The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post asserts Donald Trump's identity as "President Trump, Dealmaker In-Chief," featuring an image of him in a dynamic pose with his arm raised.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump is President
  • Donald Trump is the 'Dealmaker In-Chief'
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post features Donald Trump on a stage, promoting a future "Golden Age" for America with the slogan "TRUMP WILL FIX IT!", and declares August First as a great day for the nation.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump is presented as the solution to national issues.
  • A future period under Trump's influence is described as 'The Golden Age'.
  • August First is stated to be a significant and positive day for America.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post displays Donald Trump alongside a Business Insider headline stating that US economic growth for the last quarter was stronger than anticipated.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • US economic growth for the last quarter was hotter than expected.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:Donald Trump secured a historic trade deal with the European Union, which involves Europe committing to purchase $750 billion in U.S. energy.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Trump reached a historic trade deal with the EU.
  • Europe is set to buy $750 billion in U.S. energy as part of the deal.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:The post depicts Donald Trump alongside a Fox Business graphic announcing that July tariff revenues have established a new monthly record, with $150 billion collected so far in 2025.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • July tariff revenues broke a monthly record
  • 150 billion dollars in tariff revenue has been collected in 2025
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:The post asserts that Q2 GDP data validates economic policies, specifically tariffs, and refutes earlier skeptical predictions from various media outlets regarding economic performance and potential damage.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Q2 GDP data proves that media predictions regarding economic outcomes were incorrect.
  • Media outlets had previously expressed skepticism about Trump's tariffs and their economic impact.
  • Reports suggested Trump's economic revival efforts were falling short in his first 100 days.
  • Media outlets claimed that Trump's actions would result in economic damage.
  • The Q2 GDP data demonstrates the success of Trump's economic policies, contrary to media narratives.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:The post expresses disinterest in India's economic relationship with Russia, criticizes India's high tariffs, and delivers a stern warning to Russian official Medvedev regarding his statements.
Sentiment:Confrontational
Key Claims:
  • India's economy is described as 'dead'.
  • Russia's economy is described as 'dead'.
  • India's tariffs are among the highest in the world.
  • The USA conducts very little business with India.
  • The USA conducts almost no business with Russia.
  • Medvedev is identified as a 'failed former President of Russia'.
  • Medvedev is advised to 'watch his words'.
  • Medvedev is stated to be 'entering very dangerous territory'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:6/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
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Summary:An announcement of a comprehensive trade deal between the United States and the Republic of Korea, detailing South Korean financial contributions, energy purchases, investment commitments, and trade openness.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • The United States and South Korea have agreed to a Full and Complete Trade Deal.
  • South Korea will provide $350 billion for US-owned and controlled investments selected by the President.
  • South Korea will purchase $100 billion in LNG or other energy products.
  • South Korea will invest a significant sum for their own purposes, to be announced within two weeks during a bilateral meeting at the White House.
  • South Korea will be completely open to trade with the United States, accepting American products including cars, trucks, and agriculture.
  • A 15% tariff will be applied to South Korea, while America will not be charged a tariff.
  • The new President of South Korea, Lee Jae Myung, is congratulated on his electoral success.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:Criticism of Senator Josh Hawley for joining Democrats to block a review of Nancy Pelosi’s stock trading over the last 25 years, alleging this action is sabotage and that Hawley is aiding Democrats who are targeting the former President.
Sentiment:Accusatory
Key Claims:
  • Senator Josh Hawley joined Democrats to block a review of Nancy Pelosi's stock trading.
  • The review was sponsored by Senator Rick Scott and supported by almost all other Republicans.
  • Information regarding the review was inappropriately released just minutes before the vote, which is characterized as sabotage.
  • Democrats are attempting to 'Target' the former President due to his 'tremendous ACHIEVEMENTS and SUCCESS'.
  • Josh Hawley is being used as a pawn by Democrats, despite the former President having 'got [Hawley] elected TWICE'.
  • Hawley's action in passing a bill Nancy Pelosi is 'in absolute love with' is 'playing right into the dirty hands of the Democrats'.
  • The bill is 'great for her, and her 'husband,' but so bad for our Country!'
  • Real Republicans do not want to see their President, who has had unprecedented success, 'TARGETED' because of the 'whims' of a 'second-tier Senator named Josh Hawley'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The White House is actively engaged in multiple trade negotiations, including an upcoming meeting with South Korea regarding tariff reductions and a recently concluded deal with Pakistan to develop its oil reserves. These efforts are presented as integral to significantly reducing the United States' trade deficit.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • The White House is very busy working on trade deals.
  • Leaders of many countries desire to make the United States 'extremely happy.'
  • A meeting with the South Korean Trade Delegation is scheduled to discuss offers to buy down 25% tariffs.
  • A deal has been concluded with Pakistan for joint development of its massive oil reserves.
  • An oil company is in the process of being chosen to lead the US-Pakistan oil partnership.
  • There is a possibility of Pakistan selling oil to India in the future.
  • Other countries are also making offers for tariff reductions.
  • These trade actions are projected to significantly reduce the US trade deficit.
  • A full report on these matters will be released at an appropriate time.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10