The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

Buy Me A Coffee
Filtering by entity: United States of America | Clear Filter
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post asserts that the movie-making business has been taken from the United States by other countries, negatively impacting California due to the state's Governor. To address this, a 100% tariff on all movies made outside the United States is proposed.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • The movie-making business has been stolen from the United States by other countries.
  • California, with its 'weak and incompetent Governor,' has been particularly hard hit by this situation.
  • A 100% tariff on any and all movies made outside of the United States will solve this long-standing problem.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:A report on a shooting at a Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints in Grand Blanc, Michigan, with the FBI leading the investigation and the suspect dead. The incident is characterized as a targeted attack on Christians, and a call is made to end the epidemic of violence in the country, urging prayers for victims and their families.
Sentiment:Alarmed and Directive
Key Claims:
  • A horrendous shooting occurred at the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints in Grand Blanc, Michigan.
  • The FBI is leading the federal investigation and providing full support to State and Local Officials.
  • The suspect in the shooting is dead.
  • The incident appears to be a targeted attack on Christians in the United States of America.
  • The Trump Administration will keep the public posted on developments.
  • There is an epidemic of violence in the country that must end immediately.
  • Prayers are requested for the victims and their families.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Ukraine, with European Union and NATO support, is in a strong position to reclaim its original territory and potentially expand beyond, as Russia is experiencing significant economic difficulties and has demonstrated military ineptitude in a prolonged conflict. The United States will continue to supply weapons to NATO. Donald Trump, as President of the United States of America, wishes both countries well.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • Ukraine, with EU and NATO support, is positioned to fight and win back all its original territory.
  • Russia has been fighting aimlessly for three and a half years in a war that a 'Real Military Power' could have won in less than a week.
  • Russia is made to look like 'a paper tiger.'
  • Russia is experiencing significant economic trouble, including difficulties in obtaining gasoline, with most of its money spent on the war.
  • Ukraine possesses 'Great Spirit' and is improving.
  • Ukraine might be able to 'go further' than just taking back its original country.
  • Putin and Russia are in 'BIG Economic trouble,' presenting an opportune time for Ukraine to act.
  • The United States will continue to supply weapons to NATO for their discretion.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:A demand is made for Afghanistan to return Bagram Airbase to the United States, which the post asserts built the base, with a warning that "BAD THINGS ARE GOING TO HAPPEN!!!" if the demand is not met.
Sentiment:Threatening
Key Claims:
  • The United States of America built Bagram Airbase.
  • Afghanistan currently possesses Bagram Airbase.
  • Afghanistan must return Bagram Airbase to the United States.
  • Failure by Afghanistan to return Bagram Airbase will result in severe negative consequences.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post demands Venezuela immediately accept all prisoners and individuals from mental institutions that Venezuelan "Leadership" has allegedly forced into the United States, asserting that these individuals have caused significant harm and deaths. It warns that failure to comply will result in an "incalculable" price.
Sentiment:Threatening
Key Claims:
  • Venezuelan "Leadership" has forced prisoners and people from mental institutions into the United States.
  • These individuals include those from "the Worst in the World Insane Asylums."
  • Thousands of people in the United States have been badly hurt and killed by these individuals.
  • Venezuela must immediately accept these individuals back into their country.
  • Failure to comply with this demand will result in an "incalculable" price for Venezuela.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:Donald Trump highlights his role in settling the war between Azerbaijan and Armenia, fostering friendships with President Ilham Aliyev and Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, and securing an everlasting friendship for the United States.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump helped settle the war between Azerbaijan and Armenia.
  • Donald Trump became friends with President Ilham Aliyev and Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan.
  • President Ilham Aliyev and Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan are 'Great Leaders and Men'.
  • The friendship fostered will be an everlasting friendship for Donald Trump.
  • The friendship fostered will be an everlasting friendship for the United States of America.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Donald Trump outlines a strategy to end the war between Russia and Ukraine, proposing that he is ready to implement major sanctions on Russia if all NATO nations agree to do the same and cease buying Russian oil. He also suggests that NATO collectively imposes 50% to 100% tariffs on China, to be removed after the war concludes, believing China's influence over Russia can be broken. Trump states the war is Biden's and Zelenskyy's, not his, and asserts that following his plan will quickly end the conflict and save lives.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump is ready to impose major sanctions on Russia when all NATO nations agree and stop buying Russian oil.
  • NATO's commitment to winning the war has been significantly less than 100%.
  • NATO nations purchasing Russian oil weakens their negotiating and bargaining power over Russia.
  • Placing 50% to 100% tariffs on China, to be withdrawn after the war, will help end the deadly war with Russia and Ukraine.
  • China has strong control and a grip over Russia.
  • Powerful tariffs on China will break its grip over Russia.
  • The war is Biden's and Zelenskyy's war, and would not have started if Donald Trump was President.
  • Donald Trump is offering to help stop the war and save thousands of Russian and Ukrainian lives.
  • 7,118 lives were lost last week alone in the conflict.
  • If NATO follows Trump's proposed actions, the war will end quickly and all those lives will be saved.
  • If NATO does not comply, they are wasting Donald Trump's time, and the time, energy, and money of the United States.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):9/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:10/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:India and the United States are engaged in ongoing negotiations to address trade barriers, with an optimistic outlook for a successful resolution following upcoming discussions between the leaders.
Sentiment:Optimistic
Key Claims:
  • India and the United States are continuing negotiations to address trade barriers.
  • Upcoming discussions will take place with Prime Minister Modi.
  • A successful conclusion for both countries is anticipated without difficulty.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Donald Trump states that Israel has accepted his terms for ending the war and returning hostages, and issues a final warning to Hamas to accept these terms.
Sentiment:Ultimatum
Key Claims:
  • Everyone desires the return of hostages.
  • Everyone desires the end of the war.
  • The Israelis have accepted Donald Trump's terms for ending the war.
  • Hamas must now accept these terms.
  • Donald Trump has previously warned Hamas about non-acceptance.
  • This is Donald Trump's final warning to Hamas.
  • There will be severe consequences if Hamas does not accept.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post displays the official seal of the United States Department of War.
Sentiment:Forceful
Key Claims:
  • The post displays the official seal of the United States Department of War.
  • The seal conveys a message emphasizing military power and national defense.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10