allowed to walk through the Graduating Class.
  • If Mikie Sherrill is involved with government, energy prices will soar at a record level.
  • Jack Ciattarelli understands business and will bring down energy and other costs by 50%, and even more.
  • Mikie Sherrill will drive energy costs up like no Governor in History and will be a DISASTER for New Jersey.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10