The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post asserts that Donald Trump's involvement significantly improved NATO members' financial contributions, prevented Russia from fully occupying Ukraine, ended multiple wars, rebuilt the U.S. military, and positioned the U.S. as the sole nation respected by Russia and China, despite expressing skepticism about NATO's reciprocal commitment.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • NATO members were at 2% GDP and not paying their bills until Donald Trump's intervention.
  • The USA was foolishly paying for NATO members.
  • Donald Trump got NATO members to 5% GDP and to pay immediately.
  • Everyone believed this financial change for NATO was impossible.
  • Without Donald Trump's involvement, Russia would have all of Ukraine.
  • Donald Trump single-handedly ended 8 wars.
  • Norway foolishly chose not to award Donald Trump the Nobel Peace Prize.
  • Donald Trump saved millions of lives.
  • Russia and China have zero fear of NATO without the United States.
  • NATO is doubted to be there for the U.S. if truly needed.
  • Donald Trump rebuilt the U.S. military in his first term and continues to do so.
  • The U.S. will always support NATO, even if NATO does not reciprocate.
  • The only nation that China and Russia fear and respect is the DJT Rebuilt U.S.A.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:Donald Trump held a productive telephone call with President Putin and is scheduled to meet with President Zelenskyy at 1:00 P.M. today in the main dining room of Mar-a-Lago, with press invited.
Sentiment:Diplomatic
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump had a good and very productive telephone call with President Putin.
  • Donald Trump will meet with President Zelenskyy today at 1:00 P.M.
  • The meeting will occur at Mar-a-Lago in the main dining room.
  • Press is invited to the meeting.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:5/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:The United States facilitated a treaty ending fighting between Thailand and Cambodia, with both nations' leaders praised for a swift resolution. The post claims the US has settled eight conflicts in the past eleven months, suggesting it has become a more effective entity for peace than the United Nations, which is criticized for its inaction in conflicts including Russia and Ukraine, and urged to become more active in global peace.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Fighting between Thailand and Cambodia will stop momentarily.
  • Thailand and Cambodia will return to living in peace, as per a recently agreed-to treaty.
  • The United States of America helped facilitate this resolution.
  • The resolution was fast and decisive.
  • Eight wars and conflicts have been settled or stopped over the last eleven months.
  • The United States has become the 'REAL United Nations' regarding conflict resolution.
  • The United Nations has provided very little assistance or help in these conflicts.
  • The United Nations has been unhelpful in the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
  • The United Nations must start getting active and involved in world peace.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:Trump's team has made significant progress toward ending the Russia-Ukraine War, having fine-tuned a 28-Point Peace Plan, with only a few disagreements remaining. Envoys have been directed to meet with President Putin and the Ukrainians, with Trump anticipating meetings with both President Zelenskyy and President Putin once a deal is finalized.
Sentiment:Peacemaking
Key Claims:
  • Trump's team has made tremendous progress in ending the Russia-Ukraine War.
  • The war would have never started if Trump were President.
  • 25,000 soldiers died last month.
  • The original 28-Point Peace Plan, drafted by the United States, has been fine-tuned with input from both sides.
  • Only a few points of disagreement remain in the peace plan.
  • Steve Witkoff has been directed to meet with President Putin in Moscow.
  • Secretary of the Army Dan Driscoll will be meeting with the Ukrainians.
  • Trump will be briefed on all progress by Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, and White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles.
  • Trump looks forward to meeting with President Zelenskyy and President Putin only when the peace deal is final or in its final stages.
  • Peace can be accomplished as soon as possible.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
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Summary:A positive telephone call took place between President Donald Trump and President Xi of China, covering topics such as Ukraine/Russia, Fentanyl, and agricultural products. The leaders discussed a beneficial deal for American farmers, affirmed the strength of the U.S.-China relationship, and planned reciprocal state visits, including Trump's visit to Beijing in April and President Xi's visit to the U.S. later in the year.
Sentiment:Diplomatic
Key Claims:
  • President Trump had a very good telephone call with President Xi.
  • Topics discussed included Ukraine/Russia, Fentanyl, Soybeans and other Farm Products.
  • A good and very important deal for American Farmers was concluded, with expectations for further improvement.
  • The relationship between the U.S. and China is extremely strong.
  • The call served as a follow-up to a highly successful meeting in South Korea three weeks prior.
  • Significant progress has been made since the South Korea meeting in keeping agreements current and accurate.
  • President Xi invited President Trump to visit Beijing in April, which was accepted.
  • President Trump reciprocated the invitation for President Xi to be a guest for a State Visit in the U.S. later in the year.
  • Both leaders agreed on the importance of frequent communication.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
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Summary:The post suggests potential for significant progress in peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, advising a cautious approach while acknowledging a positive development might be underway, and concludes with a blessing for America.
Sentiment:Cautiously Optimistic
Key Claims:
  • Significant progress might be occurring in peace talks between Russia and Ukraine.
  • Verification of progress is advised before full belief.
  • A positive development may be happening.
  • God blesses America.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
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Summary:The war between Russia and Ukraine is a terrible conflict that began during the Biden administration and escalated due to perceived weak leadership and a rigged 2020 election, a war that would not have occurred during the speaker's first term. The post claims Ukraine has shown no gratitude, Europe continues to buy Russian oil, and the U.S. supplies weapons to NATO for Ukraine, with 'Crooked Joe' giving aid freely.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • The Russia-Ukraine war would have never happened with strong and proper U.S. and Ukrainian leadership.
  • The war began during the Sleepy Joe Biden Administration and has only gotten worse.
  • If the 2020 Presidential Election was not rigged and stolen, there would be no Ukraine/Russia War.
