The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:Donald Trump shared a tweet from "First Words" declaring that an unspecified individual's political future has concluded.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • An unspecified individual's political future has ended.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:A social media post criticizes an unnamed individual for aligning with Democrats, viewing this as a pursuit of personal political gain in 2028 rather than supporting President Trump's efforts to fix the country. The post dismisses the individual and sarcastically suggests they will find employment on 'The View' with Whoopi. The accompanying image depicts a protest calling to 'Unlock the Epstein Files,' featuring signs that implicate Bill Clinton and Bill Gates, alongside Marjorie Taylor Greene, who is also shown in a separate interview segment.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • An unnamed individual chose to join the Democrats.
  • This choice is motivated by the individual's desire to better their political future in 2028.
  • This action is contrary to helping President Trump fix the country.
  • President Trump was voted for again with the expectation he would fix the country.
  • The unnamed individual is being dismissed ('Don't let the door hit you on the way out').
  • The individual is sarcastically suggested to be hired by Whoopi on 'The View.'
  • There is a public demand to 'Unlock the Epstein Files.'
  • The 'Epstein Files' narrative involves figures such as Bill Clinton and Bill Gates, as depicted on protest signs.
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene is associated with the 'Unlock the Epstein Files' protest and is also shown in a separate interview.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Donald Trump is withdrawing his support and endorsement of Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene, citing her constant complaining and perceived shift to the 'Far Left.' He attributes numerous 'Record Achievements' to himself, including a complete victory on the shutdown, closed borders, low taxes, ending DEI, stopping inflation, significant regulation cuts, stopping eight wars, rebuilding the military, and making the U.S. respected and economically 'hottest.' He indicates that conservative individuals are considering primarying Greene in her Georgia district and that he would offer complete support to a suitable challenger.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump is withdrawing support and endorsement of Marjorie Taylor Greene.
  • Donald Trump created 'Record Achievements' for the country.
  • These achievements include a total and complete victory on the shutdown, closed borders, low taxes, no men in women’s sports or transgender for everyone, ending DEI, stopping Biden’s record-setting inflation, the biggest regulation cuts in history, stopping eight wars, rebuilding the military, being respected by every country in the world, having trillions of dollars invested in the U.S.A., and creating the 'hottest' country in the world.
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene constantly complains.
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene polled at 12% for Senator or Governor and had no chance without Trump's endorsement.
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene is upset that Trump does not return her phone calls.
  • Donald Trump cannot take a 'ranting Lunatic’s' call every day due to his responsibilities.
  • Conservative people are considering primarying Marjorie Taylor Greene in her Georgia district.
  • Donald Trump will give complete and unyielding support to the 'right person' who runs against Marjorie Taylor Greene.
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene has 'gone Far Left.'
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene appeared on 'The View' with 'Low IQ Republican hating Anchors.'
  • The overarching goal is to 'MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!'
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:The post queries Thomas Massie's marital status, asserts his consistent voting against the Republican Party, attributes him the moniker 'Rand Paul Jr.' because of this voting record, and cites polls indicating his low electoral prospects, concluding with a negative characterization.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Thomas Massie has recently married.
  • Thomas Massie consistently votes against the Republican Party.
  • Thomas Massie is sometimes referred to as 'Rand Paul Jr.' due to his voting record.
  • Polls indicate Thomas Massie has less than an 8% chance of winning an election.
  • Thomas Massie is characterized as a 'LOSER'.
  • Thomas Massie's presumed wife will discover he is a 'LOSER'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Donald Trump nominated Justin Olson to serve as Judge on the United States District Court for the Southern District of Indiana, highlighting his magna cum laude graduation from Indiana University Maurer School of Law, his distinction at the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Indianapolis, and his work as a litigator fighting to keep men out of women’s sports.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • Justin Olson has been nominated to serve as Judge on the United States District Court for the Southern District of Indiana.
  • Justin Olson graduated magna cum laude from Indiana University Maurer School of Law.
  • Justin Olson distinguished himself at the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Indianapolis.
