The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:U.S. Military Forces, on Donald Trump's orders, conducted a second kinetic strike against Venezuelan drug trafficking cartels and narcoterrorists in international waters, resulting in three fatalities, with no U.S. forces harmed. The post asserts these cartels pose a threat to U.S. national security due to transporting drugs that kill Americans and warns that such activities will be met with force.
Sentiment:Decisive
Key Claims:
  • U.S. Military Forces conducted a second kinetic strike on orders against positively identified, extraordinarily violent drug trafficking cartels and narcoterrorists.
  • The targeted narcoterrorists originated from Venezuela.
  • The strike occurred in International Waters while they were transporting illegal narcotics, identified as a deadly weapon poisoning Americans.
  • These drug trafficking cartels pose a threat to U.S. National Security, Foreign Policy, and vital U.S. Interests.
  • The strike resulted in 3 male terrorists killed in action.
  • No U.S. Forces were harmed in this strike.
  • A warning is issued that individuals transporting drugs capable of killing Americans will be hunted.
  • The illicit activities of these cartels have caused devastating consequences and millions of American citizen deaths for decades.
  • These activities will no longer be tolerated.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post describes an Israeli military attack on Hamas in Doha, Qatar, which the Trump Administration was informed of but did not authorize. It details the administration's immediate diplomatic actions to reassure Qatar, emphasize the importance of peace, and solidify U.S. alliances in the region, including directing the finalization of a Defense Cooperation Agreement with Qatar.
Sentiment:Diplomatic Resolution
Key Claims:
  • The Trump Administration was notified that Israel attacked Hamas in Doha, Qatar.
  • The attack was a decision made by Prime Minister Netanyahu, not by the Trump Administration.
  • Bombing unilaterally inside Qatar, a sovereign nation and close U.S. ally, does not advance Israel or America’s goals.
  • Eliminating Hamas is a worthy goal.
  • Special Envoy Steve Witkoff was directed to inform the Qataris of the impending attack, but it was too late to stop it.
  • Qatar is viewed as a strong Ally and friend of the U.S.
  • The location of the attack is regrettable.
  • All hostages and bodies of the dead must be released, and the war must end immediately.
  • Prime Minister Netanyahu stated he wants to make peace.
  • This incident could serve as an opportunity for peace.
  • The Emir and Prime Minister of Qatar were thanked for their support and friendship.
  • Assurance was given to Qatar that such an event will not happen again on their soil.
  • Secretary of State Marco Rubio was directed to finalize the Defense Cooperation Agreement with Qatar.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post asserts a long-standing, one-sided trade relationship between the U.S. and India, claiming India benefits greatly from U.S. purchases while U.S. businesses are hindered by India's high tariffs. It also states India primarily purchases oil and military products from Russia. The post concludes by noting India's recent offer to eliminate tariffs, but characterizes the timing as delayed.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • The U.S. conducts very little business with India, while India conducts a tremendous amount of business with the U.S.
  • India sells massive amounts of goods to the U.S., making the U.S. India's biggest 'client'.
  • The trade relationship has been entirely one-sided for many decades.
  • India has historically charged the highest tariffs of any country, preventing U.S. businesses from selling into India.
  • India buys most of its oil and military products from Russia, with very little coming from the U.S.
  • India has now offered to cut its tariffs to nothing.
  • India's offer to cut tariffs is 'getting late' and should have occurred years ago.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:Rep. Andy Ogles announces the nomination of Donald Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize, citing Trump's successes in international diplomacy, including bringing Russia and the U.S. back to the table, his work on the Abraham Accords and North Korea, and his overall record of peace through strength.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • President Trump successfully brought Russia and the U.S. back to the negotiating table.
  • President Trump's diplomatic record includes achievements such as the Abraham Accords.
  • President Trump engaged in significant diplomatic efforts regarding North Korea.
  • President Trump's approach to foreign policy is characterized as achieving peace through strength.
  • Rep. Andy Ogles is currently drafting a nomination for Donald Trump to receive the Nobel Peace Prize.
  • President Trump's diplomatic accomplishments exceeded what any other world leader could achieve.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:A significant action was taken to ensure the United States is fully prepared to host the 2028 Summer Olympic Games in Los Angeles.
Sentiment:Preparatory
Key Claims:
  • A major step was taken today.
  • This step ensures the U.S. is fully prepared.
  • The preparation is for welcoming the world to Los Angeles for the 2028 Summer Olympic Games.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post declares that for three consecutive months, zero individuals described as 'illegals' have been released into the U.S., featuring Donald Trump in front of a border wall with a raised fist.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • For the third consecutive month, no individuals identified as 'illegals' have been released into the U.S.
  • This outcome is depicted as a positive achievement related to border control.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post asserts that promises related to border security have been fulfilled, specifically highlighting a period of the most secure border in history, record deportation flights, and zero releases of illegal immigrants into the U.S. to stop what is termed a 'migrant invasion'.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Promises made by Donald Trump have been kept.
  • The border was sealed and a 'migrant invasion' was stopped.
  • The U.S. border was the most secure in history.
  • Record deportation flights occurred.
  • Zero illegal immigrants were released into the U.S.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Australia is accepting U.S. beef for the first time, which is characterized as a significant market opportunity, and the post expresses satisfaction for American farmers, concluding with a campaign slogan.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Australia will begin importing US beef.
  • The new trade relationship represents a large market opportunity.
  • The development is intended to bring happiness to American farmers.
  • The action aligns with the 'Make America Great Again' political objective.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post endorses Senator Ashley Moody, highlighting her background as a fifth-generation Floridian and former State Attorney General, while commending her efforts on economic growth, tax cuts, deregulation, American manufacturing and energy, border security, crime prevention, military support, veterans' affairs, and Second Amendment defense. It also states the author's past electoral victories in Florida.
Sentiment:Endorsing
Key Claims:
  • Senator Ashley Moody is doing a tremendous job representing the people of Florida.
  • The author won Florida in 2016, 2020, and 2024.
  • Ashley Moody is a fifth-generation Floridian.
  • Ashley Moody served as State Attorney General for six years.
  • Ashley Moody is a distinguished and well-respected U.S. Senator.
  • Ashley Moody works to grow the economy, cut taxes, and cut regulations.
  • Ashley Moody promotes 'MADE IN THE U.S.A.'.
  • Ashley Moody champions American Energy DOMINANCE.
  • Ashley Moody helps secure the Southern Border and stop migrant crime, murderers, and other criminals.
  • Ashley Moody strengthens the military and veterans.
  • Ashley Moody defends the Second Amendment.
  • Ashley Moody has the author's complete and total endorsement.
  • Ashley Moody will not let people down.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post asserts that Donald Trump fulfilled his promise to secure the U.S. border and halt migrant entry, claiming it was the most secure in history with record deportations and no illegal immigrants released into the U.S.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Promises made were kept.
  • The border was sealed, and the migrant invasion was stopped.
  • The U.S. border became the most secure in history.
  • Record deportation flights occurred.
  • Zero illegal immigrants were released into the U.S.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10