  • Putin would never have attacked during the speaker's first Term in Office, as there was no mention of such a war then.
  • Putin attacked when he saw 'Sleepy Joe' in action.
  • The speaker inherited a war that should have never happened and is a loser for everyone, especially the millions of needlessly dead.
  • Ukraine 'leadership' has expressed zero gratitude for U.S. efforts.
  • Europe continues to buy oil from Russia.
  • The USA continues to sell massive amounts of weapons to NATO for distribution to Ukraine.
  • 'Crooked Joe' gave everything, including 'big' money, free to Ukraine.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:The post details Jeffrey Epstein's alleged affiliation with the Democrat party, highlighting donations to Democrat politicians and associations with figures like Bill Clinton, Larry Summers, Reid Hoffman, Hakeem Jeffries, and Stacey Plaskett. It asserts that Epstein was charged by the Trump Justice Department and accuses the Biden Administration of withholding Epstein-related files. The post announces the signing of a bill to release Epstein files, attributing its passage to Donald Trump's request, and claims this action will reveal the truth about Democrats. It also posits that Democrats use the 'Epstein issue' as a distraction from 'AMAZING Victories' achieved by Republicans and the Trump Administration, including tax cuts, strong borders, specific cultural policies, inflation control, economic investment, and ending wars. The post concludes by stating that this 'latest Hoax' will backfire on Democrats, similar to past 'Witch Hunts and Scams'.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Jeffrey Epstein was charged by the Trump Justice Department in 2019, not by Democrats.
  • Jeffrey Epstein was a lifelong Democrat and donated thousands of dollars to Democrat politicians.
  • Epstein was deeply associated with many well-known Democrat figures, including Bill Clinton (who traveled on his plane 26 times), Larry Summers (who resigned from boards including Harvard), Reid Hoffman, Hakeem Jeffries (who asked for a donation after Epstein was charged), and Stacey Plaskett.
  • The truth about Democrats' associations with Jeffrey Epstein will soon be revealed because the bill to release the Epstein files has been signed.
  • Donald Trump requested Speaker Mike Johnson and Senate Majority Leader John Thune to pass the bill to release the Epstein files, leading to almost unanimous passage.
  • At Donald Trump's direction, the Department of Justice has already turned over close to fifty thousand pages of documents to Congress.
  • The Biden Administration did not turn over any files or pages related to Democrat Epstein and never spoke about him.
  • Democrats have used the 'Epstein' issue, which affects them more than Republicans, to distract from 'AMAZING Victories' of Republicans and the Trump Administration.
  • These 'AMAZING Victories' include the 'GREAT BIG BEAUTIFUL TAX CUT BILL', strong borders, no men in women's sports or transgender for everyone, ending DEI, stopping Biden's record-setting inflation, lowering prices, the biggest tax and regulation cuts in history, ending eight wars, rebuilding the military, knocking out Iran's nuclear capability, getting trillions of dollars invested in the U.S.A., creating the 'HOTTEST' Country, and delivering a defeat to Democrats on the recent shutdown.
  • For years, the nation endured 'RUSSIA, RUSSIA, RUSSIA,' 'UKRAINE, UKRAINE, UKRAINE,' 'IMPEACHMENT HOAX #1,' 'IMPEACHMENT HOAX #2,' and other Democrat-created 'Witch Hunts and Scams' to confuse, deflect, and distract from the 'GREAT JOB' done by Republicans and the Trump Administration.
  • This latest 'Hoax' (the Epstein issue used by Democrats) will backfire on the Democrats, just as all the rest have.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:The post describes Joe Biden's presidency as the worst in American history, alleging a corrupt election, unprecedented disasters, highest inflation, a weakening dollar, and the surrender of energy dominance. It claims Biden abolished the Southern Border, leading to a massive influx of people, and that his foreign policy weakness prompted international conflicts. The post asserts that Biden, suffering from mental decline, withdrew from his re-election campaign after a humiliating debate loss to President Trump in June 2024, having weaponized law enforcement and issued blanket pardons. It concludes by stating President Trump would be re-elected to save America.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Joe Biden was the worst President in American History.
  • Biden's election was the most corrupt ever seen in the United States.
  • Biden's policies caused the highest Inflation ever recorded, leading the U.S. Dollar to lose more than 20% of its value in 4 years.
  • The 'Green New Scam' surrendered American Energy Dominance.
  • Biden abolished the Southern Border, allowing 21 million people from all over the World, including from prisons, jails, mental institutions, and insane asylums, to pour into the United States.
  • Biden's surrender in Afghanistan was among the most humiliating events in American History and resulted in the murder of 13 brave American Servicemembers.
  • Biden's devastating weakness led to Russia invading Ukraine and Hamas launching the October 7th attack on Israel.
  • Biden was dominated by his radical handlers, and the Fake News Media attempted to cover up his severe mental decline and unprecedented use of the Autopen.
  • Biden withdrew from his campaign for re-election in disgrace after a humiliating debate loss to President Trump in the big June 2024 debate.
  • Biden weaponized Law Enforcement against his political opponent and persecuted many other innocent people.
  • Biden left office issuing blanket pardons to Radical Democrat criminals and thugs, as well as members of the Biden Crime Family.
  • President Trump would get Re-Elected and SAVE AMERICA!
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:5/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:The Wall Street Journal's report regarding U.S. approval for Ukraine's use of long-range missiles deep into Russia is inaccurate, and the U.S. has no connection to these missiles or their deployment by Ukraine.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • The Wall Street Journal's story about U.S. approval for Ukraine to use long-range missiles deep into Russia is false.
  • The U.S. has no involvement with long-range missiles used by Ukraine.
  • The U.S. has no involvement with what Ukraine does with any missiles it may possess.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:4/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10