The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:Zero illegal aliens have been released into the U.S. in the last six months, according to information attributed to The White House.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Zero illegal aliens have been released into the U.S. in the last six months.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Canada engaged in fraudulent activity by publishing an advertisement misrepresenting Ronald Reagan's views on tariffs, with the intention of illegally influencing a U.S. Supreme Court ruling. Canada has a history of imposing high tariffs on U.S. farmers, but the U.S. will no longer tolerate being exploited. The Ronald Reagan Foundation exposed this deception.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Canada fraudulently published an advertisement claiming Ronald Reagan disliked tariffs.
  • Ronald Reagan supported tariffs for U.S. national security.
  • Canada is attempting to illegally influence the U.S. Supreme Court regarding an important ruling.
  • Canada has historically charged U.S. farmers tariffs as high as 400%.
  • The U.S. will no longer be exploited by Canada and other countries through unfair tariffs.
  • The Ronald Reagan Foundation exposed Canada's fraudulent advertisement.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
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Summary:The Wall Street Journal's report regarding U.S. approval for Ukraine's use of long-range missiles deep into Russia is inaccurate, and the U.S. has no connection to these missiles or their deployment by Ukraine.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • The Wall Street Journal's story about U.S. approval for Ukraine to use long-range missiles deep into Russia is false.
  • The U.S. has no involvement with long-range missiles used by Ukraine.
  • The U.S. has no involvement with what Ukraine does with any missiles it may possess.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:4/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:Mark Savaya is announced as Special Envoy to the Republic of Iraq, with his understanding of the Iraq-U.S. relationship and regional connections noted to benefit American interests. His past involvement in the Michigan campaign, where he contributed to a significant vote from Muslim Americans, is also highlighted.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Mark Savaya is appointed Special Envoy to the Republic of Iraq.
  • Mark Savaya possesses a deep understanding of the Iraq-U.S. relationship.
  • Mark Savaya has connections in the region.
  • Mark Savaya's appointment will help advance the interests of the American people.
  • Mark Savaya was a key player in the campaign in Michigan.
  • Mark Savaya helped secure a record vote with Muslim Americans in Michigan.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:China is reportedly initiating hostile trade actions by proposing export controls on rare earth elements and other production components to countries globally. These actions are described as unprecedented and designed to disrupt global markets, drawing anger from other nations. The U.S. views this as China leveraging a monopolistic position, prompting the U.S. President to declare that the U.S. will respond with financial countermeasures, including significantly increased tariffs on Chinese products, despite a previously positive relationship and a planned meeting with President Xi now being uncertain.
Sentiment:Confrontational
Key Claims:
  • China is exhibiting hostile behavior by sending letters to countries proposing export controls on rare earth elements and other production components.
  • These proposed export controls are unprecedented and would disrupt global markets and make life difficult for many countries.
  • Other countries have contacted the U.S. expressing anger over China's trade hostility.
  • China has been secretly amassing a monopoly position on certain elements, including 'Magnets.'
  • The U.S. possesses stronger and more extensive monopoly positions than China, which have not been utilized until now.
  • The U.S. President will be forced to financially counter China's move.
  • A massive increase of tariffs on Chinese products imported into the U.S. is one of the countermeasures under consideration.
  • The timing of China's action, coinciding with peace in the Middle East, is suspicious.
  • The relationship with China was good over the past six months, making this move surprising.
  • A planned meeting with President Xi at APEC in South Korea is now unlikely.
  • The U.S. countermeasure, though potentially painful, will ultimately be beneficial for the U.S.A.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):9/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
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Summary:U.S. Military Forces, on Donald Trump's orders, conducted a second kinetic strike against Venezuelan drug trafficking cartels and narcoterrorists in international waters, resulting in three fatalities, with no U.S. forces harmed. The post asserts these cartels pose a threat to U.S. national security due to transporting drugs that kill Americans and warns that such activities will be met with force.
Sentiment:Decisive
Key Claims:
  • U.S. Military Forces conducted a second kinetic strike on orders against positively identified, extraordinarily violent drug trafficking cartels and narcoterrorists.
