The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:China sent an extremely hostile letter announcing large-scale export controls on virtually all products, effective November 1st, 2025, which affects all countries. In response, the United States will impose a 100% tariff on China, in addition to existing tariffs, and implement export controls on critical software, also starting November 1st, 2025, or sooner.
Sentiment:Confrontational
Key Claims:
  • China has taken an extraordinarily aggressive position on Trade.
  • China sent an extremely hostile letter to the World.
  • China stated they would impose large-scale Export Controls on virtually every product they make, effective November 1st, 2025.
  • These Chinese export controls affect ALL Countries, without exception.
  • China's plan was devised years ago and is unheard of in International Trade.
  • China's action is a moral disgrace in dealing with other Nations.
  • The United States of America will impose a Tariff of 100% on China, over and above any current tariffs, starting November 1st, 2025 (or sooner).
  • The United States will impose Export Controls on any and all critical software, also starting November 1st, 2025.
  • It is impossible to believe that China would have taken such an action, but they have.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):10/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:10/10
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Summary:Gratitude is expressed towards President Putin.
Sentiment:Appreciative
Key Claims:
  • Gratitude is conveyed to President Putin
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:A post from Donald Trump features a statement by María Corina Machado declaring that Venezuela is on the threshold of victory in its struggle for freedom and democracy, identifying President Trump, the United States, the peoples of Latin America, and other democratic nations as primary allies in this endeavor.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • The struggle of Venezuelans for freedom has received immense recognition.
  • The task to conquer freedom is nearing conclusion.
  • Venezuela is on the threshold of victory.
  • President Trump, the people of the United States, the peoples of Latin America, and democratic nations are essential allies for achieving freedom and democracy in Venezuela.
  • Venezuela will achieve freedom.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:5/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
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Summary:China is reportedly initiating hostile trade actions by proposing export controls on rare earth elements and other production components to countries globally. These actions are described as unprecedented and designed to disrupt global markets, drawing anger from other nations. The U.S. views this as China leveraging a monopolistic position, prompting the U.S. President to declare that the U.S. will respond with financial countermeasures, including significantly increased tariffs on Chinese products, despite a previously positive relationship and a planned meeting with President Xi now being uncertain.
Sentiment:Confrontational
Key Claims:
  • China is exhibiting hostile behavior by sending letters to countries proposing export controls on rare earth elements and other production components.
  • These proposed export controls are unprecedented and would disrupt global markets and make life difficult for many countries.
  • Other countries have contacted the U.S. expressing anger over China's trade hostility.
  • China has been secretly amassing a monopoly position on certain elements, including 'Magnets.'
  • The U.S. possesses stronger and more extensive monopoly positions than China, which have not been utilized until now.
  • The U.S. President will be forced to financially counter China's move.
  • A massive increase of tariffs on Chinese products imported into the U.S. is one of the countermeasures under consideration.
  • The timing of China's action, coinciding with peace in the Middle East, is suspicious.
  • The relationship with China was good over the past six months, making this move surprising.
  • A planned meeting with President Xi at APEC in South Korea is now unlikely.
  • The U.S. countermeasure, though potentially painful, will ultimately be beneficial for the U.S.A.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):9/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
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Summary:The post criticizes Christopher Wray and expresses gratitude to FBI agents who reported bias observed during his leadership, referencing an article about the former president thanking these whistleblowers.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Christopher Wray is unfavorably described as a "beauty."
  • FBI agents reported witnessing bias.
  • The bias occurred under Wray's leadership.
  • Trump expresses thanks to the FBI whistleblower agents.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Donald Trump expresses gratitude for a Washington Post opinion piece, dated October 9, 2025, which states he deserves the Nobel Peace Prize for achieving a Gaza ceasefire deal. The post includes an image of Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu signing documents, reinforcing the context of peace agreements.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump has achieved a Gaza ceasefire deal.
  • An opinion piece in the Washington Post, dated October 9, 2025, asserts that Trump deserves the Nobel Peace Prize for this achievement.
  • Trump is acknowledging and celebrating this recognition from the Washington Post.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:The Jerusalem Post's front page for October 10, 2025, features Donald Trump for successfully bringing individuals home amidst an ongoing war, as implied by a quote from Prime Minister Golda Meir.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump is responsible for bringing numerous individuals home.
  • This event is a significant positive development, warranting a front-page headline in The Jerusalem Post.
  • The action occurs within the context of an ongoing war, as articulated by the Golda Meir quote.
  • The individuals brought home are represented by many unique portraits.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:5/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:The post expresses gratitude for a Newsmax article reporting on Donald Trump's connection to a Nobel Peace Prize, specifically mentioning the Republican Jewish Coalition (RJC).
Sentiment:Positive
Key Claims:
  • An article from Newsmax reports on Donald Trump being linked to a Nobel Peace Prize.
  • The Republican Jewish Coalition (RJC) is involved in discussions or support regarding Donald Trump's Nobel Peace Prize consideration.
  • The author expresses thanks for the information presented in the linked article.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post asserts that New Hampshire has experienced an increase of 10,919 Republican party registrations since the 2024 election, with the data reported as of October 1, 2025, and attributes this information to Seth Keshel and CaptainK.US.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • New Hampshire shows a change in party registration.
  • Republican party registrations increased by 10,919.
  • This increase occurred since the 2024 election.
  • The data is current as of October 1, 2025.
  • The source of this information is Seth Keshel and CaptainK.US.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post claims a change in party registration in California, stating that Republican registrations have increased by 173,821 since the 2024 election, with the data current as of October 1, 2025. The image features Donald Trump pointing directly at the viewer.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • There has been a change in party registration in California.
  • Since the 2024 election, Republican registrations in California have increased by 173,821.
  • This data is current as of October 1, 2025.
  • The source of this information is Seth Keshel, accessible via CaptainK.US.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10