  • Justin Olson has been fighting tirelessly as a litigator to keep men out of women’s sports.
  • Justin Olson will always uphold the Rule of Law.
  • Justin Olson will strongly protect Constitutional Rights.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Donald Trump nominates Megan Benton to the United States District Court for the Western District of Missouri, citing her qualifications, experience as a prosecutor and trial judge, and commitment to the Constitution and justice.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump is pleased to nominate Megan Benton to serve as Judge on the United States District Court for the Western District of Missouri.
  • Megan Benton earned her J.D. from Vanderbilt University Law School.
  • Megan Benton worked as a prosecutor in the Platte County Prosecuting Attorney’s Office.
  • Megan Benton is currently delivering strong results for the Rule of Law as a Trial Court Judge in Platte County.
  • The State of Missouri deserves a fighter like Megan Benton who will always protect the Constitution.
  • Megan Benton will ensure Liberty and Justice FOR ALL.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Donald Trump nominated Brian Lea to serve as Judge on the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Tennessee, citing his extensive experience and expecting him to uphold law and order and defend the Constitution.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump nominated Brian Lea to serve as Judge on the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Tennessee.
  • Brian Lea possesses tremendous experience.
  • Brian Lea currently serves as a Deputy Associate Attorney General for the Department of Justice.
  • Brian Lea previously served as Law Clerk to Justice Clarence Thomas and Judge Ed Carnes.
  • Brian Lea received his J.D. from the University of Georgia School of Law.
  • Brian Lea received his B.A. from Union University.
  • Brian Lea was a terrific baseball player at Union University.
  • Brian Lea will boldly defend the Constitution in his new role.
  • Brian Lea will prioritize LAW AND ORDER in Tennessee.
  • Brian Lea will not let the public down.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The nomination of Donald Korb to serve as Assistant General Counsel in the Department of the Treasury has been withdrawn.
Sentiment:Administrative
Key Claims:
  • Donald Korb's nomination for Assistant General Counsel in the Department of the Treasury has been withdrawn.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The White House released a positive press report detailing President Donald Trump's administration's achievements in securing massive discounts and insurance coverage for IVF and fertility treatments, and claiming over 28,000 violent criminal arrests since the administration's start.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • President Donald Trump announced massive discounts on in vitro fertilization (IVF) and fertility treatments.
  • The White House negotiated with EMD Serono to lower costs for fertility treatments and drugs, including Gonal-f, and to sell future drugs in the U.S. at similar prices to other countries.
  • The administration will take steps to allow insurance companies to provide specialized plans to cover fertility costs, marking the first time in U.S. history.
  • President Trump campaigned on making IVF affordable and promised free IVF during a campaign stop in Michigan in August 2024.
  • President Donald Trump and FBI Director Kash Patel claim over 28,000 violent criminal arrests have been made since the start of the administration.
  • President Trump called for top law enforcement officials to focus on San Francisco in their efforts to combat crime.
  • Trump, Patel, Attorney General Pam Bondi, and Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche held a press conference to update the public on the administration's successes in combating crime.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:Steve Witkoff, described as a compassionate individual from humble beginnings, advanced President Trump's global mission for peace and the return of hostages. Concurrently, the White House is confident in its strategy regarding an ongoing government shutdown, asserting that Democrats' support is eroding based on internal and external polling.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Steve Witkoff embodies compassion and a commitment to helping those who suffer.
  • Witkoff started his own business from humble origins without privilege or a financial safety net.
  • Witkoff advanced President Trump's global mission for peace and the return of hostages, including specific Americans.
  • Witkoff personally supported hostage families, spending countless hours with them to restore faith.
  • The White House's political operation advises congressional Republicans to maintain a firm stance on the government shutdown.
  • Internal and external polling indicates that Democrats' public support regarding the shutdown is declining.
  • A senior administration official claims Democrats are 'taking on water' and the White House has 'a higher pain tolerance' for the shutdown.
  • White House internal polling attributes 44% of the blame for the shutdown to President Trump and the GOP-led Congress, and 38% to Democrats.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10