The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:An individual described as a biological male participated and achieved a significant victory in the California Girls State Finals, an action the author had previously warned against. The author states that Governor Gavin Newscum fully understands that substantial fines will be levied.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • A biological male competed in California Girls State Finals.
  • The biological male won 'BIG' in the finals.
  • The author of the post warned the biological male not to compete.
  • Governor Gavin Newscum fully understands that large scale fines will be imposed.
  • Large scale fines will be imposed.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:A NewsMax report states that an ally has won an election in Poland, which is characterized as shocking Europe. The post congratulates Poland on its choice, declaring it a winning decision.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A 'Trump Ally' has won an election in Poland.
  • This electoral victory has 'shocked all in Europe'.
  • Poland's choice of leader is deemed a 'WINNER'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post asserts that a nation cannot achieve economic survival unless it is permitted to swiftly and effectively counter other countries' tariffs with its own.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • Other countries are allowed to use tariffs against 'us'.
  • 'We' are not allowed to quickly and nimbly counter them with tariffs.
  • Without the ability to impose reciprocal tariffs, 'our Country' has no chance of economic survival.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:The post asserts that "THE ONE, BIG, BEAUTIFUL BILL" represents the largest spending cut in history while simultaneously guaranteeing no reductions to Social Security, Medicare, or Medicaid, which it claims will be protected from the Democrats' incompetence and destructive policies; the only cuts will target waste, fraud, and abuse that incompetent Democrats failed to address.
Sentiment:Campaigning/Critical
Key Claims:
  • "THE ONE, BIG, BEAUTIFUL BILL" is the single biggest spending cut in history.
  • There will be no cuts to Social Security, Medicare, or Medicaid.
  • Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid will be saved from the incompetence of the Democrats.
  • Democrats have lost confidence and their way, saying anything to win.
  • Democrats suffered the "Greatest Humiliation in the History of Politics."
  • Democrats' policies are bad and would lead to the destruction of the country.
  • The only cutting that will occur is for waste, fraud, and abuse.
  • Incompetent, Radical Left Democrats failed to address waste, fraud, and abuse for the last four years.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post details a proposed comprehensive legislative package, referred to as "THE ONE, BIG, BEAUTIFUL BILL," which aims to implement significant spending cuts and tax reductions, overhaul energy policy, enhance national security and border control, reform social welfare programs, and repeal current environmental mandates. The author calls for the bill's swift passage by Congress.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The bill represents a historic opportunity to improve the country after four years under Joe Biden.
  • It will balance the budget by enacting the largest mandatory spending cut ever.
  • It will provide the largest tax cut ever, including no taxes on tips, overtime, or Social Security for Seniors.
  • The bill will unleash American energy by expediting permitting and refilling the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.
  • It will make American air travel great again by purchasing the final Air Traffic Control System.
  • It will secure skies from adversaries by building The Golden Dome.
  • It will secure the border by building more of the wall and supercharging the deportation of millions of criminal illegals.
  • It will remove millions of illegals from Medicaid and ensure SNAP benefits are for Americans only.
  • It will restore choice and affordability for car purchases by repealing Biden's EV mandate and Green New Scam tax credits and spending.
  • The bill protects children by stopping funding for sick sex changes for minors.
  • The author urges the Senate and House Republicans to pass this bill before the Fourth of July.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:A discussion occurred with military leaders, highlighting the unprecedented strength and weapons stockpiling of the nation's military, with an expressed hope that these capabilities will not be needed for engagement.
Sentiment:Confident and Cautious
Key Claims:
  • A great talk was held with military leaders.
  • The military is the strongest it has ever been.
  • The country is stockpiling weapons at an unprecedented rate.
  • There is a hope that the weapons will never need to be used.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:4/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:The post asserts that a past policy, referenced as 'AUTOPEN,' failed to prevent Iran from enriching uranium and declares that under a future agreement, Iran will not be permitted to engage in uranium enrichment.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • Iran has been enriching uranium.
  • A past policy, referenced as 'AUTOPEN,' should have prevented Iran's enrichment.
  • Under a potential future agreement, uranium enrichment by Iran will be prohibited.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:6/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post shows Donald Trump interacting with Elon Musk, Ted Cruz, and Ari Emanuel at a public event, identified by UFC lanyards and a large audience, visually capturing a moment of public association among these figures.
Sentiment:Public Engagement
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump, Elon Musk, Ted Cruz, and Ari Emanuel were present together at a public event.
  • The individuals in the image are seen interacting with each other.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:An article from the Financial Times reports on Newsmax, a conservative television network, going public and experiencing a significant surge in its stock value, positioning it as a thriving "Trump-adjacent" business with a market capitalization comparable to Fox Corporation.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Newsmax is a Trump-adjacent business with credible prospects.
  • The television sector, despite being in secular decline, can generate significant cash via advertising and subscriptions.
  • Newsmax is a conservative television empire thriving in the age of President Donald Trump.
  • Newsmax went public this week and raised $75 million.
  • Newsmax shares surged from a listing price of $10 to $233.
  • Newsmax achieved a market capitalization of $30 billion.
  • Newsmax's day-one bump gave it an enterprise value roughly in line with that of Fox Corporation.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:A court ruling against the nation's tariff authority would enable other countries to levy anti-American tariffs, which would lead to the economic ruination of the United States.
Sentiment:Warning
Key Claims:
  • A court ruling against tariffs is not expected.
  • A ruling against tariffs would allow other countries to hold the nation hostage with anti-American tariffs.
  • These anti-American tariffs would lead to the economic ruination of the United States of America.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10