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Filtering by entity: Israel | Clear Filter
Summary:The post denies U.S. involvement in a recent attack on Iran, warns of unprecedented military retaliation if Iran attacks the U.S., and simultaneously offers to facilitate a peace deal between Iran and Israel.
Sentiment:Ultimatum
Key Claims:
- The U.S. was not involved in the attack on Iran.
- Any attack by Iran on the U.S. will result in overwhelming military retaliation.
- A deal can be easily brokered between Iran and Israel to end the conflict.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
Summary:Donald Trump spoke with Russian President Vladimir Putin, primarily discussing Iran and, to a lesser extent, the Russia/Ukraine conflict. They agreed the Israel-Iran war should end, and Trump stated Putin's war should also end. Putin is reportedly conducting planned prisoner swaps.
Sentiment:Diplomatic
Key Claims:
- President Putin called Donald Trump to wish him a Happy Birthday and discuss Iran.
- Iran was the primary topic of discussion, with less time spent on Russia/Ukraine, which will be discussed next week.
- Putin is conducting large-scale prisoner swaps with Ukraine.
- The call lasted approximately one hour.
- Both Trump and Putin believe the Israel-Iran war should end.
- Trump told Putin his war (Russia/Ukraine) should also end.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Summary:A post from Donald Trump threatening Iran with severe military consequences if it does not agree to a deal, claiming past Iranian hardliners are dead and future, more brutal attacks are planned.
Sentiment:Threatening
Key Claims:
- Iran was given multiple opportunities to make a deal but failed.
- The United States possesses the world's most lethal military equipment, and Israel has a significant amount of it and knows how to use it.
- Certain Iranian hardliners are now dead, and the situation for Iran will worsen.
- There has already been great death and destruction, and more brutal, planned attacks are imminent.
- Iran must make a deal immediately to avoid total destruction and preserve its identity.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:9/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10