The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post reports the arrest of an Afghan national, Mohammad Dawood Alokozay, who was paroled into the United States under Biden's Operation Allies Welcome. He was arrested in Fort Worth for threatening to blow up a building, after posting a video on TikTok indicating he was building a bomb. The arrest was made by the Texas Department of Public Safety and FBI JTTF, with charges of making Terroristic Threats, and ICE has lodged a detainer.
Sentiment:Warning/Critical
Key Claims:
  • An Afghan national, paroled into the US under Biden's Operation Allies Welcome, was arrested.
  • The individual threatened to blow up a building in Fort Worth.
  • The individual posted a video on TikTok indicating he was building a bomb with an intended target in the Fort Worth area.
  • The arrest was carried out by the Texas Department of Public Safety and FBI JTTF.
  • The individual was charged with making Terroristic Threats.
  • ICE has lodged a detainer against the individual.
  • The incident occurred shortly before a described Terrorist attack against the National Guard.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Outlines a comprehensive plan to overhaul U.S. immigration policy, detailing intentions to permanently pause migration from all Third World Countries, terminate previous admissions, remove individuals deemed not beneficial or loyal, end Federal benefits for non-citizens, and denaturalize certain migrants. The post concludes with a warning to those perceived as hostile to America.
Sentiment:Determined and Threatening
Key Claims:
  • Immigration Policy has eroded technological gains and living conditions for many.
  • A permanent pause on migration from all Third World Countries is proposed to allow the U.S. system to recover.
  • All Biden illegal admissions, including those signed by Autopen, will be terminated.
  • Anyone not a net asset to the United States or incapable of loving the Country will be removed.
  • All Federal benefits and subsidies to noncitizens will end.
  • Migrants who undermine domestic tranquility will be denaturalized.
  • Any Foreign National who is a public charge, security risk, or non-compatible with Western Civilization will be deported.
  • These goals aim for a major reduction in illegal and disruptive populations.
  • Only 'REVERSE MIGRATION' can fully cure the situation.
  • A warning is issued to those who hate, steal, murder, and destroy everything America stands for, stating they 'won't be here for long'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
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Summary:Donald Trump's post shares a message advocating for Republicans to mandate the SAVE ACT and $1 Trillion in spending cuts in the upcoming January budget bill, threatening a government shutdown as a consequence of non-compliance, and asserting that such actions fulfill the mandate for which Trump was elected, contrasting with current "bloated Biden budgets" that are described as dooming a generation.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • Republicans must attach the SAVE ACT and $1 Trillion in spending cuts to the next budget bill in January.
  • Failure to attach these measures should result in a government shutdown.
  • Donald Trump was elected to implement such fiscal policies.
  • Current Biden budgets are considered bloated and detrimental to future generations.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
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Summary:The post claims the author has achieved the highest poll numbers of his political career, attributes this success to effective work on the economy, foreign relations, stopping wars, border security, and crime reduction. It also predicts the economy will become the top public concern, citing the current stock market highs and a predicted decline in prices from a past administration's economic challenges, concluding with a call to action.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Achieved the highest poll numbers of a political career.
  • Performed great work on the Economy.
  • Stopping WARS and Foreign Relations are a strong suit.
  • The Border and Stopping Crime are great achievements.
  • Predicts the Economy will soon be at the top of the list of achievements.
  • The stock market is at its highest, ever.
  • Prices are coming sharply down from the Biden disaster.
  • Advocates to MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post emphasizes that the timing of a Senate vote is less important than Republicans acknowledging past accomplishments, which include a major bill, closed borders, specific social policy changes, ending DEI, curbing inflation, historic tax and regulation cuts, stopping wars, rebuilding the military, achieving global respect, attracting trillions in investments, creating a vibrant economy, and a significant political win against Democrats on a shutdown.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The timing of the Senate passing the House Bill is not a priority.
  • Republicans should remain focused on past victories.
  • A 'Great Big Beautiful Bill' was delivered.
  • Borders were closed.
  • Policies preventing men in women's sports and 'Transgender for Everyone' were implemented.
  • DEI was ended.
  • Biden’s Record Setting Inflation was stopped.
  • The biggest tax and regulation cuts in history were enacted.
  • Eight wars were stopped.
  • The military was rebuilt.
  • The U.S. was respected by every country in the world.
