The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

Buy Me A Coffee
Filtering by entity: China | Clear Filter
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Donald Trump outlines a strategy to end the war between Russia and Ukraine, proposing that he is ready to implement major sanctions on Russia if all NATO nations agree to do the same and cease buying Russian oil. He also suggests that NATO collectively imposes 50% to 100% tariffs on China, to be removed after the war concludes, believing China's influence over Russia can be broken. Trump states the war is Biden's and Zelenskyy's, not his, and asserts that following his plan will quickly end the conflict and save lives.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump is ready to impose major sanctions on Russia when all NATO nations agree and stop buying Russian oil.
  • NATO's commitment to winning the war has been significantly less than 100%.
  • NATO nations purchasing Russian oil weakens their negotiating and bargaining power over Russia.
  • Placing 50% to 100% tariffs on China, to be withdrawn after the war, will help end the deadly war with Russia and Ukraine.
  • China has strong control and a grip over Russia.
  • Powerful tariffs on China will break its grip over Russia.
  • The war is Biden's and Zelenskyy's war, and would not have started if Donald Trump was President.
  • Donald Trump is offering to help stop the war and save thousands of Russian and Ukrainian lives.
  • 7,118 lives were lost last week alone in the conflict.
  • If NATO follows Trump's proposed actions, the war will end quickly and all those lives will be saved.
  • If NATO does not comply, they are wasting Donald Trump's time, and the time, energy, and money of the United States.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):9/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:10/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post claims that India and Russia have aligned with China, creating a new geopolitical bloc, which is presented as a significant loss.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • India and Russia have been lost to China, forming an alliance with 'deepest, darkest, China'.
  • This alignment represents a significant geopolitical shift.
  • The post sarcastically wishes India, Russia, and China a 'long and prosperous future together'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:Describes a large seizure of methamphetamine precursor chemicals, attributing the success to the prior designation of the Sinaloa Cartel as a Foreign Terrorist Organization by President Trump and Secretary Rubio.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The largest seizure of methamphetamine precursor chemicals in U.S. history occurred.
  • China was sending over 700,000 lbs of precursor chemicals on the high seas to the Sinaloa Cartel.
  • The seizure was made by the U.S. Attorney's office.
  • President Trump and Secretary Rubio declared the Sinaloa Cartel a Foreign Terrorist Organization.
  • This designation allows authorities to strike faster and hit harder against the cartel.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post questions whether President Xi will acknowledge the United States' historical support and sacrifice, including American lives, in helping China secure its freedom from a foreign invader. It then conveys regards to Vladimir Putin and Kim Jong Un, implying a conspiracy against the United States of America.
Sentiment:Challenging
Key Claims:
  • The United States of America provided massive support and 'blood' to China to help it secure freedom from a very unfriendly foreign invader.
  • Many Americans died in China’s quest for Victory and Glory.
  • American bravery and sacrifice should be honored and remembered by President Xi and the people of China.
  • President Xi, Vladimir Putin, and Kim Jong Un are conspiring against The United States of America.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:An unnamed female individual is identified as a disgrace, linked to a significant scandal involving Iran and China's circumvention activities.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • An unnamed female individual is considered a disgrace
  • A significant scandal involving this individual has occurred
  • The scandal concerns Iran and China's circumvention activities
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:4/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:An Executive Order was signed to extend the Tariff Suspension on China for an additional 90 days, with all other aspects of the existing agreement remaining unchanged.
Sentiment:Policy-focused
Key Claims:
  • An Executive Order has been signed.
  • The Executive Order extends the Tariff Suspension on China for 90 days.
  • All other elements of the agreement remain the same.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post asserts China is experiencing a soybean shortage and proposes that China significantly increase its soybean orders from US farmers to substantially reduce China’s trade deficit with the USA, with assurances of rapid service and gratitude expressed to President Xi.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • China is concerned about a shortage of soybeans.
  • US farmers produce superior soybeans.
  • China should quickly quadruple its soybean orders from the USA.
  • Increasing soybean orders will substantially reduce China's trade deficit with the USA.
  • Rapid service will be provided for these orders.
  • President Xi is thanked for his role in this matter.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The Wall Street Journal Editorial Board's negative stance on Trump and the administration's tariff policy stems from their alleged China-centric or globalist views, which prioritize other nations' economic success over that of the United States. Tariffs are presented as essential for U.S. economic defense, claiming they bring hundreds of billions of dollars into the country at an unprecedented rate. The post asserts that corrupt, radical left judges pose the primary threat to the nation.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • The Wall Street Journal Editorial Board is negative on Trump and tariffs due to being China-centric or globalist.
  • The Wall Street Journal Editorial Board prefers China and the world to "WIN, BABY, WIN."
  • Tariffs are bringing hundreds of billions of dollars into the U.S. at an unprecedented rate.
  • The United States would be economically defenseless without the ability to charge tariffs.
  • Crooked, Radical Left Judges are the only entity capable of destroying the United States.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:India's high tariffs and non-monetary trade barriers have limited business with the United States. India's significant military and energy purchases from Russia are problematic given the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Consequently, India will face a 25% tariff and an additional penalty starting August 1st.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • India's tariffs are excessively high and are among the highest globally.
  • India possesses the most strenuous and obnoxious non-monetary trade barriers.
  • Limited business has been conducted with India over the years due to these barriers.
  • India is a major buyer of Russian military equipment.
  • India is Russia's largest buyer of energy, along with China.
  • These actions by India are contrary to efforts to stop the conflict in Ukraine.
  • India will be subject to a 25% tariff plus a penalty starting August 1st.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post clarifies that Donald Trump is not actively seeking a summit with President Xi of China, but is open to visiting China only at President Xi's invitation, which has already been extended.
Sentiment:Clarifying
Key Claims:
  • The Fake News is reporting that I am SEEKING a “Summit” with President Xi of China.
  • This is not correct, I am not SEEKING anything!
  • I may go to China, but it would only be at the invitation of President Xi, which has been extended.
  • Otherwise, no interest!
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10