The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:Donald Trump outlines a strategy to end the war between Russia and Ukraine, proposing that he is ready to implement major sanctions on Russia if all NATO nations agree to do the same and cease buying Russian oil. He also suggests that NATO collectively imposes 50% to 100% tariffs on China, to be removed after the war concludes, believing China's influence over Russia can be broken. Trump states the war is Biden's and Zelenskyy's, not his, and asserts that following his plan will quickly end the conflict and save lives.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump is ready to impose major sanctions on Russia when all NATO nations agree and stop buying Russian oil.
  • NATO's commitment to winning the war has been significantly less than 100%.
  • NATO nations purchasing Russian oil weakens their negotiating and bargaining power over Russia.
  • Placing 50% to 100% tariffs on China, to be withdrawn after the war, will help end the deadly war with Russia and Ukraine.
  • China has strong control and a grip over Russia.
  • Powerful tariffs on China will break its grip over Russia.
  • The war is Biden's and Zelenskyy's war, and would not have started if Donald Trump was President.
  • Donald Trump is offering to help stop the war and save thousands of Russian and Ukrainian lives.
  • 7,118 lives were lost last week alone in the conflict.
  • If NATO follows Trump's proposed actions, the war will end quickly and all those lives will be saved.
  • If NATO does not comply, they are wasting Donald Trump's time, and the time, energy, and money of the United States.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):9/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:10/10
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Summary:The post asserts the 'Biden Autopen Scandal' is a major event, ranking it below the 'Russia, Russia, Russia Hoax' and the 'Rigged 2020 Presidential Election' in terms of significance, but still one of the biggest ever.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • The 'Biden Autopen Scandal' is a major event.
  • The 'Biden Autopen Scandal' is not as significant as the 'Russia, Russia, Russia Hoax'.
  • The 'Biden Autopen Scandal' is not as significant as the 'Rigged 2020 Presidential Election'.
  • The 'Biden Autopen Scandal' is one of the biggest scandals ever.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The number of civilian nominees confirmed by voice vote or unanimous consent has significantly declined across successive presidential administrations and congresses, culminating in zero confirmations during the anticipated 119th Congress, a situation directly attributed to the Democrats.
Sentiment:Critical/Accusatory
Key Claims:
  • Civilian nominee confirmations via voice vote or unanimous consent have decreased significantly over time.
  • The 101st Congress (H.W. Bush administration) saw 817 civilian nominees confirmed via voice vote or unanimous consent.
  • The 103rd Congress (Clinton administration) saw 1100 civilian nominees confirmed via voice vote or unanimous consent.
  • The 107th Congress (W. Bush administration) saw 911 civilian nominees confirmed via voice vote or unanimous consent.
  • The 111th Congress (Obama administration) saw 856 civilian nominees confirmed via voice vote or unanimous consent.
  • The 115th Congress (Trump I administration) saw 533 civilian nominees confirmed via voice vote or unanimous consent.
  • The 117th Congress (Biden administration) saw 530 civilian nominees confirmed via voice vote or unanimous consent.
  • The 119th Congress (Trump II administration) is presented as having zero civilian nominees confirmed via voice vote or unanimous consent.
  • Democrats are responsible for this decline in confirmations, indicating their actions are 'CRAZY'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:A judge appointed by President Biden, who previously ruled against Trump's administration on deportation policies, is now assigned to preside over a case involving Trump's move against the Federal Reserve.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Judge Jia Cobb will weigh a legal action by Trump against the Federal Reserve.
  • Judge Jia Cobb has previously tangled with Trump's policies.
  • Judge Jia Cobb is a Biden appointee.
  • Judge Jia Cobb recently ruled against Trump on deportations.
  • Judge Jia Cobb blocked the Trump administration's attempt to rapidly deport hundreds of thousands of immigrants.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:The post categorizes members of the Federal Reserve Board into those associated with the 'Biden' administration and those associated with a 'Trump' administration, while labeling one current Fed Governor as 'The Fraudster' and marking her image with a red cross.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Lisa Cook is identified as 'The Fraudster'.
  • Jerome Powell, Michael Barr, and Philip Jefferson are associated with the 'Biden' administration regarding the Fed Board.
  • Jerome Powell is labeled 'Too Late', implying his actions or current policy are insufficient or ill-timed.
  • Michelle Bowman, Miran, and Christopher Waller are associated with the 'Trump' administration regarding the Fed Board.
  • The post suggests a clear division and opposition regarding the composition of the Federal Reserve Board between current and potential future administrations.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:The post promotes Eric Schmitt's new book, 'THE LAST LINE OF DEFENSE: HOW TO BEAT THE LEFT IN COURT,' describing Schmitt as a 'FIGHTER' who effectively countered Biden's policies as Attorney General and continues to defend the 'America First Agenda' from the 'Radical Left' in the U.S. Senate.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Eric Schmitt has released a new book titled 'THE LAST LINE OF DEFENSE: HOW TO BEAT THE LEFT IN COURT'.
  • Eric Schmitt is characterized as a 'FIGHTER'.
  • Eric Schmitt successfully opposed Biden's policies as Attorney General.
  • Eric Schmitt is working in the U.S. Senate to defend the 'America First Agenda' from the 'Radical Left'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The author expresses a view that the 'Fake News' media deliberately distorts the truth about him and is incapable of honest reporting, then states that he held a significant meeting in Alaska concerning a 'war' attributed to President Biden, which he believes should not have occurred.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • The 'Fake News' violently distorts the truth concerning the author.
  • There is nothing the author can say or do that would lead the 'Fake News' to report honestly about him.
  • The author had a great meeting in Alaska.
  • The meeting in Alaska was about 'Biden’s stupid War'.
  • The 'war' should never have happened.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post calls for Jerome Powell's resignation, asserting that his handling of interest rates is incorrect, and draws a parallel to the resignation of Biden appointee Adriana Kugler, who is presented as having recognized Powell's erroneous approach.
Sentiment:Demanding
Key Claims:
  • Jerome Powell should resign.
  • Jerome Powell is doing the wrong thing on Interest Rates.
  • Adriana Kugler resigned.
  • Adriana Kugler, a Biden appointee, understood that Jerome Powell was doing the wrong thing on Interest Rates.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
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Summary:The post reports significant casualty figures for Russian and Ukrainian soldiers, and Ukrainian civilians, in the ongoing conflict, assigns responsibility for the war to the Biden administration, and states the author's intent to end it.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Almost 20,000 Russian soldiers died this month.
  • Russia has lost 112,500 soldiers since the beginning of the year.
  • Ukraine has lost approximately 8,000 soldiers since January 1, 2025, not including their missing.
  • Ukraine has also lost civilians, in smaller numbers, due to Russian rockets in Kyiv and other Ukrainian locales.
  • The war should have never happened.
  • The war is attributed to Biden, not TRUMP.
  • The author intends to stop the war.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
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Summary:The post asserts that Democrats are obstructing the confirmation of presidential nominees, leading to historically low approval rates for current and future administrations, including a depicted 0% confirmation rate for a future Trump administration.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Democrats are harming the Nation by obstructing presidential nominee approvals.
  • Democrats are refusing to approve highly qualified nominees.
  • Democrats would delay and disapprove nominees even if they were historically revered figures like George Washington and Abraham Lincoln.
  • The current level of nominee obstruction by Democrats is unprecedented.
  • The graphic shows a trend of declining civilian nominee confirmation rates by voice vote or unanimous consent in the first term, specifically 65% for Trump I, 57% for Biden, and 0% for Trump II.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10