The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:Donald Trump expresses confidence that China's economic situation will improve, despite a difficult period for President Xi, stating both leaders want to avoid a depression for China and that the U.S.A. intends to provide assistance rather than cause harm.
Sentiment:Conciliatory
Key Claims:
  • China's economic situation will ultimately be fine.
  • President Xi experienced a difficult moment.
  • President Xi desires to prevent a depression for China.
  • Donald Trump also desires to prevent a depression for China.
  • The U.S.A. intends to help China.
  • The U.S.A. does not intend to hurt China.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:China sent an extremely hostile letter announcing large-scale export controls on virtually all products, effective November 1st, 2025, which affects all countries. In response, the United States will impose a 100% tariff on China, in addition to existing tariffs, and implement export controls on critical software, also starting November 1st, 2025, or sooner.
Sentiment:Confrontational
Key Claims:
  • China has taken an extraordinarily aggressive position on Trade.
  • China sent an extremely hostile letter to the World.
  • China stated they would impose large-scale Export Controls on virtually every product they make, effective November 1st, 2025.
  • These Chinese export controls affect ALL Countries, without exception.
  • China's plan was devised years ago and is unheard of in International Trade.
  • China's action is a moral disgrace in dealing with other Nations.
  • The United States of America will impose a Tariff of 100% on China, over and above any current tariffs, starting November 1st, 2025 (or sooner).
  • The United States will impose Export Controls on any and all critical software, also starting November 1st, 2025.
  • It is impossible to believe that China would have taken such an action, but they have.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):10/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:10/10
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Summary:Early prices are down, tariffs are strengthening the U.S. economically, inflation is virtually non-existent, and stock markets are continually hitting record highs, indicating the U.S. is experiencing optimal economic conditions for the Holiday Season.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Early prices are down for the Holiday Season.
  • Tariffs are making the country an economic power again.
  • There is virtually no inflation.
  • Stock markets are continually hitting record highs.
  • These conditions represent the best of all worlds for the U.S.A.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The Federal Government, under President Trump, is credited with transforming Washington, D.C. from a high-crime city to a safe, booming capital with virtually no crime in a matter of weeks. However, Mayor Muriel Bowser, influenced by "Radical Left Democrats," has reportedly ceased the Metropolitan Police Department's cooperation with ICE regarding the removal of dangerous illegal aliens, which Trump asserts would cause crime to return. Trump pledges to prevent this, assuring the people and businesses of D.C. that he will intervene, including potentially declaring a National Emergency and federalizing the city if necessary.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • The Federal Government, under Trump's leadership, successfully intervened in Washington, D.C.'s criminal situation.
  • Washington, D.C. rapidly transitioned from one of the most dangerous cities to one of the safest with virtually no crime due to this intervention.
  • The city's economy is now booming, with packed restaurants, stores, and businesses.
  • Mayor Muriel Bowser, influenced by "Radical Left Democrats," has ended the Metropolitan Police Department's cooperation with ICE on removing dangerous illegal aliens.
  • This cessation of cooperation will lead to a resurgence of crime in Washington, D.C.
  • Trump will not permit this to happen and supports the people and businesses of D.C.
  • Trump is prepared to call a National Emergency and federalize D.C. if required to prevent crime from returning.
  • The ultimate goal is to "Make America Great Again."
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Donald Trump expresses strong negative views about Jerry Nadler, celebrating Nadler's impending departure from Congress. The post recounts past conflicts between Trump and Nadler, including Nadler's opposition to Trump's development projects and his role in Trump's impeachments.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Jerry Nadler is one of the most disgusting Congressmen in USA History.
  • Jerry Nadler is leaving Congress.
  • Donald Trump has 'beaten' Nadler for 40 years, first as a New York City developer and then as President.
  • Nadler opposed Trump's development efforts for no reason but could not stop his projects.
  • Nadler, along with Nancy Pelosi, impeached Trump twice.
  • The impeachments were lost and wasted millions of dollars in time and taxpayer money.
  • Nadler is described as a 'psychopathic nut job' and a 'pathetic lightweight'.
  • Nadler's departure from office will be a great day for the U.S.A.
  • Washington, D.C. is now very safe.
  • The post concludes with the slogan 'MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Tariffs are essential for national survival, having generated trillions of dollars and preventing the destruction of the country and its military power. A radical left group of judges, in a 7-4 opinion, did not recognize this necessity, but one Obama-appointed Democrat judge voted to save the country, demonstrating courage and love for the U.S.A.
Sentiment:Vindicative-Appreciative
Key Claims:
  • Tariffs have already generated trillions of dollars.
  • Without tariffs, the country would be completely destroyed.
  • Without tariffs, the country's military power would be instantly obliterated.
