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Filtering by entity: Israel | Clear Filter
Summary:Donald Trump claims he can achieve peace between Iran and Israel, citing past successful interventions he facilitated between India and Pakistan, Serbia and Kosovo, and Egypt and Ethiopia, often using US trade as leverage. He criticizes President Biden's foreign policy decisions and asserts his own unique ability to resolve long-standing conflicts, promising to bring peace to the Middle East.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
- Iran and Israel should and will make a deal.
- He facilitated peace deals between India and Pakistan, Serbia and Kosovo, and Egypt and Ethiopia during his first term.
- He used US trade as a tool to bring reason and cohesion to talks.
- Biden has made 'very stupid decisions' that have hurt longer-term prospects.
- He will 'fix' the Serbia-Kosovo situation again.
- Peace between Israel and Iran will happen soon due to his intervention.
- He does not receive sufficient credit for his actions but 'the PEOPLE understand'.
- His goal is to 'MAKE THE MIDDLE EAST GREAT AGAIN!'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Summary:The post denies U.S. involvement in a recent attack on Iran, warns of unprecedented military retaliation if Iran attacks the U.S., and simultaneously offers to facilitate a peace deal between Iran and Israel.
Sentiment:Ultimatum
Key Claims:
- The U.S. was not involved in the attack on Iran.
- Any attack by Iran on the U.S. will result in overwhelming military retaliation.
- A deal can be easily brokered between Iran and Israel to end the conflict.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
Summary:Donald Trump spoke with Russian President Vladimir Putin, primarily discussing Iran and, to a lesser extent, the Russia/Ukraine conflict. They agreed the Israel-Iran war should end, and Trump stated Putin's war should also end. Putin is reportedly conducting planned prisoner swaps.
Sentiment:Diplomatic
Key Claims:
- President Putin called Donald Trump to wish him a Happy Birthday and discuss Iran.
- Iran was the primary topic of discussion, with less time spent on Russia/Ukraine, which will be discussed next week.
- Putin is conducting large-scale prisoner swaps with Ukraine.
- The call lasted approximately one hour.
- Both Trump and Putin believe the Israel-Iran war should end.
- Trump told Putin his war (Russia/Ukraine) should also end.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Summary:A post from Donald Trump threatening Iran with severe military consequences if it does not agree to a deal, claiming past Iranian hardliners are dead and future, more brutal attacks are planned.
Sentiment:Threatening
Key Claims:
- Iran was given multiple opportunities to make a deal but failed.
- The United States possesses the world's most lethal military equipment, and Israel has a significant amount of it and knows how to use it.
- Certain Iranian hardliners are now dead, and the situation for Iran will worsen.
- There has already been great death and destruction, and more brutal, planned attacks are imminent.
- Iran must make a deal immediately to avoid total destruction and preserve its identity.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:9/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10