  • The targeted narcoterrorists originated from Venezuela.
  • The strike occurred in International Waters while they were transporting illegal narcotics, identified as a deadly weapon poisoning Americans.
  • These drug trafficking cartels pose a threat to U.S. National Security, Foreign Policy, and vital U.S. Interests.
  • The strike resulted in 3 male terrorists killed in action.
  • No U.S. Forces were harmed in this strike.
  • A warning is issued that individuals transporting drugs capable of killing Americans will be hunted.
  • The illicit activities of these cartels have caused devastating consequences and millions of American citizen deaths for decades.
  • These activities will no longer be tolerated.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:The post describes an Israeli military attack on Hamas in Doha, Qatar, which the Trump Administration was informed of but did not authorize. It details the administration's immediate diplomatic actions to reassure Qatar, emphasize the importance of peace, and solidify U.S. alliances in the region, including directing the finalization of a Defense Cooperation Agreement with Qatar.
Sentiment:Diplomatic Resolution
Key Claims:
  • The Trump Administration was notified that Israel attacked Hamas in Doha, Qatar.
  • The attack was a decision made by Prime Minister Netanyahu, not by the Trump Administration.
  • Bombing unilaterally inside Qatar, a sovereign nation and close U.S. ally, does not advance Israel or America’s goals.
  • Eliminating Hamas is a worthy goal.
  • Special Envoy Steve Witkoff was directed to inform the Qataris of the impending attack, but it was too late to stop it.
  • Qatar is viewed as a strong Ally and friend of the U.S.
  • The location of the attack is regrettable.
  • All hostages and bodies of the dead must be released, and the war must end immediately.
  • Prime Minister Netanyahu stated he wants to make peace.
  • This incident could serve as an opportunity for peace.
  • The Emir and Prime Minister of Qatar were thanked for their support and friendship.
  • Assurance was given to Qatar that such an event will not happen again on their soil.
  • Secretary of State Marco Rubio was directed to finalize the Defense Cooperation Agreement with Qatar.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:The post asserts a long-standing, one-sided trade relationship between the U.S. and India, claiming India benefits greatly from U.S. purchases while U.S. businesses are hindered by India's high tariffs. It also states India primarily purchases oil and military products from Russia. The post concludes by noting India's recent offer to eliminate tariffs, but characterizes the timing as delayed.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • The U.S. conducts very little business with India, while India conducts a tremendous amount of business with the U.S.
  • India sells massive amounts of goods to the U.S., making the U.S. India's biggest 'client'.
  • The trade relationship has been entirely one-sided for many decades.
  • India has historically charged the highest tariffs of any country, preventing U.S. businesses from selling into India.
  • India buys most of its oil and military products from Russia, with very little coming from the U.S.
  • India has now offered to cut its tariffs to nothing.
  • India's offer to cut tariffs is 'getting late' and should have occurred years ago.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:Rep. Andy Ogles announces the nomination of Donald Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize, citing Trump's successes in international diplomacy, including bringing Russia and the U.S. back to the table, his work on the Abraham Accords and North Korea, and his overall record of peace through strength.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • President Trump successfully brought Russia and the U.S. back to the negotiating table.
  • President Trump's diplomatic record includes achievements such as the Abraham Accords.
  • President Trump engaged in significant diplomatic efforts regarding North Korea.
  • President Trump's approach to foreign policy is characterized as achieving peace through strength.
  • Rep. Andy Ogles is currently drafting a nomination for Donald Trump to receive the Nobel Peace Prize.
  • President Trump's diplomatic accomplishments exceeded what any other world leader could achieve.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:A significant action was taken to ensure the United States is fully prepared to host the 2028 Summer Olympic Games in Los Angeles.
Sentiment:Preparatory
Key Claims:
  • A major step was taken today.
  • This step ensures the U.S. is fully prepared.
  • The preparation is for welcoming the world to Los Angeles for the 2028 Summer Olympic Games.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10