The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post announces low inflation numbers and great growth numbers for the USA, attributing the growth to tariffs. It then directs Jerome Powell to meaningfully cut interest rates, stating that a failure to do so would indicate he is "too late."
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Low inflation numbers are currently reported for the USA.
  • Great growth numbers are currently reported for the USA.
  • Tariffs are responsible for the great growth numbers.
  • Jerome Powell should meaningfully cut interest rates.
  • If Jerome Powell does not meaningfully cut interest rates, he will continue to be "too late."
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:The post questions if Minnesotans desire communities with dangerous criminals, attributing their presence to current border policies, and states that ICE aims to remove them. It claims crime reduction where 'we' operate, citing Chicago, and accuses Minnesota Democrats of using unrest to divert attention from a large theft, concluding with a promise of future reckoning.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • The people of Minnesota are living in communities with thousands of convicted murderers, drug dealers, rapists, violent released and escaped prisoners, dangerous people from foreign mental institutions, and other deadly criminals.
  • These dangerous individuals illegally entered the USA through 'Sleepy Joe Biden’s HORRIBLE Open Border’s Policy'.
  • Patriots of ICE intend to remove these dangerous individuals from neighborhoods and send them back to the prisons and mental institutions in their countries of origin.
  • Crime rates decrease in every place 'we' operate.
  • A significant improvement in Chicago, involving the removal of thousands of criminals, was achieved despite opposition from a 'weak and incompetent Governor and Mayor'.
  • Minnesota Democrats encourage unrest caused by anarchists and professional agitators to distract from a $19 billion theft.
  • A 'Day of Reckoning & Retribution' is imminent for the people of Minnesota.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Patel removed FBI agents involved in the 'Arctic Frost' inquiry, describing them as corrupt and asserting they weaponized law enforcement against Donald Trump.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Patel fired FBI agents.
  • The fired FBI agents were corrupt.
  • The FBI agents were involved in an 'anti-Trump Arctic Frost inquiry'.
  • The FBI agents 'weaponized' law enforcement.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post advocates for supporting Senator Roger Marshall's Credit Card Competition Act to stop what is described as an "out of control Swipe Fee ripoff," praising Senator Marshall as a "FANTASTIC Senator."
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • Everyone should support Senator Roger Marshall’s Credit Card Competition Act.
  • The Credit Card Competition Act is necessary to stop "out of control Swipe Fee ripoffs."
  • Senator Roger Marshall is a "FANTASTIC Senator."
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:The post asserts that American household utility bills have massively increased under the current administration, attributed partly to data centers. It announces that an upcoming administration will ensure major technology companies, starting with Microsoft, will cover their power consumption costs to prevent Americans from paying higher electricity bills, celebrating America's leadership in AI.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • American Household utility bills increased over 30% under Sleepy Joe Biden and the Radical Left Democrats.
  • Americans should not pay higher electricity bills because of Data Centers.
  • The speaker's administration is working with major American Technology Companies to secure their commitment to the American People.
  • Microsoft will make major changes to ensure Americans don’t 'pick up the tab' for their POWER consumption, starting this week.
  • America is the 'HOTTEST' Country in the World and Number One in AI.
  • Data Centers are key to America's boom, freedom, and security.
  • Big Technology Companies who build Data Centers must 'pay their own way.'
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
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Summary:Congestion pricing in Manhattan is deemed a disaster for New York and is asserted to be a foolish policy that must be ended immediately, with the claim that it has never worked and will never work.
Sentiment:Strongly Oppositional
Key Claims:
  • Congestion pricing in Manhattan is a disaster for New York.
  • Congestion pricing must be ended immediately.
  • Congestion pricing has never worked before.
  • Congestion pricing will never work in the future.
  • The congestion pricing policy is foolish.
  • New York is being destroyed rapidly by this policy.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:An immediate 25% tariff is imposed on all business conducted with the United States for any country also doing business with the Islamic Republic of Iran, stating the order is final and conclusive.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • Any country doing business with the Islamic Republic of Iran will pay a 25% tariff on all business conducted with the United States.
  • This order is effective immediately.
  • The order is final and conclusive.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:6/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:The post describes FBI agents as "total Scum," asserting they are no better than "insurrectionists" in Portland, Minnesota, and Los Angeles. It demands their immediate removal by "Kash," stating they were appointed by "Radical Left Lunatics" using an "Auto Pen" and Obama.
Sentiment:Angry
Key Claims:
  • FBI Agents are total Scum.
  • FBI Agents are comparable to insurrectionists in Portland, Minnesota, and Los Angeles.
  • FBI Agents should be removed immediately by Kash.
  • The criticized agents were appointed by Radical Left Lunatics.
  • The criticized agents were appointed via an 'Auto Pen' and Obama.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The United States faces potential liabilities of hundreds of billions, possibly trillions of dollars, if the Supreme Court rules against the nation regarding tariffs, a situation described as a national security bonanza and a complete mess that the country would find almost impossible to manage.
Sentiment:Warning
Key Claims:
  • A Supreme Court ruling against the United States on tariffs would result in hundreds of billions of dollars in payback.
  • Including investments by countries and companies made to avoid tariffs, the total liability could reach trillions of dollars.
  • This financial obligation would be a complete mess and almost impossible for the United States to pay.
  • Anyone claiming an easy or quick resolution to this issue is providing a false, inaccurate, or misunderstood answer.
  • If such a payment were possible, determining the amount, recipients, and timing would take many years.
  • A ruling against the United States on this 'National Security bonanza' would lead to severe negative consequences for the country.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
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Summary:Donald Trump congratulates Dina Powell McCormick on her appointment as the new President of Meta, praising her as a great choice by Mark Zuckerberg and acknowledging her distinguished service in the Trump Administration.
Sentiment:Commendatory
Key Claims:
  • Dina Powell McCormick has been named the new President of Meta.
  • Her appointment is a great choice by Mark Zuckerberg.
  • Dina Powell McCormick is a fantastic and very talented person.
  • She served the Trump Administration with strength and distinction.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10