The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post describes a meeting between Donald Trump and María Corina Machado of Venezuela, during which María Corina Machado presented Donald Trump with her Nobel Peace Prize as a gesture of mutual respect for work he has done.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump met with María Corina Machado.
  • María Corina Machado is from Venezuela.
  • María Corina Machado is a wonderful woman who has endured much.
  • María Corina Machado presented Donald Trump with her Nobel Peace Prize.
  • The Nobel Peace Prize presentation was for work Donald Trump has done.
  • The presentation was a gesture of mutual respect.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:A 20-Point Peace Plan for Gaza, moving to Phase Two, is announced, focusing on demilitarization, technocratic governance, and reconstruction. Donald Trump, as Chairman of the Board of Peace, supports a new Palestinian government and demands Hamas's full demilitarization and return of the final body to Israel, warning of consequences.
Sentiment:Directive with Ultimatum
Key Claims:
  • The 20-Point Peace Plan for Gaza has officially entered Phase Two.
  • Phase One successfully delivered record humanitarian aid, maintained a ceasefire, and returned hostages, an achievement acknowledged by the United Nations as unprecedented.
  • Phase Two establishes a transitional technocratic Palestinian administration in Gaza, the National Committee for the Administration of Gaza (NCAG).
  • Donald Trump, as Chairman of the Board of Peace, is backing this newly appointed Palestinian Technocratic Government, supported by the Board's High Representative.
  • These Palestinian leaders are committed to a peaceful future.
  • A comprehensive Demilitarization Agreement with Hamas will be secured, with support from Egypt, Turkey, and Qatar.
  • The agreement includes the surrender of all weapons and the dismantling of every tunnel.
  • Hamas must immediately honor its commitments, including returning the final body to Israel and proceeding to full demilitarization.
  • Hamas can comply "the easy way, or the hard way."
  • Failure to comply with obligations will bring serious consequences.
  • The goal is peace through strength, as the people of Gaza have suffered long enough.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:9/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:Announcement of the formation of THE BOARD OF PEACE, described as the greatest and most prestigious board ever assembled, with members to be announced soon.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • THE BOARD OF PEACE has been formed
  • Members of THE BOARD OF PEACE will be announced shortly
  • THE BOARD OF PEACE is the greatest and most prestigious board ever assembled at any time, any place
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Tariffs are the stated reason for newly released great financial numbers, leading to the country never having done better, collecting hundreds of billions of dollars, experiencing virtually no inflation, and achieving unprecedented national security strength.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Great Financial Numbers were released today.
  • The Country has never done better.
  • Tariffs are the reason for these positive outcomes.
  • Hundreds of Billions of Dollars have been taken in due to tariffs.
  • Inflation is virtually non-existent.
  • National Security is stronger than ever before.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The EU collected €3.8 billion in fines from US tech companies in 2024, which is presented as more than the €3.2 billion in income tax paid by all public European internet tech companies in the same year. This situation is deemed unfair to US tech companies and the United States of America.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • The EU fined US tech companies €3.8 billion in 2024.
  • Public European internet tech companies paid €3.2 billion in income tax in 2024.
  • The EU makes more from fines on US tech companies than from tax collected from all public European tech companies.
  • This situation is unfair to US tech companies.
  • This situation is unfair to the United States of America.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
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Summary:President DJT asserts that if Minnesota politicians fail to enforce the law and stop professional agitators and insurrectionists from attacking I.C.E. personnel who are performing their duties, he will institute the Insurrection Act to resolve the ongoing 'travesty' in the state, noting its prior use by other Presidents.
Sentiment:Authoritative Warning
Key Claims:
  • The corrupt politicians of Minnesota are not obeying the law.
  • Professional agitators and insurrectionists are attacking Patriots of I.C.E.
  • Patriots of I.C.E. are only trying to do their job.
  • Failure by Minnesota politicians to stop these actions will result in the institution of the Insurrection Act.
  • Many Presidents have invoked the Insurrection Act previously.
  • The situation in Minnesota is a 'travesty'.
  • The Insurrection Act will quickly end the 'travesty' in Minnesota.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:A judge upheld ICE operations in Minnesota, a state characterized as politically corrupt, enabling ICE to continue removing violent criminals and contributing to public safety and record low crime rates.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A highly respected judge declined to block I.C.E. operations.
  • Minnesota is a very politically corrupt State.
  • I.C.E. operations are highly successful.
  • I.C.E. removes some of the most violent and vicious criminals, including murderers, from the State.
  • Law Enforcement are great patriots.
  • Law Enforcement will continue to make the Country safe.
  • There are record low crime numbers.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Fox News reported that an Iranian protester, and others, will not be sentenced to death following President Trump’s warnings. President Trump presents this as good news and expresses hope for its continuation.
Sentiment:Positive Outcome Celebration
Key Claims:
  • An Iranian protester's death sentence was reversed.
  • Other individuals also had their death sentences reversed.
  • These reversals occurred after President Trump's warnings.
  • The outcome is characterized as good news.
  • There is an expressed hope that such outcomes will continue.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:A street view of a commercial building featuring businesses such as a hardware store, food market, tobacco shop, and grill, with leasing information posted.
Sentiment:Observational
Key Claims:
  • Depiction of a commercial building and street scene
  • Visibility of multiple small businesses
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:A positive call took place with Delcy Rodríguez, the Interim President of Venezuela, discussing significant progress in stabilizing and recovering Venezuela. Key topics included Oil, Minerals, Trade, and National Security, with an anticipation of a spectacular partnership between the United States and Venezuela, leading to Venezuela's prosperity.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A very good call was held with the Interim President of Venezuela, Delcy Rodríguez.
  • Tremendous progress is being made to help Venezuela stabilize and recover.
  • Oil, Minerals, Trade, and National Security were discussed.
  • The partnership between the United States of America and Venezuela will be spectacular for all.
  • Venezuela will soon be great and prosperous again, possibly more so than ever before.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10