The Stable Genius Report

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Summary:A positive update following a meeting with President Xi of China, highlighting agreements on agricultural purchases, continued rare earth supply, cooperation on fentanyl, and American energy acquisition, alongside expressions of gratitude to various Asian nations for contributing to US prosperity and security.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A truly great meeting occurred with President Xi of China, enhancing respect between the two countries.
  • Many agreements were reached, with other important matters very close to being resolved.
  • President Xi authorized China to begin massive purchases of Soybeans, Sorghum, and other Farm products from the US.
  • US farmers should immediately buy more land and larger tractors.
  • China agreed to continue the open and free flow of Rare Earth, Critical Minerals, and Magnets.
  • China strongly stated it will diligently work with the US to stop the flow of Fentanyl and end the crisis.
  • China agreed to begin purchasing American Energy, with a very large-scale transaction concerning Oil and Gas from Alaska possible.
  • Agreements reached will deliver Prosperity and Security to millions of Americans.
  • Hundreds of billions of dollars are being brought into the US due to relations with Malaysia, Japan, South Korea, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam.
  • The US Nation is strong, respected, and admired again, and the best is yet to come.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:The purpose of the visit to South Korea was not to engage with Canada, in response to inquiries about the visit's objectives.
Sentiment:Clarifying
Key Claims:
  • The delegation did not travel to South Korea for the purpose of seeing or meeting with Canada.
  • The reason for being in South Korea is distinct from any interaction with Canada.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:Canada was caught running a fraudulent advertisement on Ronald Reagan's speech on tariffs, which the Reagan Foundation condemned for misrepresenting the former president and reviewing legal options. The post asserts that Canada's intent was to influence the United States Supreme Court regarding tariffs that have harmed the U.S. It further states that Reagan supported tariffs for national security and economic reasons, contradicting Canada's ad, and that Canada ignored demands to remove the advertisement, letting it run during the World Series. Due to this misrepresentation and hostile act, the tariff on Canada is being increased by an additional 10%.
Sentiment:Punitive
Key Claims:
  • Canada was caught putting up a fraudulent advertisement on Ronald Reagan’s Speech on Tariffs.
  • The Reagan Foundation stated that Canada's ad used selective, edited audio and video of President Ronald Reagan without permission and misrepresented his remarks.
  • The Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation and Institute is reviewing its legal options regarding the ad.
  • The sole purpose of Canada's advertisement was to influence the United States Supreme Court on tariffs.
  • Canada has used tariffs for years to hurt the United States.
  • The United States is now able to defend itself against high Canadian tariffs and those from the rest of the World.
  • Ronald Reagan supported tariffs for purposes of National Security and the Economy.
  • Canada claimed Ronald Reagan did not support tariffs, which is false.
  • Canada's advertisement was instructed to be taken down immediately but was allowed to run during the World Series.
  • Canada's actions constitute a serious misrepresentation of facts and a hostile act.
  • The tariff on Canada is being increased by an additional 10% over and above what they are currently paying.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:4/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:Canada engaged in fraudulent activity by publishing an advertisement misrepresenting Ronald Reagan's views on tariffs, with the intention of illegally influencing a U.S. Supreme Court ruling. Canada has a history of imposing high tariffs on U.S. farmers, but the U.S. will no longer tolerate being exploited. The Ronald Reagan Foundation exposed this deception.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Canada fraudulently published an advertisement claiming Ronald Reagan disliked tariffs.
  • Ronald Reagan supported tariffs for U.S. national security.
  • Canada is attempting to illegally influence the U.S. Supreme Court regarding an important ruling.
  • Canada has historically charged U.S. farmers tariffs as high as 400%.
  • The U.S. will no longer be exploited by Canada and other countries through unfair tariffs.
  • The Ronald Reagan Foundation exposed Canada's fraudulent advertisement.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
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Summary:Donald Trump states that Canada fraudulently used a $75,000,000 fake advertisement featuring Ronald Reagan speaking negatively about tariffs to interfere with U.S. court decisions. He declares that tariffs are vital for U.S. national security and economy, and, due to this behavior, all trade negotiations with Canada are terminated. The accompanying image is a statement from the Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation and Institute, confirming that the Government of Ontario, Canada, created an ad using selective audio and video from a 1987 Reagan address, misrepresenting his remarks and without permission, and that the Foundation is reviewing legal options.
Sentiment:Decisive
Key Claims:
  • Canada fraudulently used a fake advertisement featuring Ronald Reagan speaking negatively about tariffs.
  • The advertisement cost $75,000,000.
