The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post endorses Bret Baier's new book about Teddy Roosevelt, "To Rescue the American Spirit," connecting its theme to the author's stated mission of rescuing the American Spirit and making America the "HOTTEST" Country in the World.
Sentiment:Campaigning and Endorsing
Key Claims:
  • The author is rescuing the American Spirit.
  • The author is making America the "HOTTEST" Country in the World.
  • Bret Baier has released a "GREAT Book" about Teddy Roosevelt.
  • Teddy Roosevelt was a "strong President."
  • The book "To Rescue the American Spirit: Teddy Roosevelt and the Birth of a Superpower" is "really good."
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Donald Trump reiterated his complete and total endorsement of Brad Little, the Governor of Idaho, following a meeting in the Oval Office, praising Little's performance and highlighting his efforts in upholding Idaho values, promoting agriculture, economic growth, tax cuts, border security, supporting military and law enforcement, and protecting the Second Amendment. Trump also affirmed his strong electoral victories in Idaho in 2016, 2020, and 2024.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump met with Brad Little in the Oval Office
  • Donald Trump gives his complete and total endorsement to Brad Little
  • Brad Little is performing a fantastic job as Governor of Idaho
  • Brad Little is strong and highly popular
  • Donald Trump secured significant victories in Idaho in 2016, 2020, and 2024
  • Brad Little champions Idaho Values
  • Brad Little promotes farmers and ranchers
  • Brad Little grows the economy
  • Brad Little cuts taxes and regulations
  • Brad Little helps secure the very secure and record-setting border
  • Brad Little supports the Military, Veterans, and Law Enforcement
  • Brad Little protects the Second Amendment
  • Brad Little will fulfill his promises
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Eric Trump's book, "Under Siege," is the number one nonfiction bestseller on The New York Times list, which is recognized as a great honor.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Eric Trump's book, "Under Siege," achieved the number one spot on The New York Times Best Sellers list for nonfiction.
  • The book's description asserts that attacks on Eric Trump's family are attacks on America.
  • The post conveys congratulations and emphasizes the significance of this achievement as a great honor.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:US Treasury sanctions major Russian oil companies Rosneft and Lukoil and calls on Moscow to agree to an immediate ceasefire in Ukraine, citing President Putin's refusal to end the war and aiming to degrade Russia's war-funding ability.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • The U.S. Treasury, through OFAC, is imposing sanctions on major Russian oil companies.
  • These sanctions are in response to Russia's lack of commitment to a peace process to end the war in Ukraine.
  • The actions aim to increase pressure on Russia's energy sector and weaken the Kremlin's ability to fund its war and support its economy.
  • The United States advocates for a peaceful resolution, with peace dependent on Russia's willingness to negotiate in good faith.
  • Secretary Scott Bessent states the sanctions are necessary due to President Putin's refusal to end the war and calls for an immediate ceasefire.
  • Treasury is prepared to take further action to support President Trump's effort to end the war.
  • Allies are encouraged to join and adhere to these sanctions.
  • Rosneft and Lukoil are identified as Russia's two largest oil companies funding the Kremlin's war machine.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:5/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
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Summary:The Wall Street Journal's report regarding U.S. approval for Ukraine's use of long-range missiles deep into Russia is inaccurate, and the U.S. has no connection to these missiles or their deployment by Ukraine.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • The Wall Street Journal's story about U.S. approval for Ukraine to use long-range missiles deep into Russia is false.
  • The U.S. has no involvement with long-range missiles used by Ukraine.
  • The U.S. has no involvement with what Ukraine does with any missiles it may possess.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:4/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:The post by 'Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent' on October 22, 2025, asserts that the U.S. budget deficit dramatically shrank in the second quarter of 2025. It claims the cumulative deficit from April to September 2025 was $468 billion, the lowest since 2019 and nearly 40% lower than the comparable period in 2024, attributing this reduction to President Trump's leadership and contrasting it with alleged reckless spending by the Biden administration. The post states President Trump is stabilizing the U.S. financial system with soaring revenues and controlled spending, dismissing Democratic attempts to undermine this progress.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The budget deficit began to shrink dramatically in the second quarter of 2025.
  • From April to September 2025, the cumulative deficit totaled $468 billion.
  • The $468 billion deficit in 2025 is the lowest reading since 2019.
  • The 2025 deficit is down nearly 40% from the comparable period in 2024.
  • The reduction in deficit is presented as occurring when there was no overlap with the Biden administration.
  • The deficit reduction contrasts with the Biden administration's alleged 'reckless spending' in 2024.
  • President Trump is putting the U.S. financial system on solid footing.
  • Revenues are soaring and government spending is under control.
  • Democrats' attempts to undo this progress by 'shutting down the government' will not succeed.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:The post provides a complete and total endorsement from Donald Trump for Wilton Simpson's re-election as Florida's Agriculture Commissioner. It highlights Simpson's background, accomplishments, and alignment with America First principles, including economic growth, tax cuts, energy dominance, secure borders, and Second Amendment protection. The post also mentions Donald Trump's connection to Florida and his electoral victories there.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump identifies Florida as his home state, which he won six times, including with 6.1 Million Votes in 2024, described as the most in history.
  • Wilton Simpson is a strong and highly popular Agriculture Commissioner for Florida.
  • Wilton Simpson is a fifth-generation Floridian, a lifelong Egg Farmer, a successful Businessman, and a former President of the State Senate.
  • Wilton Simpson's career as Agriculture Commissioner has been 'loaded up' with accolades and wins.
  • Wilton Simpson is a true America First Patriot who has supported Donald Trump from the very beginning.
  • Wilton Simpson is an incredibly effective voice for Florida Agriculture, farmers, and ranchers.
  • Wilton Simpson is fighting tirelessly to grow the economy, cut taxes and regulations, champion American energy dominance, and promote Made in the U.S.A.
  • Wilton Simpson is committed to keeping the border very secure and stopping migrant crime, murderers, and other criminals from illegally entering the country.
  • Wilton Simpson is dedicated to protecting the Second Amendment.
  • Donald Trump gives his complete and total endorsement for Wilton Simpson's re-election, asserting that he will never let people down.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Donald Trump announced his approval of $25 million in aid for Alaska's typhoon recovery, following a request from Governor Mike Dunleavy, and emphasized his past electoral victories in the state while pledging continued support.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump approved $25 million to help Alaska recover from a major typhoon.
  • The approval was based on a request from Governor Mike Dunleavy.
  • It is an honor to deliver for the State of Alaska.
  • Donald Trump won big in Alaska in 2016.
  • Donald Trump won big in Alaska in 2020.
  • Donald Trump won big in Alaska in 2024.
  • Donald Trump will never let Alaska down.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:A grant of $260,000 was provided to the Leech Lake Band of Ojibwe for public assistance, with an affirmation of the community's strength, intelligence, and future development.
Sentiment:Supportive
Key Claims:
  • $260,000 was granted to the Leech Lake Band of Ojibwe for public assistance.
  • The Leech Lake Band of Ojibwe are tough, smart, and incredible people.
  • The Leech Lake Band of Ojibwe will build their community stronger than ever before.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Donald Trump approved $15 million in recovery efforts for Nebraska following major storms, communicating this decision to Governor Jim Pillen and expressing support for the state's residents.
Sentiment:Supportive
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump spoke with Governor Jim Pillen.
  • Donald Trump approved $15 Million for recovery efforts from major storms in Nebraska.
  • Nebraska is a special place.
  • Donald Trump is honored to support the people of Nebraska.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10