Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)
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Summary:The post displays a chart titled 'Mortgage Rates Under Trump,' indicating a decline in 30-year fixed-rate conforming mortgage rates from 6.94% in January to 6.26% in September, with a prominent green arrow emphasizing the downward trend.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
- Mortgage rates declined from 6.94% to 6.26% during the depicted period.
- The presented decline in 30-year fixed-rate conforming mortgage rates occurred 'Under Trump'.
- The period from January to September experienced a decrease in mortgage rates.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Summary:New York City is experiencing an increase in safety, and this improvement is attributed to Donald Trump's influence.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
- New York City is becoming safer.
- Donald Trump is responsible for the increased safety in New York City.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Summary:The number of civilian nominees confirmed by voice vote or unanimous consent has significantly declined across successive presidential administrations and congresses, culminating in zero confirmations during the anticipated 119th Congress, a situation directly attributed to the Democrats.
Sentiment:Critical/Accusatory
Key Claims:
- Civilian nominee confirmations via voice vote or unanimous consent have decreased significantly over time.
- The 101st Congress (H.W. Bush administration) saw 817 civilian nominees confirmed via voice vote or unanimous consent.
- The 103rd Congress (Clinton administration) saw 1100 civilian nominees confirmed via voice vote or unanimous consent.
- The 107th Congress (W. Bush administration) saw 911 civilian nominees confirmed via voice vote or unanimous consent.
- The 111th Congress (Obama administration) saw 856 civilian nominees confirmed via voice vote or unanimous consent.
- The 115th Congress (Trump I administration) saw 533 civilian nominees confirmed via voice vote or unanimous consent.
- The 117th Congress (Biden administration) saw 530 civilian nominees confirmed via voice vote or unanimous consent.
- The 119th Congress (Trump II administration) is presented as having zero civilian nominees confirmed via voice vote or unanimous consent.
- Democrats are responsible for this decline in confirmations, indicating their actions are 'CRAZY'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Summary:Donald Trump commits to pursuing a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine, noting that the parties are currently not ready for a resolution, but indicating that a significant development is impending.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
- Trump commits to pursuing peace between Russia and Ukraine.
- Russia and Ukraine are currently not ready for a peace deal.
- Something significant is expected to happen regarding the peace process.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
Summary:Union Station in Washington, D.C., is reported to be free of problematic individuals like those screaming, vagrants, or drug users, a change attributed to a crime crackdown by Trump. The station is instead observed to be full of families visiting D.C., and this situation is described as wonderful.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
- Union Station in D.C. is now clear of individuals described as 'crazy person screaming, vagrant or person doing drugs'.
- This positive change is a direct result of 'Trump's crime crackdown'.
- Union Station is currently filled with families visiting D.C.
- The improved atmosphere at Union Station is described as 'Wonderful'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Summary:A judge appointed by President Biden, who previously ruled against Trump's administration on deportation policies, is now assigned to preside over a case involving Trump's move against the Federal Reserve.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
- Judge Jia Cobb will weigh a legal action by Trump against the Federal Reserve.
- Judge Jia Cobb has previously tangled with Trump's policies.
- Judge Jia Cobb is a Biden appointee.
- Judge Jia Cobb recently ruled against Trump on deportations.
- Judge Jia Cobb blocked the Trump administration's attempt to rapidly deport hundreds of thousands of immigrants.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
Summary:The post asserts that Donald Trump is transforming Washington D.C. into an environment reminiscent of Disney World.
Sentiment:Transformative
Key Claims:
- Donald Trump is transforming Washington D.C.
- The transformation of Washington D.C. is likened to Disney World.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Summary:The post categorizes members of the Federal Reserve Board into those associated with the 'Biden' administration and those associated with a 'Trump' administration, while labeling one current Fed Governor as 'The Fraudster' and marking her image with a red cross.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
- Lisa Cook is identified as 'The Fraudster'.
- Jerome Powell, Michael Barr, and Philip Jefferson are associated with the 'Biden' administration regarding the Fed Board.
- Jerome Powell is labeled 'Too Late', implying his actions or current policy are insufficient or ill-timed.
- Michelle Bowman, Miran, and Christopher Waller are associated with the 'Trump' administration regarding the Fed Board.
- The post suggests a clear division and opposition regarding the composition of the Federal Reserve Board between current and potential future administrations.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
Summary:Donald Trump states that the Congressional Budget Office has acknowledged the effectiveness of his tariff strategy in reducing the deficit by $4 Trillion Dollars, while also highlighting a period of economic prosperity where deficits, taxes, energy, and prices were down, and take-home pay, the stock market, and the country's global standing were up.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
- The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) admitted his tariff strategy has been incredible.
- The CBO stated that 'Trump’s Tariffs reduce the deficit by $4 Trillion Dollars'.
- Deficits were down during his policy suggestions.
- Taxes were down.
- Energy costs were down.
- Prices were generally down.
- Take Home Pay was up.
- The Stock Market was up.
- The Country was the 'HOTTEST' anywhere in the World.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
Summary:The US economy has maintained its high S&P credit rating, with analysts determining that former President Trump's tariffs effectively offset his tax cuts.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
- The US economy maintains its high S&P credit rating.
- Analysts concluded that Trump's tariffs counterbalanced his tax cuts.
- The combination of Trump's tariffs and tax cuts contributed to the stable credit rating.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10