  • The purpose of the ad was to interfere with U.S. Supreme Court and other court decisions.
  • Tariffs are very important to the national security and economy of the U.S.A.
  • All trade negotiations with Canada are terminated due to their egregious behavior.
  • The Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation and Institute confirmed that the Government of Ontario, Canada, created an ad using selective audio and video from President Ronald Reagan's 1987 'Radio Address to the Nation on Free and Fair Trade' without permission, misrepresenting his remarks.
  • The Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation and Institute is reviewing its legal options.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:6/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:The Ronald Reagan Foundation announced Canada fraudulently used a fake advertisement featuring Ronald Reagan speaking negatively about tariffs, for $75,000, to interfere with U.S. court decisions. Tariffs are very important to U.S. national security and economy. As a consequence of Canada's egregious behavior, all trade negotiations with Canada are hereby terminated.
Sentiment:Retaliatory
Key Claims:
  • The Ronald Reagan Foundation announced Canada fraudulently used a fake advertisement.
  • The advertisement featured Ronald Reagan speaking negatively about Tariffs.
  • The advertisement was for $75,000.
  • Canada used the ad to interfere with the decision of the U.S. Supreme Court and other courts.
  • Tariffs are very important to the national security and economy of the U.S.A.
  • Based on Canada's egregious behavior, all trade negotiations with Canada are hereby terminated.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:Canada's announced backing of statehood for Palestine is asserted to make a trade deal with the United States very difficult.
Sentiment:Disapproving
Key Claims:
  • Canada has announced its backing of statehood for Palestine.
  • Canada's backing of Palestinian statehood will make it very hard for the United States to make a Trade Deal with Canada.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The United States is escalating trade measures against Canada, planning to impose a 35% tariff on all Canadian products starting August 1, 2025. This action is attributed to Canada's alleged financial retaliation, its failure to stop fentanyl from entering the U.S. contributing to the fentanyl crisis, and Canada's 'extraordinary Tariffs' on U.S. Dairy Farmers, which contribute to an unsustainable trade deficit that is a threat to U.S. economy and national security. The U.S. also states that if Canada increases its tariffs, an additional 35% will be added to the U.S. tariff.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Canada financially retaliated against the United States.
  • Canada's failure to stop drugs from entering the U.S. contributed to the U.S. fentanyl crisis.
  • The United States will impose a 35% tariff on all Canadian products starting August 1, 2025.
  • Goods transshipped to evade the U.S. tariff will also be subject to that tariff.
  • The United States will quickly approve Canadian companies building or manufacturing products within the U.S.
  • If Canada raises its tariffs, an additional 35% will be added to the U.S. tariff.
  • Canada charges extraordinary Tariffs (up to 400%) on U.S. Dairy Farmers.
  • The trade deficit with Canada is a major threat to the U.S. Economy and National Security.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:Canada has announced a Digital Services Tax on American Technology Companies, which the post describes as a direct attack and a copying of the European Union's actions. As a consequence of this tax, all trade discussions with Canada are terminated immediately, and the United States will inform Canada within seven days of the new tariffs they will be required to pay for business with the United States.
Sentiment:Retaliatory
Key Claims:
  • Canada is a very difficult country to trade with.
  • Canada has charged American farmers 400% tariffs on dairy products for years.
  • Canada announced a Digital Services Tax on American Technology Companies.
  • The Digital Services Tax is a direct and blatant attack on the United States.
  • Canada is copying the European Union, which has implemented a similar tax and is in discussions with the United States.
  • All trade discussions with Canada are terminated immediately due to this egregious tax.
  • The United States will inform Canada of the tariffs they will pay to do business with the United States within the next seven-day period.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:The post highlights the United States' defense expenditure of almost $1 trillion and Trump's demand for NATO allies to increase their defense spending to 5% of GDP, threatening to cease protection for those who don't comply. It notes Spain's resistance to this demand and proposes a discussion with NATO members.
Sentiment:Demanding
Key Claims:
  • The United States spends almost $1 trillion on defense annually.
  • The U.S. defense expenditure is 3.38% of its GDP.
  • Trump demands NATO allies boost their defense spending to 5% of GDP.
  • Trump threatens to stop protecting allies who do not commit to spending 5% of GDP on defense.
  • NATO's current agreed target for defense spending is 2% of GDP.
  • Mark Rutte, NATO chief, proposes raising spending to 3.5% of GDP and an additional 1.5% for wider security.
  • Spain threatens to derail the NATO summit due to resistance to Trump's 5% demand.
  • Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez states a 5% defense spending goal would be incompatible with Spain's welfare state.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10