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Filtering by entity: Israel | Clear Filter
Summary:Announces an upcoming address about a successful military operation in Iran, declaring it a historic moment for the US, Israel, and the world, and demanding Iran end the war.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
- An address to the Nation will be given at 10:00 P.M. at the White House.
- A military operation in Iran was very successful.
- This is an historic moment for the United States of America, Israel, and the World.
- Iran must now agree to end 'this war'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):9/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:9/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
Summary:The post displays an image of Donald Trump alongside a claim of 56% approval, citing Rasmussen Reports, framed as 'Proof That America Loves Trump' over a background depicting an American flag and visual elements suggesting global conflict and geopolitical tensions from an apparent news broadcast ticker.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
- Donald Trump has a 56% approval rating.
- The 56% approval rating is proof that America loves Trump.
- The approval rating source is Rasmussen Reports.
- Russia has warned the US regarding direct military aid to Israel.
- China plans to help its citizens.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
Summary:Donald Trump announces a peace treaty he arranged between the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Rwanda, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and states representatives will sign documents in Washington. He lists this alongside other diplomatic achievements during his presidency, including the Abraham Accords and peace efforts between India/Pakistan, Serbia/Kosovo, and Egypt/Ethiopia. He expresses frustration at not receiving a Nobel Peace Prize for these efforts, including potential future outcomes regarding Russia/Ukraine and Israel/Iran.
Sentiment:Self-congratulatory
Key Claims:
- Arranged a peace treaty between the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Rwanda, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio.
- Representatives from Rwanda and the Congo will sign documents in Washington on Monday.
- The war between DRC and Rwanda was known for violent bloodshed and death for decades.
- Claims to have stopped the War between India and Pakistan.
- Claims to have stopped the War between Serbia and Kosovo.
- Claims to have kept Peace between Egypt and Ethiopia.
- The Ethiopian built dam was 'stupidly financed by the United States of America' and substantially reduces water into The Nile River.
- Claims credit for the Abraham Accords in the Middle East, with potential for additional countries to sign on and unify the Middle East.
- Believes he will not receive a Nobel Peace Prize for any of his diplomatic achievements, including potential outcomes for Russia/Ukraine and Israel/Iran.
- States 'the people know' about his achievements, and that is what matters to him.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Summary:The post shares a private message from Mike Huckabee to Donald Trump, where Huckabee expresses profound admiration for Trump's presidency, calling it divinely appointed and historically significant, and reaffirms his unwavering commitment to his role as Ambassador to Israel.
Sentiment:Laudatory
Key Claims:
- Donald Trump is the most consequential President in a century, possibly ever.
- Trump's decisions are divinely guided.
- Mike Huckabee views himself as Trump's appointed servant in the U.S. and Israel.
- Huckabee's role as Ambassador to Israel includes ensuring the U.S. flag flies above the embassy and not abandoning the post.
- Huckabee implicitly suggests Trump's return to power is divinely destined.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Summary:Donald Trump refutes French President Emmanuel Macron's claim that Trump left the G7 Summit to work on an Israel-Iran ceasefire, stating his actual reason for departure is 'much bigger' and that Macron 'always gets it wrong.'
Sentiment:Confident
Key Claims:
- Emmanuel Macron is publicity seeking.
- Macron mistakenly claimed Trump left G7 to work on an Israel-Iran 'cease fire'.
- Trump's reason for leaving the G7 was not for an Israel-Iran ceasefire.
- Trump's reason for leaving is 'much bigger'.
- Emmanuel Macron 'always gets it wrong'.
- Something significant is upcoming ('Stay Tuned!').
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Summary:Donald Trump claims he can achieve peace between Iran and Israel, citing past successful interventions he facilitated between India and Pakistan, Serbia and Kosovo, and Egypt and Ethiopia, often using US trade as leverage. He criticizes President Biden's foreign policy decisions and asserts his own unique ability to resolve long-standing conflicts, promising to bring peace to the Middle East.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
- Iran and Israel should and will make a deal.
- He facilitated peace deals between India and Pakistan, Serbia and Kosovo, and Egypt and Ethiopia during his first term.
- He used US trade as a tool to bring reason and cohesion to talks.
- Biden has made 'very stupid decisions' that have hurt longer-term prospects.
- He will 'fix' the Serbia-Kosovo situation again.
- Peace between Israel and Iran will happen soon due to his intervention.
- He does not receive sufficient credit for his actions but 'the PEOPLE understand'.
- His goal is to 'MAKE THE MIDDLE EAST GREAT AGAIN!'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Summary:The post denies U.S. involvement in a recent attack on Iran, warns of unprecedented military retaliation if Iran attacks the U.S., and simultaneously offers to facilitate a peace deal between Iran and Israel.
Sentiment:Ultimatum
Key Claims:
- The U.S. was not involved in the attack on Iran.
- Any attack by Iran on the U.S. will result in overwhelming military retaliation.
- A deal can be easily brokered between Iran and Israel to end the conflict.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
Summary:Donald Trump spoke with Russian President Vladimir Putin, primarily discussing Iran and, to a lesser extent, the Russia/Ukraine conflict. They agreed the Israel-Iran war should end, and Trump stated Putin's war should also end. Putin is reportedly conducting planned prisoner swaps.
Sentiment:Diplomatic
Key Claims:
- President Putin called Donald Trump to wish him a Happy Birthday and discuss Iran.
- Iran was the primary topic of discussion, with less time spent on Russia/Ukraine, which will be discussed next week.
- Putin is conducting large-scale prisoner swaps with Ukraine.
- The call lasted approximately one hour.
- Both Trump and Putin believe the Israel-Iran war should end.
- Trump told Putin his war (Russia/Ukraine) should also end.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Summary:A post from Donald Trump threatening Iran with severe military consequences if it does not agree to a deal, claiming past Iranian hardliners are dead and future, more brutal attacks are planned.
Sentiment:Threatening
Key Claims:
- Iran was given multiple opportunities to make a deal but failed.
- The United States possesses the world's most lethal military equipment, and Israel has a significant amount of it and knows how to use it.
- Certain Iranian hardliners are now dead, and the situation for Iran will worsen.
- There has already been great death and destruction, and more brutal, planned attacks are imminent.
- Iran must make a deal immediately to avoid total destruction and preserve its identity.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:9/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10