  • A radical left group of judges, in a 7-4 opinion, did not care about the country's potential destruction.
  • One Obama-appointed Democrat judge voted to save the country.
  • This specific judge is courageous and loves and respects the U.S.A.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:The post declares that as President, Donald J. Trump will confront countries implementing digital taxes, digital services legislation, and digital markets regulations deemed discriminatory against American technology companies, particularly as they provide a pass to China's tech companies. He announces a policy to impose substantial additional tariffs on offending countries' exports to the U.S.A. and institute export restrictions on highly protected technology and chips if these discriminatory actions are not removed.
Sentiment:Threatening Policy Directive
Key Claims:
  • Digital Taxes, Digital Services Legislation, and Digital Markets Regulations are designed to harm or discriminate against American Technology.
  • These regulations give a complete pass to China's largest Tech Companies.
  • These discriminatory actions must end immediately.
  • As President, Donald J. Trump will impose substantial additional Tariffs on that Country's Exports to the U.S.A. if discriminatory actions are not removed.
  • As President, Donald J. Trump will institute Export restrictions on Highly Protected Technology and Chips if discriminatory actions are not removed.
  • America and American Technology Companies will no longer be exploited as the 'piggy bank' or 'doormat' of the World.
  • Countries must show respect to America and its Technology Companies or consider the consequences.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:The post provides a strong endorsement for Dustin Burrows, praising his leadership as Speaker of the Texas House of Representatives. It asserts that his efforts have led to the passage of a new legislative map, which is described as fair and a significant win for Republicans in Texas and nationally, creating an opportunity to elect five more Republicans to Congress. The post highlights Burrows' commitment to policy goals such as economic growth, tax reduction, deregulation, promotion of American-made products, energy independence leading to low energy prices, border security, school choice, support for military and veterans, and defense of the Second Amendment. It concludes with a complete and total endorsement for his re-election as Speaker and to House District 83, stating he will not disappoint.
Sentiment:Endorsing
Key Claims:
  • Dustin Burrows is a True Warrior for Republicans and is doing a fantastic job as Speaker of the Texas House of Representatives.
  • Thanks to Dustin Burrows' leadership, the people of Texas will have the opportunity to elect five more Republicans to Congress due to the passage of a new, fair map.
  • The new map is a big win for Republicans in Texas and across the Country.
  • Dustin Burrows is fighting tirelessly to grow the economy, lower taxes, cut regulations, and promote MADE IN THE U.S.A.
  • He is advancing American Energy DOMINANCE by helping to keep the price of Gasoline, Oil, and all forms of Energy VERY LOW.
  • He continues to secure the already Secure Border.
  • He champions School Choice.
  • He supports our Military/Veterans.
  • He defends the Second Amendment.
  • Dustin Burrows has a complete and total endorsement for re-election as Speaker and to House District 83.
  • Dustin Burrows will never let you down.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Donald Trump endorses Congresswoman Mary Miller for re-election, highlighting her background as a third-generation family farmer and her work in Congress to expand the economy, reduce taxes, promote U.S. manufacturing and energy independence, secure elections and the border, strengthen the military and veterans, and protect the Second Amendment.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Mary Miller is a fantastic Representative.
  • Mary Miller is a Third Generation Family Farmer.
  • Mary Miller is a strong and effective Voice for American Agriculture.
  • Mary Miller is fighting to Grow our Economy.
  • Mary Miller is fighting to Cut Taxes.
  • Mary Miller is fighting to Promote MADE IN THE U.S.A.
  • Mary Miller is fighting to promote American Energy DOMINANCE.
  • Mary Miller is fighting to Safeguard our Elections.
  • Mary Miller is fighting to Keep our Border SECURE.
  • Mary Miller is fighting to Strengthen our Military/Veterans.
  • Mary Miller is fighting to Protect our Second Amendment.
  • Mary Miller has Donald Trump's Complete and Total Endorsement for Re-Election.
  • Mary Miller will never let down the public.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:A copper mine in Arizona, Resolution, experienced a two-month delay due to a ruling by a "Radical Left Court," impacting 3,800 jobs and the nation's copper supply. The post indicates "Radical Left Activists" who are described as "Anti-American" and representing foreign copper interests are responsible, with an expedited appeal anticipated in the Ninth Circuit.
Sentiment:Outraged
Key Claims:
  • A copper mine named “Resolution” in Arizona was delayed by a “Radical Left Court” for two months.
  • The delay impacts 3,800 jobs.
  • The United States needs copper.
  • “Radical Left Activists” are responsible for the delay.
  • These activists are described as “Anti-American.”
  • These activists represent “other Copper competitive Countries.”
  • An expedited appeal is being sought before the Ninth Circuit.
  • The situation of allowing these actions cannot continue for the U.S.A.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10