The Stable Genius Report

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Filtering by entity: European Union | Clear Filter
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Summary:President Trump announced a landmark trade deal with the European Union.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A landmark trade deal has been established with the European Union.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:The White House announces its intent to impose a 30% tariff on all European Union products imported into the United States starting August 1, 2025. This action is presented as a response to persistent trade deficits and non-reciprocal trade practices with the EU, which are deemed a threat to U.S. economy and national security. The letter indicates that if the EU retaliates with its own tariffs, those amounts will be added on top of the existing 30% U.S. tariff, while offering tariff exemptions for EU companies that manufacture within the United States.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • The United States has a long-term, large, and persistent trade deficit with the European Union.
  • The trade deficit is caused by European Union tariffs and non-tariff barriers, making the relationship non-reciprocal.
  • Effective August 1, 2025, the U.S. will charge a 30% tariff on all European Union products sent into the United States.
  • Goods transshipped to evade higher tariffs will be subject to those higher tariffs.
  • No tariffs will apply if European Union companies decide to build or manufacture products within the United States.
  • The U.S. will facilitate quick approvals for European Union companies manufacturing within the United States.
  • The European Union is expected to allow complete, open market access to the United States without U.S. tariffs.
  • If the European Union retaliates by raising its tariffs, that amount will be added onto the 30% U.S. tariff.
  • These tariffs are necessary to correct the many years of European Union Tariff and Non-Tariff Policies and Trade Barriers.
  • The large and unsustainable trade deficits against the United States are a major threat to the U.S. economy and national security.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):9/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:5/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
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Summary:Canada has announced a Digital Services Tax on American Technology Companies, which the post describes as a direct attack and a copying of the European Union's actions. As a consequence of this tax, all trade discussions with Canada are terminated immediately, and the United States will inform Canada within seven days of the new tariffs they will be required to pay for business with the United States.
Sentiment:Retaliatory
Key Claims:
  • Canada is a very difficult country to trade with.
  • Canada has charged American farmers 400% tariffs on dairy products for years.
  • Canada announced a Digital Services Tax on American Technology Companies.
  • The Digital Services Tax is a direct and blatant attack on the United States.
  • Canada is copying the European Union, which has implemented a similar tax and is in discussions with the United States.
  • All trade discussions with Canada are terminated immediately due to this egregious tax.
  • The United States will inform Canada of the tariffs they will pay to do business with the United States within the next seven-day period.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10