  • Trillions of dollars were invested in the U.S.A.
  • The U.S. was created as the 'HOTTEST' country in the world.
  • A huge defeat was delivered to the Democrats on the shutdown.
  • The objective is to 'MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!'
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
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Summary:Donald Trump is withdrawing his support and endorsement of Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene, citing her constant complaining and perceived shift to the 'Far Left.' He attributes numerous 'Record Achievements' to himself, including a complete victory on the shutdown, closed borders, low taxes, ending DEI, stopping inflation, significant regulation cuts, stopping eight wars, rebuilding the military, and making the U.S. respected and economically 'hottest.' He indicates that conservative individuals are considering primarying Greene in her Georgia district and that he would offer complete support to a suitable challenger.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump is withdrawing support and endorsement of Marjorie Taylor Greene.
  • Donald Trump created 'Record Achievements' for the country.
  • These achievements include a total and complete victory on the shutdown, closed borders, low taxes, no men in women’s sports or transgender for everyone, ending DEI, stopping Biden’s record-setting inflation, the biggest regulation cuts in history, stopping eight wars, rebuilding the military, being respected by every country in the world, having trillions of dollars invested in the U.S.A., and creating the 'hottest' country in the world.
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene constantly complains.
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene polled at 12% for Senator or Governor and had no chance without Trump's endorsement.
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene is upset that Trump does not return her phone calls.
  • Donald Trump cannot take a 'ranting Lunatic’s' call every day due to his responsibilities.
  • Conservative people are considering primarying Marjorie Taylor Greene in her Georgia district.
  • Donald Trump will give complete and unyielding support to the 'right person' who runs against Marjorie Taylor Greene.
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene has 'gone Far Left.'
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene appeared on 'The View' with 'Low IQ Republican hating Anchors.'
  • The overarching goal is to 'MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!'
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:The post depicts a projected decrease in the cost of a new home, moving from $429,000 under Biden in July 2024 to $395,100 under Trump in July 2025, indicating that home prices will be lower under Trump's administration.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The cost to buy a new home is predicted to decrease.
  • Under Biden's administration in July 2024, the cost of a new home is $429,000.
  • Under Trump's administration in July 2025, the cost of a new home will be $395,100.
  • A Trump administration will lead to lower new home prices compared to a Biden administration.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post asserts that 2025 Thanksgiving dinner costs under Trump will be 25% lower than 2024 costs under Biden, citing Walmart. It states that costs are universally lower under Trump compared to Democrats, especially for oil and gas, thereby declaring the Democrats' affordability issue as invalid and accusing them of dishonesty.
Sentiment:Campaigning-Accusatory
Key Claims:
  • 2025 Thanksgiving dinner costs under Trump are 25% lower than 2024 Thanksgiving dinner costs under Biden.
  • Walmart is cited as the source for this cost comparison.
  • Costs under Trump are lower than under Democrats on everything.
  • Oil and gas costs are specifically noted as lower under Trump.
  • The Democrats' affordability issue is nullified.
  • Democrats are accused of lying.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Christina Bobb's new book, 'DEFIANT: Inside the Mar-a-Lago Raid and the Left’s Ongoing Lawfare,' is now available, featuring a foreword by Donald Trump. The book reveals the details of the 'Deranged Jack Smith Investigations' and the 'Illegal Raid on Mar-a-Lago,' framing them as the Biden administration's weaponization of the justice system against Trump and his movement.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Christina Bobb’s book 'DEFIANT' is available now.
  • Donald Trump wrote the foreword for 'DEFIANT'.
  • The book exposes details about the 'Deranged Jack Smith Investigations'.
  • The book exposes details about the 'Illegal Raid on Mar-a-Lago'.
  • The book provides evidence for its claims ('brings the receipts').
  • The Biden administration weaponized the justice system against Donald Trump.
  • The Biden administration weaponized the justice system against 'our incredible Movement'.
  • The 'Radical Left Lunatics' seek to conceal the truth.
  • The legal actions were ultimately directed at the supporters of the movement, with Donald Trump being a target 'in the way'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:President Trump is depicted as significantly reducing government spending after an period under Biden characterized by substantial spending increases.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • President Trump will bring government spending down.
  • Government spending increased significantly under Biden.
  • Under Trump, government spending will decrease, showing a negative year-over-year change in Q3 2025.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10